三叔
Verified Creator
ACT Holder
Occasional Trader
5.3 Years
公众号：我们的三叔笔记｜X：@sanshubiji｜微博：三叔笔记Pro｜《从信仰到策略，一个韭菜的认知突围》—-著作人 币安手续费八折邀请码：SANSHU
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Come, come, come, let me teach you how to start a trading annual passive 100% profit strategy
Do you want to know why some people trade without paying transaction fees and can even earn additional rebates? Do you know the proportion of transaction fees for regular users compared to their total capital?
It's actually quite simple—the answer lies in Binance's 'Super Rebate' program.
🎯 What is Binance Rebate?
In simple terms: when you register on Binance through my exclusive invitation link or code, a portion of the transaction fees you generate will be returned to me as commission. I will directly return more than 20% of that to you!
This is equivalent to opening a 'fee discount account' for you, reducing trading costs and making it more cost-effective in the long run.
💡 Here's an example for you to understand:
Assuming your monthly trading volume is about 100,000
Transaction fee is about: 1000 U
If you enjoy a 20% rebate, you can save 200 U directly each month!
That's like having an extra hot pot fund each month, and over time it adds up to a considerable profit.
🚀 How to activate it? Just three steps:
Click this link to register 👇
https://www.maxweb.cab/join?ref=SANSHU
or enter the invitation code when registering: SANSHU
After registration, trade normally, and the rebates will be automatically settled weekly, no manual operation required!
If you are also interested in the following content:
Spot trading strategies
Contract precision operation skills
Potential altcoin layout suggestions
Latest airdrop and project opportunities
Feel free to contact me directly to join the [Rebate Exchange Group]
We share irregularly in the group:
✅ Practical trading strategies
✅ Potential project analysis
✅ Market dynamics reminders
📩 Add me = Get strategies + Receive alerts + Seize opportunities together!
Not only can you save on fees, but you can also gain valuable information. Why not?
✨ Easter egg tip:
The platform now supports adding friends directly, the path is as follows:
Top left corner 'Messages' → Chat → Top right corner 'Add Friend' → Enter ID: 47979086
Do you want to know why some people trade without paying transaction fees and can even earn additional rebates? Do you know the proportion of transaction fees for regular users compared to their total capital?
It's actually quite simple—the answer lies in Binance's 'Super Rebate' program.
🎯 What is Binance Rebate?
In simple terms: when you register on Binance through my exclusive invitation link or code, a portion of the transaction fees you generate will be returned to me as commission. I will directly return more than 20% of that to you!
This is equivalent to opening a 'fee discount account' for you, reducing trading costs and making it more cost-effective in the long run.
💡 Here's an example for you to understand:
Assuming your monthly trading volume is about 100,000
Transaction fee is about: 1000 U
If you enjoy a 20% rebate, you can save 200 U directly each month!
That's like having an extra hot pot fund each month, and over time it adds up to a considerable profit.
🚀 How to activate it? Just three steps:
Click this link to register 👇
https://www.maxweb.cab/join?ref=SANSHU
or enter the invitation code when registering: SANSHU
After registration, trade normally, and the rebates will be automatically settled weekly, no manual operation required!
If you are also interested in the following content:
Spot trading strategies
Contract precision operation skills
Potential altcoin layout suggestions
Latest airdrop and project opportunities
Feel free to contact me directly to join the [Rebate Exchange Group]
We share irregularly in the group:
✅ Practical trading strategies
✅ Potential project analysis
✅ Market dynamics reminders
📩 Add me = Get strategies + Receive alerts + Seize opportunities together!
Not only can you save on fees, but you can also gain valuable information. Why not?
✨ Easter egg tip:
The platform now supports adding friends directly, the path is as follows:
Top left corner 'Messages' → Chat → Top right corner 'Add Friend' → Enter ID: 47979086
PINNED
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Coming to the crypto world is about making money, getting rich overnight is the best! However, steady and consistent progress is the sustainable survival rule.
