佑安日记A
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"10% of market changes are experience, 90% are response"
The fluctuations that others fear are the "scalpels" for Youan's split profits; the trends that others chase are the "testing grounds" Youan uses to validate strategies.
Here at Youan, there are no market trends that cannot be deciphered, only instructions that have not been executed well.
$SOL $XRP $BNB #美联储降息预期升温 #美国加征关税
The fluctuations that others fear are the "scalpels" for Youan's split profits; the trends that others chase are the "testing grounds" Youan uses to validate strategies.
Here at Youan, there are no market trends that cannot be deciphered, only instructions that have not been executed well.
$SOL $XRP $BNB #美联储降息预期升温 #美国加征关税
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Many times, the turning point of things lies in the first step you dare to take.
In September, there were many friends with expectations to find You'an—yet I never thought of betraying this trust; for every entrusted task, I have done my best to deliver a truly impressive answer.
Now that the completeness of September has been concluded, in October, we will continue to accompany you to reach new heights with even more confidence!
$SOL $BNB $XRP #加密市场反弹
In September, there were many friends with expectations to find You'an—yet I never thought of betraying this trust; for every entrusted task, I have done my best to deliver a truly impressive answer.
Now that the completeness of September has been concluded, in October, we will continue to accompany you to reach new heights with even more confidence!
$SOL $BNB $XRP #加密市场反弹
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12.17 Evening Analysis
Reviewing the day, Bitcoin started its downward trend near 88000, with the lowest point around 86100 before entering a narrow consolidation phase. Overall, it presented a fluctuation rhythm of "first 📉 then stable".
From the hourly Bollinger Bands perspective, the channel shows a slight angle of divergence downward, with all three lines slightly inclined downward, and the divergence slope is gentle, without the extreme trend characteristics of a sudden increase in volume 📉. Dian Wei touched the lower track and reversed, but was never able to break through the middle track resistance, and during the reversal process, it remained below the middle track, which is consistent with the typical structure of "the middle track under pressure in a weak market situation".
Bitcoin 88100-89000 range, watch 85900-84700
Second coin 2980-3040 range, watch 2860-2780
$SOL $XRP $BNB #美国非农数据超预期 #ETH走势分析
Reviewing the day, Bitcoin started its downward trend near 88000, with the lowest point around 86100 before entering a narrow consolidation phase. Overall, it presented a fluctuation rhythm of "first 📉 then stable".
From the hourly Bollinger Bands perspective, the channel shows a slight angle of divergence downward, with all three lines slightly inclined downward, and the divergence slope is gentle, without the extreme trend characteristics of a sudden increase in volume 📉. Dian Wei touched the lower track and reversed, but was never able to break through the middle track resistance, and during the reversal process, it remained below the middle track, which is consistent with the typical structure of "the middle track under pressure in a weak market situation".
Bitcoin 88100-89000 range, watch 85900-84700
Second coin 2980-3040 range, watch 2860-2780
$SOL $XRP $BNB #美国非农数据超预期 #ETH走势分析
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12.17 XAG Evening
The intraday XAG trend fulfilled the expectations of the morning strategy, but did not experience a pullback and directly surged above the target of 66, then retreated into a high-level consolidation state. During the pullback, there was no panic selling, highlighting the strong willingness of bulls to hold positions.
From the news perspective, the dual attributes of silver as a "commodity + financial" resonate and exert strength: global industrial demand for photovoltaics, AI data centers, etc., continues to expand, combined with the rigid supply caused by a supply-demand gap over the past five years, providing strong support for silver prices; under the expectation of Fed easing, investment funds are flowing into precious metals, and the logic of gold-silver ratio restoration continues, jointly consolidating the short-term bullish pattern.
