大盘走势

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The price of Bitcoin encountered resistance after rebounding to 94150, falling slightly below expectations. The market is clearly weak, currently oscillating in a small range, but it is already nearing the end and will soon choose a direction.

Overall, the trend is likely to continue weakly, with a downward direction being the main judgment. A relatively good support level below is the previous low area of 80600. Entering the 80000-82000 range may present an opportunity for a rebound, with a high level of rebound expected, targeting the previous strong resistance at 98000. Looking at the broader picture, after this rebound, a larger scale decline is expected, with the next significant opportunity anticipated to occur below 75000.

Ethereum has consistently performed weaker than Bitcoin after the rebound, with the altcoin market also showing weakness. The market's profitability has dropped to freezing point, liquidity is further depleting, and a significant increase is needed to break the death spiral, requiring patience. Due to Ethereum's relatively weak position, the subsequent decline may be smoother, with a high probability of breaking the previous low of 2623, ideally targeting around 2300. It's uncertain if there will be an opportunity! Resistance above is at 3240, with strong resistance at 3520. Recent operations can only be low-buying segment trades, with more patience needed before the big opportunity arrives.

$BTC

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Financial Research Society - December 3, 2025

1. The Crypto Fear Index has risen to 28, escaping the 'extreme fear' zone.
2. SEI has been included in the Coinbase COIN50 index.
3. The total net inflow of the US Solana spot ETF reached $45.77 million in a single day.
4. US banks allow wealth advisors to recommend clients allocate up to 4% of their assets in Bitcoin;
5. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) has launched the Bitcoin Volatility Index.

Accompanied by Trump's statements and the probability of rate cuts rising to 90%, Bitcoin and Ethereum have formed a V-shaped reversal, with a four-hour rebound bringing it back to around the previous high of 93,000. The daily moving average death cross has turned into a golden cross pattern, but it is still constrained by the daily lifeline and the upper Bollinger band, forming a reversal on the four-hour chart and a rebound on the daily chart. From the monthly perspective, this is also a rebound after a bearish candlestick piercing three. Key attention should be paid to whether the good news will drive continued volume expansion and whether the impact of the good news on the market will persist, which determines the height of the rise.

Bitcoin's reference fluctuation range today:
Support levels: around 89,500, around 87,600, around 86,400
Resistance levels: around 93,000, around 94,000
Ethereum's reference fluctuation range today:
Support levels: around 2,900, around 2,840, around 2,796
Resistance levels: around 3,100, around 3,200 #ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 #大盘走势 $ETH $ETH

$BTC $ETH
Today, the daily line has engulfed yesterday's large bearish line, showing signs of stabilization.

Whether it will break through still needs to be confirmed again. If this wave rebounds high, it may need to retest in January.

Let's see how the end of this month closes. #大盘走势 #BinanceBlockchainWeek #加密市场回调

Finance Research Society – December 2, 2025

Bitcoin is under pressure from the middle track of the Bollinger Bands on the daily chart and has not broken through to stabilize. After grinding for multiple days on the four-hour chart, it has broken down again, once more breaching the four-hour and daily Bollinger Bands. The four-hour level has repeatedly drawn in trades, and the market remains in a downward trend. Each rebound basically maintains a four-hour level oversold rebound, falling back near the life line or the upper track of the Bollinger Bands. Both indicators and market sentiment have shifted from a bull market to a bear market, and the rebounds in altcoin spot trading are also hard to sustain, all being short-term rebounds, primarily focused on downward fluctuations!

Bitcoin's reference range for today's fluctuations:
Support levels: around 84200, around 83500, around 82800
Resistance levels: around 87300, around 88500
Ethereum's reference range for today's fluctuations:
Support levels: around 2750, around 2700, around 2640
Resistance levels: around 2830, around 2880 #加密市场回调 #ETH走势分析 #大盘走势 $BTC $ETH

Who has withstood this big drop?

Brothers, today's market is truly chilling!

The Bank of Japan suddenly turned hawkish, hinting at raising interest rates, reigniting concerns about global capital flowing back to Japan;
Trump said Powell should resign, and the market is worried about the independence of the Federal Reserve, leading to another wave of panic;
The People's Bank of China has once again made a strong statement, resolutely cracking down on virtual currency trading, and stablecoins have also been clearly defined as targets for the crackdown, with regulatory measures becoming increasingly stringent;
The DeFi sector is also not at ease, as the Yearn Finance yETH pool was hacked, resulting in a loss of nearly $3 million in assets, and security vulnerabilities have once again undermined market confidence...

Is it hopeless now?
$BTC Ahr999 The investment indicator has already reached 0.57, not far from the bottom line of 0.45. Now, investing in spot BTC every day has already become very cost-effective. But we must also guard against the possibility of a pullback to 80,000.

In a high-interest-rate environment, market liquidity has not yet recovered; this process may take 1-2 months, until most people exit the market... As for the weekly level bottom, I think we may have to wait until the end of next year to potentially see $45,000-$55,000.

This week, everyone should pay close attention to Powell's speech and the U.S. PCE price index, as they will be short-term indicators!

Patience is needed now. If you feel confused about the current trend or want to discuss how to control risks specifically, 扫码进聊天室, I will guide you step by step.

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$BTC $ETH

· Main Tone: The market is currently in a volatile consolidation phase, waiting for a directional breakthrough. Operating with light positions near key price levels and setting stop-loss orders is crucial for risk control.
· Pay Attention to Macroeconomic Trends: The Federal Reserve's interest rate policy is an important catalyst for the current market. The high expectations for a rate cut in December (according to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability is 86.9%) provide support for the market, and any changes regarding interest rate trends may cause market fluctuations.
· Be Aware of Market Sentiment: The cryptocurrency fear and greed index has risen from 'extreme fear' to 28, entering the 'fear' range. This indicates that market confidence is gradually recovering, but sentiment remains fragile and susceptible to news impact.