Binance official chat room: 币安王牌KOL聊天室，点击进群
Brothers who want to communicate with me privately can: Click the top left corner of the APP "Messages" → Chat → Add friend in the top right corner, enter: 47979086. Add Uncle San as a Binance friend.
Binance official chat room: 币安王牌KOL聊天室，点击进群
Brothers who want to communicate with me privately can: Click the top left corner of the APP "Messages" → Chat → Add friend in the top right corner, enter: 47979086. Add Uncle San as a Binance friend.
See original
#BTC is currently attempting a bullish breakout structure, with strong resistance in the four-hour downtrend in the range of 89800 points---90800 points. Only if this area is broken can there be a possibility for further upward targeting, with the breakthrough high expected at 96000 points.
The four-hour dynamic support is at 88000 points. If there are two consecutive four-hour closes below this position, it can be considered that this round of bullish counterattack has failed, and the price will continue to return to the previously set low of 83000 points.
In terms of trends, Uncle San believes that there is currently no clear signal indicating that the market can reverse or experience a significant rebound, and there are no signs of easing in the main downtrend at the daily closing level in the short term. In terms of operations, those with positions at this level can continue to wait, while those without positions should remain patient. During the Christmas holiday, liquidity will sharply decrease, so it is advisable to observe the adjustment situation after the slight return of liquidity following tonight's U.S. stock market opening.
The four-hour dynamic support is at 88000 points. If there are two consecutive four-hour closes below this position, it can be considered that this round of bullish counterattack has failed, and the price will continue to return to the previously set low of 83000 points.
In terms of trends, Uncle San believes that there is currently no clear signal indicating that the market can reverse or experience a significant rebound, and there are no signs of easing in the main downtrend at the daily closing level in the short term. In terms of operations, those with positions at this level can continue to wait, while those without positions should remain patient. During the Christmas holiday, liquidity will sharply decrease, so it is advisable to observe the adjustment situation after the slight return of liquidity following tonight's U.S. stock market opening.
See original
Liquidity Withdrawal and Market Prediction
The market has a significant cognitive bias regarding Japan's interest rate hike, with most opinions categorizing it as negative news, believing that the negative impact will materialize immediately, while ignoring that its core is triggering a liquidity shock that causes substantial asset migration. From the perspective of funding behavior logic, before the interest rate hike takes effect, the funds borrowed in yen flowing into the cryptocurrency market have no incentive to return early—returning early would lead to a reduction in interest income, so funds tend to hold until just before the interest rate hike takes effect.
After the interest rate hike officially takes effect, the cost of financing in yen will rise, the arbitrage space will disappear, and the yen leverage funds in the cryptocurrency market will inevitably flow back to Japan, creating a significant liquidity withdrawal pressure. This determines that after the interest rate hike, ETH is likely to face a decline, but since the market has partially reacted in advance, the decline will be smaller than the volatility intensity before the rate hike.
After the interest rate hike officially takes effect, the cost of financing in yen will rise, the arbitrage space will disappear, and the yen leverage funds in the cryptocurrency market will inevitably flow back to Japan, creating a significant liquidity withdrawal pressure. This determines that after the interest rate hike, ETH is likely to face a decline, but since the market has partially reacted in advance, the decline will be smaller than the volatility intensity before the rate hike.
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The essence of overnight double killing in long and short positions is harvesting!
Uncle San is coming today to conduct an in-depth analysis of the $ETH market.
Core event review: The essence of the extreme volatility of ETH overnight, dominated by the main force's leverage cleansing.
Extreme volatility reappeared in the crypto market overnight, with ETH performing a pin bar pattern: after the US stock market opened, it first dipped to 2880, then quickly surged violently to 3030, and finally fell back to around 2800. Such movements are not the result of natural supply and demand games in the market, but rather a strategy of double killing implemented by the main force through price manipulation.