From the hourly Bollinger Bands perspective, it shows a strong bullish channel shape, with three lines synchronously sloping upwards, and the channel width gradually expanding, confirming the continuous strengthening of bullish forces. After breaking through the upper track, the pullback did not touch the middle track, consistently operating below the upper track, which is a typical bullish continuation signal; during the period of volume contraction, the fluctuation of points narrowed, indicating weak willingness to exit profit positions, with bulls firmly in control, confirming a very high probability of subsequent upward attacks.
(65.4 entry, 65.0 add, 64.6 protect, look at 67-69)
Personal opinion, not constituting investment operation
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
The intraday XAG trend fulfilled the expectations of the morning strategy, but did not experience a pullback and directly surged above the target of 66, then retreated into a high-level consolidation state. During the pullback, there was no panic selling, highlighting the strong willingness of bulls to hold positions.
From the news perspective, the dual attributes of silver as a "commodity + financial" resonate and exert strength: global industrial demand for photovoltaics, AI data centers, etc., continues to expand, combined with the rigid supply caused by a supply-demand gap over the past five years, providing strong support for silver prices; under the expectation of Fed easing, investment funds are flowing into precious metals, and the logic of gold-silver ratio restoration continues, jointly consolidating the short-term bullish pattern.
From the hourly Bollinger Bands perspective, it shows a strong bullish channel shape, with three lines synchronously sloping upwards, and the channel width gradually expanding, confirming the continuous strengthening of bullish forces. After breaking through the upper track, the pullback did not touch the middle track, consistently operating below the upper track, which is a typical bullish continuation signal; during the period of volume contraction, the fluctuation of points narrowed, indicating weak willingness to exit profit positions, with bulls firmly in control, confirming a very high probability of subsequent upward attacks.
(65.4 entry, 65.0 add, 64.6 protect, look at 67-69)
Personal opinion, not constituting investment operation
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
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12.17 XAU Evening
The intraday XAU trend has fulfilled the morning prediction by You'an, peaking at the 4342 line before retreating. Currently, it is undergoing narrow consolidation—during the decline, there has been no panic selling, and trading volume has moderately decreased, indicating that bulls are not in a hurry to exit.
From a news perspective, the ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to provide underlying support for gold prices, while the expectation of warmer U.S. economic data for the evening has been partially priced in. The rebound in the U.S. dollar index is limited, making it difficult to exert substantial pressure on gold. In the short-term tug-of-war, the bulls still hold a potential advantage.
From the hourly Bollinger Bands perspective, the channel shows a horizontal fluctuation but with signs of bullish structure, with the three lines arranged parallel. The channel range remains stable. After the peak and decline, it has consistently adhered to the middle track, failing to effectively break below the middle track support, indicating that the middle track area is an important defensive position for the bulls, with strong support; the lower track is gradually rising from the intraday low. Although a clear opening has not formed, it has shown a bullish prototype of "lower track rising, middle track stabilizing."
(4305 enter, 4290 add, 4280 defend, look for 4340-4360)
Personally, I see this as not constituting an investment operation
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
The intraday XAU trend has fulfilled the morning prediction by You'an, peaking at the 4342 line before retreating. Currently, it is undergoing narrow consolidation—during the decline, there has been no panic selling, and trading volume has moderately decreased, indicating that bulls are not in a hurry to exit.
From a news perspective, the ongoing geopolitical tensions continue to provide underlying support for gold prices, while the expectation of warmer U.S. economic data for the evening has been partially priced in. The rebound in the U.S. dollar index is limited, making it difficult to exert substantial pressure on gold. In the short-term tug-of-war, the bulls still hold a potential advantage.
From the hourly Bollinger Bands perspective, the channel shows a horizontal fluctuation but with signs of bullish structure, with the three lines arranged parallel. The channel range remains stable. After the peak and decline, it has consistently adhered to the middle track, failing to effectively break below the middle track support, indicating that the middle track area is an important defensive position for the bulls, with strong support; the lower track is gradually rising from the intraday low. Although a clear opening has not formed, it has shown a bullish prototype of "lower track rising, middle track stabilizing."