Risks and Opportunities

· Upside Opportunity: If Bitcoin can strongly break through and stabilize above $93,500, it may attract more buying interest, opening the channel upwards to $97,000 - $100,000.
· Downside Risk: If Bitcoin falls below the $90,000 mark, especially if it further drops below $88,000, it may trigger a deeper correction, testing support levels down to $84,000 - $80,600.
· Note on Liquidity: Due to the Thanksgiving holiday, market liquidity and trading volume may be low, which can amplify price volatility.

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The pressure level has shifted upwards, and the big pie has changed to positions 94000 and 96000. There is still some space; manage your operations as you see fit. Overall, it is still recommended to slowly control your positions, as the big pie is likely heading to 70,000.

$BTC

DOGE market analysis, April 15:

Yesterday's market direction was basically correct, but the actions of the dog dealer were elusive, and the price gap slightly deviated from expectations, which showed the unpredictability of the dog dealer.

On the daily chart, the price fluctuated upward in the falling range of the Bollinger channel, forming a cross star.

The long and short forces are still in fierce competition today. The MACD indicator shows that the short volume is strong, and the fast and slow lines are both showing a downward trend. The lower support level is near the MA60 line, about 0.154.

On the 4-hour chart, the price is under pressure and fluctuates upward above the Bollinger middle line. The MACD indicator shows that the long volume has increased again, but the KDJ indicator shows that the upward momentum has weakened, and the J line has turned high, indicating that the price may rise and then fall. The pressure level is still at today's high.

On the 1-hour chart, the price began to fall back and is located in the Bollinger rising channel. The MACD indicator shows that the long volume is shrinking, and the KDJ indicator has a dead cross downward, and the support level is about 0.157.

Short-term trend:

If the price does not fall below the support level of 0.157-0.148 in the evening, it is expected to hit today's high again. However, the upper 0.186-0.174 position is still under pressure and may continue to pull back.

Short-term focus:

Short-term pressure level: 0.170-0.186
Short-term support level: 0.157-0.148

The above is my personal analysis of today's DOGE market, for reference only.

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#BTC、 $BTC This wave of market may break through the historical high, but it may also continue to fluctuate in a large range. The positions we entered at a low position before are now all profitable, so we can consider pulling up the stop loss and let the profits run. If it breaks through $71,500 but does not rise further, it may continue to fluctuate. The current support and resistance levels are not much different, because the market has no obvious direction yet. Remember to develop a good stop loss habit, close part of the profit in time, and move the stop loss above the cost line. Just like the operation on GMX, if the stop loss is not pulled up in time, it may turn profit into loss. Therefore, a good trading strategy is very important. I wish you all a smooth transaction! The market is currently relatively flat, so you can take some time to watch a movie or go shopping.
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The current market of altcoins is really like this: if Bitcoin goes up, it will not follow the rise; if Bitcoin goes down, it will fall.
This is the disadvantage of ETFs. The capital inflow is too concentrated, and altcoins cannot get a share.
People only recognize BTC, and they don’t recognize other coins.
This leads to the market differentiation in a certain period. BTC has always had money flowing in, and altcoins are only played by people in the circle;
Breakthrough situation
1. Bitcoin goes to a new high to open up the situation, and altcoin dealers are willing to pull the market;
2. The altcoins fall for a period of time, and then wash the market and pull up again;
3. ETH or SOL ETFs are passed, and funds begin to enter the ecosystem.
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The 4-hour candlestick structure of Bitcoin does show some divergence at present.

The low point of Ethereum on April 14 set a clear tone for the subsequent trend, but Bitcoin hit a new low again on the 19th due to the Israeli incident, which undoubtedly increased the complexity of the interpretation of the market.

According to the structural guidance of Ethereum, 67232 seems to be the starting point of the decline and departure segment, which means that we are in the continuation of the downward trend.
From the structure of Bitcoin itself, it seems that it will first test the support near 60,000, then rebound, and finally consider whether to break. Although the position of 60,000 seems fragile, it still has its support.

Intraday observation, the decline and departure segment starting from 64,370 has not yet shown a clear end signal. Even if there has just been a wave of rapid rise, this cannot be used as a basis for the end of the trend. What is more noteworthy is that the intraday correction seems to have formed a third selling point, which indicates that there may be a new low at night.

For the future market, whether the key position of 60,000 can be maintained will depend on the two expectations mentioned above.
In addition, I would like to emphasize that the range of 60,000 to 53,000 is actually a relatively scarce area. If the market is weak, it may briefly touch 59,000 and then rebound quickly, or there may be a rapid decline to 53,000 and then rise again. Such a trend will accumulate more momentum for the future market gains.

In the short term, we should be cautious about changes in the market. If Ether wants to turn strong again, it must successfully reverse last night's high.
At the current price of 62,300 to 62,500, it is recommended to maintain a short position and pay close attention to the support of 60,500. Subsequently, according to the changes in the downward momentum, decide whether to switch to long operations.
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There will be a big opportunity after May Day.

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Careful friends will find that many currencies that have exploded have weak indicators before the explosion.

First create panic, wash out some people, and it is easier to pull the market when the car is light.

Bitcoin ETF has been net inflow recently, but the market is still not strong enough, so those who are long in contracts here should be cautious, don't be washed, and be cautious about the future market.

So this time the market changes, can you seize the opportunity to get on the car, this wave of ups and downs, can you accurately grasp the entry and exit points of the contract?

In the ever-changing market, no one reminds you, no one shows you the way, you are easy to miss the opportunity, professional things are left to professionals, and I have always been there!

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