From a trading logic perspective, the core purpose of volatility is to cleanse leveraged positions across the market: creating false breakout signals during periods of relatively thin liquidity, attracting high-leverage long funds to enter; then triggering long position liquidations through reverse smashing while using market panic to force low-position holders to cut losses, ultimately completing the collection of blood-stained chips. This process essentially exploits the market's greed and fear emotions to achieve indiscriminate cleansing of investors in different directions and holding states, rather than being a signal for the initiation of a trending market.
Core event review: The essence of the extreme volatility of ETH overnight, dominated by the main force's leverage cleansing.
Extreme volatility reappeared in the crypto market overnight, with ETH performing a pin bar pattern: after the US stock market opened, it first dipped to 2880, then quickly surged violently to 3030, and finally fell back to around 2800. Such movements are not the result of natural supply and demand games in the market, but rather a strategy of double killing implemented by the main force through price manipulation.
From a trading logic perspective, the core purpose of volatility is to cleanse leveraged positions across the market: creating false breakout signals during periods of relatively thin liquidity, attracting high-leverage long funds to enter; then triggering long position liquidations through reverse smashing while using market panic to force low-position holders to cut losses, ultimately completing the collection of blood-stained chips. This process essentially exploits the market's greed and fear emotions to achieve indiscriminate cleansing of investors in different directions and holding states, rather than being a signal for the initiation of a trending market.
See original
The results are below expectations; what should we do next? With interest rate hikes approaching, should we short?
$ETH In the short term, influenced by dual core factors, the bearish pattern remains unchanged, with 2800 serving as the critical line for longs and shorts.
Liquidity: A suspected address associated with the Lido founder reduced its holdings by 14,585 ETH at an average price of $2928, cashing out $42.71 million, which increases short-term selling pressure. Macroeconomic: The U.S. November non-farm payroll data has been released, with expectations of adding 40,000 jobs, and the data has exceeded expectations.
Concentration of liquidation risk is high: Falling below 2800 will trigger $849 million in long liquidations, while breaking above 3000 will trigger $659 million in short liquidations. From a technical perspective, the 1-hour BOLL band has narrowed to 2900-2966, MACD shows a weak golden cross, and RSI is in the weak zone at 40, with resistance at 2970 and support between 2870-2800.
Liquidity: A suspected address associated with the Lido founder reduced its holdings by 14,585 ETH at an average price of $2928, cashing out $42.71 million, which increases short-term selling pressure. Macroeconomic: The U.S. November non-farm payroll data has been released, with expectations of adding 40,000 jobs, and the data has exceeded expectations.
Concentration of liquidation risk is high: Falling below 2800 will trigger $849 million in long liquidations, while breaking above 3000 will trigger $659 million in short liquidations. From a technical perspective, the 1-hour BOLL band has narrowed to 2900-2966, MACD shows a weak golden cross, and RSI is in the weak zone at 40, with resistance at 2970 and support between 2870-2800.
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Is it the regular army to save the situation? Or is it here to reap the last knife of this round?
Wall Street Giants Entering the Game
JPMorgan, managing over $4 trillion in assets, launched an on-chain money market fund on the Ethereum network, marking the official deep layout of traditional financial giants in the crypto market, building a key bridge for compliant institutional funding entry. This move is not an ordinary retail-level product innovation, but an institutional-grade crypto financial solution aimed at professional investors, whose industry demonstration effect far exceeds the product itself.
RWA Institutional Funding Entry Core Channel
The essence of JPMorgan's layout is to address the compliance and security pain points of traditional institutional funding entering the crypto market:
JPMorgan, managing over $4 trillion in assets, launched an on-chain money market fund on the Ethereum network, marking the official deep layout of traditional financial giants in the crypto market, building a key bridge for compliant institutional funding entry. This move is not an ordinary retail-level product innovation, but an institutional-grade crypto financial solution aimed at professional investors, whose industry demonstration effect far exceeds the product itself.
RWA Institutional Funding Entry Core Channel
The essence of JPMorgan's layout is to address the compliance and security pain points of traditional institutional funding entering the crypto market:
See original
Why do markets fail to respond to macro events?