(4305 enter, 4290 add, 4280 defend, look for 4340-4360)
Personally, I see this as not constituting an investment operation
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
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12.17 XAG Intraday (Subsequent)
As mentioned by Youan in the morning, XAG has once again reached a new high and is standing firm above 66.
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
As mentioned by Youan in the morning, XAG has once again reached a new high and is standing firm above 66.
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
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12.17 XAU Intraday (Subsequent)
The target point given by Youan in the morning has been fulfilled by the movement at noon.
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
The target point given by Youan in the morning has been fulfilled by the movement at noon.
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
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Escalation of Sanctions Against Venezuela Disrupts the Crude Oil Market: Geopolitical Premiums Soar in the Short Term, Fundamentals Determine Medium to Long-Term Trends
The Trump administration's sanctions against Venezuela have escalated once again, ordering a complete blockade of sanctioned oil tankers entering and leaving Venezuela, and designating the Maduro regime as a 'foreign terrorist organization.' This action immediately caused significant fluctuations in the crude oil market — although Venezuela's crude oil exports have already dropped to low levels due to long-term sanctions, the geopolitical signals and disruptions in transport routes have still led to short-term volatility in international oil prices, especially for Brent crude oil. Ultimately, the medium to long-term trend of oil prices will depend on the fundamentals of global supply and demand.
From the short-term market reaction, geopolitical risk premiums have become the main driver pushing up oil prices. Brent crude oil, as the core benchmark for global crude oil pricing, is far more sensitive to international geopolitical conflicts than WTI crude oil, which is primarily influenced by domestic supply and demand in the United States. This time, the U.S. has directly blocked the transport routes for Venezuelan crude oil, combined with the extreme characterization of the Maduro regime, causing the market to suddenly worry about the safety of crude oil transportation in the Caribbean. This emotional panic quickly reflected in prices, and Brent crude oil is likely to experience a sharp rise in the short term, with volatility also significantly increasing. Even though Venezuela's current daily crude oil export volume is less than 500,000 barrels, accounting for only 0.5% of global crude oil trade, the actual impact on global supply is limited. However, the market is more concerned about the signal of 'escalated sanctions' — investors cannot help but worry that the U.S. might apply this set of measures to other oil-exporting countries, increasing uncertainty on the supply side.
From the short-term market reaction, geopolitical risk premiums have become the main driver pushing up oil prices. Brent crude oil, as the core benchmark for global crude oil pricing, is far more sensitive to international geopolitical conflicts than WTI crude oil, which is primarily influenced by domestic supply and demand in the United States. This time, the U.S. has directly blocked the transport routes for Venezuelan crude oil, combined with the extreme characterization of the Maduro regime, causing the market to suddenly worry about the safety of crude oil transportation in the Caribbean. This emotional panic quickly reflected in prices, and Brent crude oil is likely to experience a sharp rise in the short term, with volatility also significantly increasing. Even though Venezuela's current daily crude oil export volume is less than 500,000 barrels, accounting for only 0.5% of global crude oil trade, the actual impact on global supply is limited. However, the market is more concerned about the signal of 'escalated sanctions' — investors cannot help but worry that the U.S. might apply this set of measures to other oil-exporting countries, increasing uncertainty on the supply side.
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Will the precious metals 'century surge' come to an end? Analysts: Next year may welcome a multi-year bear market, and the current celebration is already in its final stages
The year-end precious metals market's 'peak rally' continues, but a warning about the end of the trend has quietly emerged. Although most analysts are optimistic about gold and silver prices reaching new highs before the end of the year, Avi Gilburt, founder of Elliott Wave Trader, has presented a contrary view in his latest report — this round of precious metal price increases is entering the 'final phase,' and investors need to prepare for a multi-year correction that could begin as early as next year.
Gilburt's core logic is that the current strength of precious metals is not the starting point of a new bull market, but rather the conclusion of a super long cycle. He points out that the starting point of this rally was, in fact, a 'cycle reset' after precious metals underwent years of ETF liquidations and a lack of investor interest in 2015; 'This is not the beginning of a new cycle, but more likely the end of a long upward cycle.' He further predicts that 2026 may become the endpoint of the long-term uptrend for gold and silver and is likely to trigger a sustained multi-year bear market.
Gilburt's core logic is that the current strength of precious metals is not the starting point of a new bull market, but rather the conclusion of a super long cycle. He points out that the starting point of this rally was, in fact, a 'cycle reset' after precious metals underwent years of ETF liquidations and a lack of investor interest in 2015; 'This is not the beginning of a new cycle, but more likely the end of a long upward cycle.' He further predicts that 2026 may become the endpoint of the long-term uptrend for gold and silver and is likely to trigger a sustained multi-year bear market.
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Compared to burying one's head and working hard, it's better to look up and see if the direction is correct.
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
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12.17 Intraday Analysis
The overall price of Bitcoin is oscillating in the range of 86000-88200.
From the hourly Bollinger Bands, the channel has gradually changed from an upward slant to parallel movement; the upper band has flattened, while the lower band and the middle band maintain a slight angle of divergence upwards, indicating a "strong oscillation consolidation structure after the upward trend." This suggests that although the previous momentum has temporarily paused, the market participants have not completely exited, and the strong oscillation structure has not been broken.
Buy Bitcoin at 86500-85500, target 89000-90000.
Buy Ethereum at 2910-2850, target 3010-3060.
$SOL $XRP $BNB #美国非农数据超预期 #ETH走势分析
The overall price of Bitcoin is oscillating in the range of 86000-88200.
From the hourly Bollinger Bands, the channel has gradually changed from an upward slant to parallel movement; the upper band has flattened, while the lower band and the middle band maintain a slight angle of divergence upwards, indicating a "strong oscillation consolidation structure after the upward trend." This suggests that although the previous momentum has temporarily paused, the market participants have not completely exited, and the strong oscillation structure has not been broken.
Buy Bitcoin at 86500-85500, target 89000-90000.
Buy Ethereum at 2910-2850, target 3010-3060.
$SOL $XRP $BNB #美国非农数据超预期 #ETH走势分析
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12.17 UKOIL Intraday
OPEC+ November production cut execution rate exceeded 103% (Saudi Arabia voluntarily extended the reduction of 1 million barrels/day until Q1 2026, Russia reduced production by 500,000 barrels/day), global crude oil supply continues to tighten; the situation in the Red Sea escalates, Houthi forces have attacked 3 merchant ships this week, increasing shipping risks in the Suez Canal, raising geopolitical premiums; US API crude oil inventory data shows that inventory decreased by 2.3 million barrels last week (expected decrease of 1.5 million barrels), demand side marginally warmed; coupled with the US dollar index breaking through key support, the attractiveness of crude oil priced in dollars increases, thus long positions can be arranged.
59.3 entry: this level is the "4-hour MA20 moving average (+ previous fluctuation platform upper edge + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level" triple resonance point. Yesterday, when oil prices retraced to this level, the 1-hour RSI fell from overbought (75) to the neutral zone of 52, and trading volume simultaneously decreased (selling pressure was only 25% of the previous day’s volume), indicating strong buying support here—light positions can take advantage of the previous stabilization inertia, reducing short-term fluctuation risk.
59.0 add position, this corresponds to the daily 5-day moving average support, and is also the lower edge of the "1-hour upward trend line." This is a technical verification point for the previous "pullback not breaking the 5-day moving average = continuation of bullish trend," adding positions can further lower holding costs.
Defense at 58.8, this level is the key support of the 4-hour Bollinger band middle track. If it falls below 58.8, it means the lower edge of the "fluctuating upward channel" is lost, the daily 5-day moving average is effectively broken, and the previous support zone may become ineffective, one should decisively cut losses and exit.