Uncle San will explain the reasons for the recent consolidation to everyone.
Currently, the market is exhibiting a significant macro event dampening effect: after the two major announcements of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates as expected and the rising expectations of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates, $BTC and $ETH did not show the traditional rise and fall response, but instead fell into a range-bound oscillation pattern.
The core issue is not that the market is behaving unusually, but that market expectations have been sufficiently digested in advance. Information such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut path and Japan's monetary policy shift has been continuously released through various forward guidance and market expectation surveys prior to formal implementation, completing multiple rounds of pricing before the events occurred. This has resulted in a market that shows characteristics of not rising on good news and not falling on bad news when the events materialize:
Currently, the market is exhibiting a significant macro event dampening effect: after the two major announcements of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates as expected and the rising expectations of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates, $BTC and $ETH did not show the traditional rise and fall response, but instead fell into a range-bound oscillation pattern.
The core issue is not that the market is behaving unusually, but that market expectations have been sufficiently digested in advance. Information such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut path and Japan's monetary policy shift has been continuously released through various forward guidance and market expectation surveys prior to formal implementation, completing multiple rounds of pricing before the events occurred. This has resulted in a market that shows characteristics of not rising on good news and not falling on bad news when the events materialize:
See original
Is it a deliberate harvest? Or is it a benevolent dealer?
Hello everyone, I'm San Shu! Just when the market was scared out of its wits by the liquidation of 17 million long positions in 4 hours, the market had already hidden strong signals. Is this a bloodbath for the bulls? Or is it a precise clearing before the main force's rally! Follow San Shu so you won't get lost; today I'm going to reveal the true cards behind this wave of liquidations.
Looking at the news from the opposite perspective: liquidation is not a bearish signal; it's a major cleanup before the rise.
Data is here: 4 hours ZEC liquidated 17 million, 90% are long positions.
But don't just look at how much was liquidated; you need to see who was liquidated: these long positions are all leveraged trades chasing the rise recently, and the floating profits are unable to hold on, making them the most fragile chips in the market. The essence of the main force's operation this time is to concentrate on clearing the follow-up positions: washing out all the floating positions that are indecisive, alleviating the selling pressure, and afterwards, there won't even be resistance levels for the rally.
Looking at the news from the opposite perspective: liquidation is not a bearish signal; it's a major cleanup before the rise.
Data is here: 4 hours ZEC liquidated 17 million, 90% are long positions.
But don't just look at how much was liquidated; you need to see who was liquidated: these long positions are all leveraged trades chasing the rise recently, and the floating profits are unable to hold on, making them the most fragile chips in the market. The essence of the main force's operation this time is to concentrate on clearing the follow-up positions: washing out all the floating positions that are indecisive, alleviating the selling pressure, and afterwards, there won't even be resistance levels for the rally.
See original
Why did it drop so quickly after the interest rate cut?
Core macro events: Interest rate cut implemented but differences have intensified, expectations for easing have cooled
The Federal Reserve implemented a 25 basis point rate cut as expected, but significant differences emerged within the monetary policy decision-making body, with a vote of 9 in favor and 3 against, setting a record for the highest number of dissenting votes in six years, directly indicating the complexity of the current policy choices
Hawkish opposition logic: Some officials believe that inflationary pressures remain sticky, and an early rate cut could undermine previous anti-inflation achievements, with concerns that easing policies could trigger a rebound in inflation
Dovish opposition logic: Another group of officials advocates for a more substantial rate cut to preemptively hedge against potential economic downturn risks, avoiding lagging policy adjustments
The Federal Reserve implemented a 25 basis point rate cut as expected, but significant differences emerged within the monetary policy decision-making body, with a vote of 9 in favor and 3 against, setting a record for the highest number of dissenting votes in six years, directly indicating the complexity of the current policy choices
Hawkish opposition logic: Some officials believe that inflationary pressures remain sticky, and an early rate cut could undermine previous anti-inflation achievements, with concerns that easing policies could trigger a rebound in inflation
Dovish opposition logic: Another group of officials advocates for a more substantial rate cut to preemptively hedge against potential economic downturn risks, avoiding lagging policy adjustments
See original
Can
#美联储降息 The essence of interest rate cuts is long-term benefits and short-term drawbacks. In the short term, profit-taking occurs when positive outcomes are realized. In the long term, after an interest rate cut, there will be an influx of capital.