Look at 60.4-61.0
(59.3 entry, 59.0 add, 58.8 defense, look at 60.4-61.0)
Personal opinion, not constituting investment operation
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
OPEC+ November production cut execution rate exceeded 103% (Saudi Arabia voluntarily extended the reduction of 1 million barrels/day until Q1 2026, Russia reduced production by 500,000 barrels/day), global crude oil supply continues to tighten; the situation in the Red Sea escalates, Houthi forces have attacked 3 merchant ships this week, increasing shipping risks in the Suez Canal, raising geopolitical premiums; US API crude oil inventory data shows that inventory decreased by 2.3 million barrels last week (expected decrease of 1.5 million barrels), demand side marginally warmed; coupled with the US dollar index breaking through key support, the attractiveness of crude oil priced in dollars increases, thus long positions can be arranged.
59.3 entry: this level is the "4-hour MA20 moving average (+ previous fluctuation platform upper edge + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level" triple resonance point. Yesterday, when oil prices retraced to this level, the 1-hour RSI fell from overbought (75) to the neutral zone of 52, and trading volume simultaneously decreased (selling pressure was only 25% of the previous day’s volume), indicating strong buying support here—light positions can take advantage of the previous stabilization inertia, reducing short-term fluctuation risk.
59.0 add position, this corresponds to the daily 5-day moving average support, and is also the lower edge of the "1-hour upward trend line." This is a technical verification point for the previous "pullback not breaking the 5-day moving average = continuation of bullish trend," adding positions can further lower holding costs.
Defense at 58.8, this level is the key support of the 4-hour Bollinger band middle track. If it falls below 58.8, it means the lower edge of the "fluctuating upward channel" is lost, the daily 5-day moving average is effectively broken, and the previous support zone may become ineffective, one should decisively cut losses and exit.
Look at 60.4-61.0
(59.3 entry, 59.0 add, 58.8 defense, look at 60.4-61.0)
Personal opinion, not constituting investment operation
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
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12.17 XAG Intraday
In the industrial sector, there is an explosive demand for silver in photovoltaics, new energy vehicles, and AI computing servers. By 2025, the global silver supply-demand gap is expected to reach 3659 tons (the highest in five years). COMEX silver inventories continue to deplete to historical lows. In the financial sector, expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut are increasing, and the dollar is weakening. Coupled with a surge in net inflows into silver ETFs and adjustments in inventory by Middle Eastern central banks leading to short covering, these factors collectively push up the central price of silver. Although there is a short-term profit-taking due to the doubling of prices within the year, the medium to long-term bullish trend remains unchanged, and the pullback is merely a consolidation for bulls, so buying on dips is advisable.
64.0 is a good entry point, as it aligns with the "lower edge of the 4-hour rising channel + near the 5-day moving average + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level," creating a triple resonance point. When the silver price retraced to this area yesterday, the 1-hour RSI remained at 59.559 (not entering the oversold zone), and the volume was only 28% of the previous day's volume, indicating that selling pressure has exhausted and buying strength is strong. Entering with light positions can rely on channel support to reduce short-term volatility risk.
63.7 is a good level to add positions, corresponding to the core support of the 5-day moving average + strong support above the daily pivot point, and also the central point of the previous consolidation platform. Adding positions requires meeting two conditions: first, the price must not quickly break below 63.7 after falling to that level, and second, the 4-hour MACD must remain above the zero line (not crossing down). At this point, adding positions can further lower the cost of holding.
Defensive level at 63.4, this point is the "turning point of the trend" — closely adjacent to the daily level rising trend line (formed by connecting the December lows), and is above the key defensive level of the previous low at 63.28. If it breaks below 63.4, it means the structure of the 4-hour rising channel has failed, and the bullish arrangement of daily moving averages may be broken; at that time, one should decisively exit the market.