In this wave, I need to find a position to buy; if it reaches 84000, I will buy some BTC first.
In this wave, I need to find a position to buy; if it reaches 84000, I will buy some BTC first.
See original
How is it? What third uncle said is not wrong, right? $ETH has kept up with the rhythm and has at least 300 points, what should be the next step? You can privately message third uncle
#ETH走势分析
#ETH走势分析
三叔
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After this weekend, how will Ethereum move forward?
Core contradictions escalate: 1.73 billion liquidation symmetrical structure, a life-and-death situation dominated by the main players
ETH is currently trapped in a liquidation symmetrical game structure within the 3000-3200 range. This is not a natural market fluctuation, but rather a psychological pressure battlefield deliberately constructed by the main players. The bidirectional liquidation chips form a key game node:
Break above 3200: This will trigger the concentrated liquidation of 764 million USD in short positions, leading to a trend-driven rise and becoming the core ignition point for the main upward wave.
Break below 3000: This will trigger the forced liquidation of 973 million USD in long positions, resulting in a pullback to the 2800 range or even lower, completing the final round of deep washing and chip turnover.
ETH is currently trapped in a liquidation symmetrical game structure within the 3000-3200 range. This is not a natural market fluctuation, but rather a psychological pressure battlefield deliberately constructed by the main players. The bidirectional liquidation chips form a key game node:
Break above 3200: This will trigger the concentrated liquidation of 764 million USD in short positions, leading to a trend-driven rise and becoming the core ignition point for the main upward wave.
Break below 3000: This will trigger the forced liquidation of 973 million USD in long positions, resulting in a pullback to the 2800 range or even lower, completing the final round of deep washing and chip turnover.
See original
Amidst the sound of recession, we welcome the last interest rate cut of the year
Everyone, I'm back. During the two weeks of no updates, Uncle San has not been idle; in fact, he has been busier than usual.
In terms of business development, I have met many new friends in Dubai to learn from their experiences. Soon, we will officially start the MCN plan for the studio, and the major node plan mentioned at the end of the research report will be formally included in the work schedule. Partners who have not received their commission rebates after years in the field can come to us. Over the years, this is an extra income that is no less than ordinary trading.
In terms of market dynamics, there has been almost no good trading space in the past half month. Apart from a few counterfeit leaders guiding a short-term market trend, the market has been stagnant. Bitcoin and Ethereum have been fluctuating without breaking through the upper resistance or falling below the lower support. The market has been waiting, just like us, for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance after the meeting, and also for the final implementation of the yen interest rate hike.
In terms of business development, I have met many new friends in Dubai to learn from their experiences. Soon, we will officially start the MCN plan for the studio, and the major node plan mentioned at the end of the research report will be formally included in the work schedule. Partners who have not received their commission rebates after years in the field can come to us. Over the years, this is an extra income that is no less than ordinary trading.
In terms of market dynamics, there has been almost no good trading space in the past half month. Apart from a few counterfeit leaders guiding a short-term market trend, the market has been stagnant. Bitcoin and Ethereum have been fluctuating without breaking through the upper resistance or falling below the lower support. The market has been waiting, just like us, for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance after the meeting, and also for the final implementation of the yen interest rate hike.
See original
Core pattern of the market, how should Ethereum be approached?
$ETH Currently showing a 4-hour level oscillation and stalemate, price anchored at the core center of 3110 USD, intense competition around key price levels, with clear core characteristics of the market.