Targeting 66-68
(Enter at 64, add at 63.7, defend at 63.4, target 66-68)
Personal opinion, not to be considered as investment advice
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
In the industrial sector, there is an explosive demand for silver in photovoltaics, new energy vehicles, and AI computing servers. By 2025, the global silver supply-demand gap is expected to reach 3659 tons (the highest in five years). COMEX silver inventories continue to deplete to historical lows. In the financial sector, expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut are increasing, and the dollar is weakening. Coupled with a surge in net inflows into silver ETFs and adjustments in inventory by Middle Eastern central banks leading to short covering, these factors collectively push up the central price of silver. Although there is a short-term profit-taking due to the doubling of prices within the year, the medium to long-term bullish trend remains unchanged, and the pullback is merely a consolidation for bulls, so buying on dips is advisable.
64.0 is a good entry point, as it aligns with the "lower edge of the 4-hour rising channel + near the 5-day moving average + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level," creating a triple resonance point. When the silver price retraced to this area yesterday, the 1-hour RSI remained at 59.559 (not entering the oversold zone), and the volume was only 28% of the previous day's volume, indicating that selling pressure has exhausted and buying strength is strong. Entering with light positions can rely on channel support to reduce short-term volatility risk.
63.7 is a good level to add positions, corresponding to the core support of the 5-day moving average + strong support above the daily pivot point, and also the central point of the previous consolidation platform. Adding positions requires meeting two conditions: first, the price must not quickly break below 63.7 after falling to that level, and second, the 4-hour MACD must remain above the zero line (not crossing down). At this point, adding positions can further lower the cost of holding.
Defensive level at 63.4, this point is the "turning point of the trend" — closely adjacent to the daily level rising trend line (formed by connecting the December lows), and is above the key defensive level of the previous low at 63.28. If it breaks below 63.4, it means the structure of the 4-hour rising channel has failed, and the bullish arrangement of daily moving averages may be broken; at that time, one should decisively exit the market.
Targeting 66-68
(Enter at 64, add at 63.7, defend at 63.4, target 66-68)
Personal opinion, not to be considered as investment advice
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
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12.17 XAU Intraday
The Federal Reserve's December interest rate cut has landed, and the purchase of 40 billion in government bonds has started, with liquidity easing directly lowering the dollar; the unemployment rate in the United States surged to 4.6% in November, cooling the labor market and strengthening the expectation of interest rate cuts in 2026; the global central bank gold purchasing spree continues (the People's Bank of China has increased its holdings for 13 consecutive months), combined with the Middle East situation that could reverse at any time, short-term corrections are merely the bulls' consolidation, so one can continue to lay out long positions.
4294 is the entry point, where there is a triple resonance of "previous high turning support + 4-hour MA20 moving average + yesterday's pullback low." When gold prices retraced to this point yesterday, the 1-hour RSI fell from overbought to the neutral zone at 50, with volume simultaneously decreasing (selling pressure was only 30% of the previous day's volume), indicating strong buying support here, which is the most comfortable "entry point" for bulls, and light positions can reduce short-term volatility risk.
4282 can be added to the position, corresponding to the convergence of the daily 5/10 moving averages, and is also the neckline of the V-shaped reversal last Thursday — when the gold price fell to 4282, it quickly rebounded over 20 points, forming a "long lower shadow" stabilization signal. Adding to the position at this time can further lower the holding cost.
4274 is the stop-loss, this point is the "trend watershed" — closely adjacent to yesterday's low of 4271, and is also the lower support of the daily-level "long-legged doji." If it breaks below 4274, it means the structure of yesterday's V-shaped reversal is invalidated, and the bullish arrangement of the daily moving averages may be broken, while the 4-hour Bollinger Bands' middle line is lost, and the short-term trend will turn from bullish to sideways. Exiting with a stop-loss is the only choice to avoid deep adjustments; positions must not be held.