Key price level system:
Central point: 3110 (core of short-term competition between bulls and bears)
Resistance level: 3239 (key defense line for medium-term bears, breakthrough needs volume confirmation)
Support zone: 3050-3100 (important defensive range for the current market)
Moving average structure signal:
Short-term moving average: 3054 forms support below, medium-term moving average follows price fluctuations.
Long-term moving average: 3239 continues to suppress price upward movement, showing a pattern of short and medium-term moving averages intertwining, with long-term moving averages under pressure, clearly indicating that the medium-term trend is still dominated by bears.
Key price level system:
Central point: 3110 (core of short-term competition between bulls and bears)
Resistance level: 3239 (key defense line for medium-term bears, breakthrough needs volume confirmation)
Support zone: 3050-3100 (important defensive range for the current market)
Moving average structure signal:
Short-term moving average: 3054 forms support below, medium-term moving average follows price fluctuations.
Long-term moving average: 3239 continues to suppress price upward movement, showing a pattern of short and medium-term moving averages intertwining, with long-term moving averages under pressure, clearly indicating that the medium-term trend is still dominated by bears.
See original
Yesterday was the weekend, I initially wanted to give myself some rest time. In the evening, $ETH there was a back-and-forth pin insertion of 250 points, as if someone was manipulating and cursing us. Earlier in the morning, I opened a short position at 3040 and took profit at 2930, because the expected scenario was a breakdown accelerating downward, opening a downward channel. As a result, I entered a short position again at 2950, and the outcome was being pulled back to 3050 for a stop loss. In such extreme market conditions, hardly anyone can capitalize on two segments. Recently, there has been too much news, both positive and negative are being released. It is still important to operate based on the levels I organized for you earlier, and there must be clear level settings! For those brothers who have not yet entered the market, I still suggest waiting a bit longer, until clear signals are given before entering. Holding cash does not mean giving up; holding onto a position is what leads to loss #ETH走势分析 .
三叔
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After this weekend, how will Ethereum move forward?
Core contradictions escalate: 1.73 billion liquidation symmetrical structure, a life-and-death situation dominated by the main players
ETH is currently trapped in a liquidation symmetrical game structure within the 3000-3200 range. This is not a natural market fluctuation, but rather a psychological pressure battlefield deliberately constructed by the main players. The bidirectional liquidation chips form a key game node:
Break above 3200: This will trigger the concentrated liquidation of 764 million USD in short positions, leading to a trend-driven rise and becoming the core ignition point for the main upward wave.
Break below 3000: This will trigger the forced liquidation of 973 million USD in long positions, resulting in a pullback to the 2800 range or even lower, completing the final round of deep washing and chip turnover.
ETH is currently trapped in a liquidation symmetrical game structure within the 3000-3200 range. This is not a natural market fluctuation, but rather a psychological pressure battlefield deliberately constructed by the main players. The bidirectional liquidation chips form a key game node:
Break above 3200: This will trigger the concentrated liquidation of 764 million USD in short positions, leading to a trend-driven rise and becoming the core ignition point for the main upward wave.
Break below 3000: This will trigger the forced liquidation of 973 million USD in long positions, resulting in a pullback to the 2800 range or even lower, completing the final round of deep washing and chip turnover.
See original
After this weekend, how will Ethereum move forward?
Core contradictions escalate: 1.73 billion liquidation symmetrical structure, a life-and-death situation dominated by the main players
ETH is currently trapped in a liquidation symmetrical game structure within the 3000-3200 range. This is not a natural market fluctuation, but rather a psychological pressure battlefield deliberately constructed by the main players. The bidirectional liquidation chips form a key game node:
Break above 3200: This will trigger the concentrated liquidation of 764 million USD in short positions, leading to a trend-driven rise and becoming the core ignition point for the main upward wave.
Break below 3000: This will trigger the forced liquidation of 973 million USD in long positions, resulting in a pullback to the 2800 range or even lower, completing the final round of deep washing and chip turnover.
ETH is currently trapped in a liquidation symmetrical game structure within the 3000-3200 range. This is not a natural market fluctuation, but rather a psychological pressure battlefield deliberately constructed by the main players. The bidirectional liquidation chips form a key game node:
Break above 3200: This will trigger the concentrated liquidation of 764 million USD in short positions, leading to a trend-driven rise and becoming the core ignition point for the main upward wave.
Break below 3000: This will trigger the forced liquidation of 973 million USD in long positions, resulting in a pullback to the 2800 range or even lower, completing the final round of deep washing and chip turnover.
See original
It's time to start paying attention to position management and leverage adjustment!
Upgrade of core macro variables in the market: The Bank of Japan is highly likely to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at the monetary policy meeting on December 19, bringing the policy rate up to 0.75%, which will set a new record high since 1995. From the perspective of capital flow logic, the upward movement of the yen interest rate center will inevitably drive the yen exchange rate to strengthen, and this process is usually accompanied by a large-scale concentration of yen arbitrage trading globally — such arbitrage trading relies on borrowing yen at low interest rates and converting it into other currencies to allocate risk assets, which has been one of the key sources of financing liquidity supporting the rebound of crypto assets such as $BTC $ETH . As the financing cost of the yen rises and the arbitrage space narrows, the funds relying on yen leverage in the cryptocurrency market will face substantial tightening pressure, which may trigger passive liquidation of leveraged positions in the short term, thereby amplifying market volatility. High-leverage traders need to pay close attention to this liquidity contraction risk and proactively optimize position structures and stop-loss settings.
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Next time remember, hemp and oysters make life more fun 😀
白歌Bit
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The market is not good, let's invite Uncle San to relieve some stress! @三叔
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$ZEC , Let's chat with everyone again $ZEC , yesterday's stretch may have made some feel that ZEC's pullback has ended, but the greater possibility is to fill the gap of 395. After filling, the scenario of going down to touch 295 is the double kill plot set by the market maker. Everyone must manage their positions diligently and wait for a confirmation signal before opening positions! The confirmation signal can refer to the point mentioned by Uncle San earlier, which is $ZEC . I hope everyone can survive in the market!
#zec
#zec
三叔
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Is this wave of ZEC's crash a normal consolidation?
After finishing the key points yesterday, the market indeed followed Uncle San's prediction again, with a drop breaking the key local support from $400 → $370 → $295. I mentioned this to everyone yesterday; it is a standard and clearly signaled short opportunity: the technical structure has long released a warning of weakening, with early key support levels continuously breached, and coupled with the RSI consistently failing to break through the downward trend line, the weak pattern has been fully confirmed under multiple signal resonances. Looking back at ZEC's current market trend, from 40 to 700, a cumulative increase of up to 1750%. After such an astonishing rise, it entered a correction → consolidation phase, which is essentially a healthy repair of the trend, fully conforming to market operation rules, and there is no need for excessive surprise. However, where it will finally adjust to is still a bottom, and we need to observe market behavior to judge!
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Stop being caught in the double kill of bulls and bears, come in and learn!
Uncle San is here to discuss the current market situation and core logic: ETH surged strongly yesterday, accurately reaching the first target of 3220! What will happen next?
The current market shows three key features: Liquidity concentration at target levels: The range of 3220-3250 is a densely accumulated liquidity zone from the previous period, with a large number of orders competing, and there is a demand for liquidity absorption, making the probability of a direct breakthrough in the short term low;
Profit-taking pressure from bulls is emerging: After this round of surge, bulls have substantial floating profits, facing concentrated profit-taking pressure near 3220, combined with overbought signals (RSI/MACD are both in high regions), short-term correction momentum is accumulating;
The current market shows three key features: Liquidity concentration at target levels: The range of 3220-3250 is a densely accumulated liquidity zone from the previous period, with a large number of orders competing, and there is a demand for liquidity absorption, making the probability of a direct breakthrough in the short term low;
Profit-taking pressure from bulls is emerging: After this round of surge, bulls have substantial floating profits, facing concentrated profit-taking pressure near 3220, combined with overbought signals (RSI/MACD are both in high regions), short-term correction momentum is accumulating;
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