Look at 4346-4363
(Entry at 4294, add at 4282, stop at 4274, look at 4346-4363)
Personal opinion, not constituting investment advice
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
The Federal Reserve's December interest rate cut has landed, and the purchase of 40 billion in government bonds has started, with liquidity easing directly lowering the dollar; the unemployment rate in the United States surged to 4.6% in November, cooling the labor market and strengthening the expectation of interest rate cuts in 2026; the global central bank gold purchasing spree continues (the People's Bank of China has increased its holdings for 13 consecutive months), combined with the Middle East situation that could reverse at any time, short-term corrections are merely the bulls' consolidation, so one can continue to lay out long positions.
4294 is the entry point, where there is a triple resonance of "previous high turning support + 4-hour MA20 moving average + yesterday's pullback low." When gold prices retraced to this point yesterday, the 1-hour RSI fell from overbought to the neutral zone at 50, with volume simultaneously decreasing (selling pressure was only 30% of the previous day's volume), indicating strong buying support here, which is the most comfortable "entry point" for bulls, and light positions can reduce short-term volatility risk.
4282 can be added to the position, corresponding to the convergence of the daily 5/10 moving averages, and is also the neckline of the V-shaped reversal last Thursday — when the gold price fell to 4282, it quickly rebounded over 20 points, forming a "long lower shadow" stabilization signal. Adding to the position at this time can further lower the holding cost.
4274 is the stop-loss, this point is the "trend watershed" — closely adjacent to yesterday's low of 4271, and is also the lower support of the daily-level "long-legged doji." If it breaks below 4274, it means the structure of yesterday's V-shaped reversal is invalidated, and the bullish arrangement of the daily moving averages may be broken, while the 4-hour Bollinger Bands' middle line is lost, and the short-term trend will turn from bullish to sideways. Exiting with a stop-loss is the only choice to avoid deep adjustments; positions must not be held.
Look at 4346-4363
(Entry at 4294, add at 4282, stop at 4274, look at 4346-4363)
Personal opinion, not constituting investment advice
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
See original
Today's Summary
The flight situation is always right; only oneself is wrong.
When you start complaining about the persimmon market, it is precisely the moment to decisively correct your perception, and You An always remains clear-headed.
#现货黄金 #美国非农数据超预期 $SOL $XRP $BNB
The flight situation is always right; only oneself is wrong.
When you start complaining about the persimmon market, it is precisely the moment to decisively correct your perception, and You An always remains clear-headed.
#现货黄金 #美国非农数据超预期 $SOL $XRP $BNB
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12.16 XAU Evening (Follow-up)
Youan's evening reminder, XAU has undergone a day of consolidation, the bulls have accumulated strength, buying on dips is advisable, the trend has confirmed the strategy, reaching a high of 4319, cautious traders can take profits, those aiming for 4330 can adjust their stop-loss to prevent profit reversal.
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
Youan's evening reminder, XAU has undergone a day of consolidation, the bulls have accumulated strength, buying on dips is advisable, the trend has confirmed the strategy, reaching a high of 4319, cautious traders can take profits, those aiming for 4330 can adjust their stop-loss to prevent profit reversal.
$SOL $XRP $BNB #现货黄金
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12.16 UKOIL Intraday (Subsequent)
The strategy provided by Youan in the morning has reached the target point directly by the evening.
#现货黄金 $SOL $XRP $BNB
The strategy provided by Youan in the morning has reached the target point directly by the evening.
#现货黄金 $SOL $XRP $BNB
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Non-farm data falls into the 'distortion dilemma'; how should Wall Street clear the fog?
When the October-November non-farm report arrives amid the aftershocks of the government shutdown and statistical loopholes, this data, which should have been a policy barometer for the Federal Reserve, has instead become 'the most confusing answer sheet' in the eyes of Wall Street. A record 43-day government shutdown caused a disruption in data collection, while the lagging effects of federal employee separation benefits distorted employment statistics. Additionally, seasonal disruptions from holiday hiring have made interpreting this non-farm data significantly more challenging, and private sector employment data has thus become the only tool for the market to clear the fog.
The distortion in this non-farm data stems from the cumulative impacts of multiple non-market factors. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) was unable to complete the full data collection for the October household survey due to the government shutdown, resulting in the October unemployment rate being the first 'absent' monthly data since 1948. At the same time, the federal employee buyout benefits introduced by the Trump administration in the spring took effect in the fall, compounded by the temporary unemployment of hundreds of thousands of federal employees during the shutdown, which caused the employment estimates for October and November to deviate from the actual market supply and demand. Although the reliability of the business survey is relatively higher, these administrative variables still caused the non-farm data to lose its precise reflection of the labor market.
The distortion in this non-farm data stems from the cumulative impacts of multiple non-market factors. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) was unable to complete the full data collection for the October household survey due to the government shutdown, resulting in the October unemployment rate being the first 'absent' monthly data since 1948. At the same time, the federal employee buyout benefits introduced by the Trump administration in the spring took effect in the fall, compounded by the temporary unemployment of hundreds of thousands of federal employees during the shutdown, which caused the employment estimates for October and November to deviate from the actual market supply and demand. Although the reliability of the business survey is relatively higher, these administrative variables still caused the non-farm data to lose its precise reflection of the labor market.
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12.16 Evening
The intraday Bitcoin is gradually rising with a fluctuating upward posture, breaking through to around 87500.
From the hourly Bollinger Bands perspective, the current bag mouth presents a typical 'bottleneck breakthrough' pattern, with the upper and lower bands not converging but showing a diverging trend, and the price has consistently remained above the upper band since the breakout, which is a characteristic of bullish dominance.
From a technical logic perspective, the 'bottleneck' bag mouth is a process of accumulation for both bulls and bears, and the subsequent divergence of the upper and lower bands, along with the price consistently remaining above the upper band, signifies that after the accumulation, the bulls have taken control of the rhythm, breaking through the original balance range. The price continuing to operate above the upper band indicates that there is not only no short-term retracement pressure, but rather a 'stronger remains strong' situation — the upper band becomes a dynamic support, and each pullback is a process for the bulls to further consolidate their advantage.
In the short term, this combination of 'bottleneck breakthrough + band divergence + price moving upwards along the upper band' is a typical strong continuation pattern.
(There will be non-farm data tonight, do not hold the bag)
Bitcoin 86400-85400 long, look at 88700-90000
Ethereum 2910-2860 long, look at 3050-3100
$SOL $XRP $BNB #美联储降息 #ETH走势分析
The intraday Bitcoin is gradually rising with a fluctuating upward posture, breaking through to around 87500.
From the hourly Bollinger Bands perspective, the current bag mouth presents a typical 'bottleneck breakthrough' pattern, with the upper and lower bands not converging but showing a diverging trend, and the price has consistently remained above the upper band since the breakout, which is a characteristic of bullish dominance.
From a technical logic perspective, the 'bottleneck' bag mouth is a process of accumulation for both bulls and bears, and the subsequent divergence of the upper and lower bands, along with the price consistently remaining above the upper band, signifies that after the accumulation, the bulls have taken control of the rhythm, breaking through the original balance range. The price continuing to operate above the upper band indicates that there is not only no short-term retracement pressure, but rather a 'stronger remains strong' situation — the upper band becomes a dynamic support, and each pullback is a process for the bulls to further consolidate their advantage.
In the short term, this combination of 'bottleneck breakthrough + band divergence + price moving upwards along the upper band' is a typical strong continuation pattern.
(There will be non-farm data tonight, do not hold the bag)
Bitcoin 86400-85400 long, look at 88700-90000
Ethereum 2910-2860 long, look at 3050-3100
$SOL $XRP $BNB #美联储降息 #ETH走势分析
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