现货黄金

12.12 XAU Intraday (Subsequent)
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​ Morning reminder to enter long near 4262, 👆 target 4300, as we move into the afternoon, the trend has confirmed the strategy.
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12.12 XAG Evening

During the day, XAG started a fluctuating upward trend from the 63.3 line, and in the evening, it successfully reached the target range of 64-65 given by Youan in the morning, with the market rhythm highly consistent with expectations.

From the hourly Bollinger Bands perspective, the channel presents a narrow upward-sloping channel pattern: although the overall channel is gradually narrowing, both the upper and middle bands maintain a clear upward slope, with the points consistently relying on the middle band for support in the upward fluctuation, and continuing to drive the upper band to move slightly upwards. This pattern indicates that the narrowing of the channel after the previous rise is not a signal of a trend reversal, but more a temporary accumulation of bullish strength; the simultaneous upward movement of the middle band provides solid dynamic support for the current upward fluctuation, and the basis for trend continuity remains intact.

The MACD indicator maintains operation above the zero axis in the core bullish area: although there is a trend of the double lines forming a death cross, it is important to clarify that the zero axis serves as a dividing line between bullish and bearish; the potential death cross at this location more points to "a temporary correction of short-term bullish momentum" rather than a fundamental change in the bullish-bearish pattern. Currently, there are no extreme signals indicating a significant reduction in red column momentum or a rapid expansion of green columns, suggesting that the environment dominated by bulls still exists, and the short-term correction leans more towards a slowdown in market rhythm rather than a reversal of the trend.

Overall, the upward slope of the hourly Bollinger Bands confirms the current main trend direction, while the potential death cross on the MACD zero axis indicates a demand for correction in short-term momentum; both suggest that XAG is currently in a "short-term consolidation phase within an upward trend." As long as the point does not fall below the support of the Bollinger Bands middle band, the overall upward structure remains intact, and after a short-term correction, it still has the momentum to further impact the upper edge of the 65 range.

(63.5 entry, 63.0 add, protect 62.6, look for 65-66)

Personal opinion, not constituting investment advice

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12.12 XAU Intraday

Market bets on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December are heating up, with Fed rate futures showing a cut probability exceeding 70%. Dovish expectations become the core bullish support for gold;

At the same time, the number of initial unemployment claims in the U.S. increased in early December, and retail sales data was weak, putting short-term pressure on the U.S. dollar index, benefiting gold priced in dollars; in addition, new friction signals have emerged from geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East, with safe-haven buying slightly returning. Under multiple bullish resonances, short-term bearish pressure on gold is dissipating.

Therefore, long positions can continue to be established.

4262 is the support area after the previous rise and is also the confluence support level of the short-term moving averages (MA5/MA10). After the price retraces to this range, stabilizing and stopping the decline is a reasonable critical point for the first establishment of long positions under a "high break and pullback bullish structure." Therefore, it can be used as an entry point.

4256 corresponds to the second confirmation point below the support and is also the pullback verification range after breaking through 4260 previously; if the price briefly dips to this level, it represents a "pullback replenishment opportunity under a bullish structure." Replenishing positions below the support can amplify long positions, thus this position can be used to add to positions.

Meanwhile, 4245 is the recent rise neckline and also the upper critical point of the previous oscillation range; if the price effectively breaks below this level, it means that the "high break and pullback bullish" technical structure is broken, and the core logic of the bulls becomes invalid. Setting the stop-loss at this point allows for a clear definition of the stop-loss boundary, avoiding being trapped passively after a trend reversal.

The target can be seen at 4285-4300

(Enter at 4262, add at 4256, protect at 4245, target at 4285-4300)

Personal opinion, not an investment operation
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12.12 UKOIL Intraday

Rumors have emerged that OPEC+ plans to deepen production cuts, raising market expectations for a contraction in crude oil supply.

Additionally, the shipping risks in the Strait of Hormuz have slightly increased, elevating short-term buying concerns due to worries about crude oil transport routes.

Furthermore, U.S. API crude oil inventory data unexpectedly recorded a decrease, combined with a recovery in forward-looking global manufacturing PMI data, leading to a marginal improvement in crude oil demand expectations;

In addition, after crude oil prices dipped to a phase low of 61.07, the sentiment for a rebound from the oversold position is gradually brewing. Therefore, the operational strategy can follow the approach of buying on dips.

When it pulls back to 61.6, the support from buying after being oversold and the technical neckline resonate, marking a reasonable critical point for the initial positioning of bulls under the “oversold rebound structure.”

The supplementary position is at 61.3, corresponding to the secondary confirmation level above the phase low of 61.07, which also serves as a temporary stabilization platform during the previous decline; if it briefly dips to this level, it represents an “opportunity for deep pullback replenishment in the oversold rebound.”

The defense can look at 61, which is the key critical point below the phase low of 61.07, and also the lower support of the current oversold rebound structure; if the price effectively breaks below this level, it means the technical structure of “low-level stabilization rebound” is broken, and the core logic for bulls will fail accordingly.

Target level: 62.4-62.8

(Enter at 61.6, supplement at 61.3, defend at 61, aiming for 62.4-62.8)

Personal opinion, not constituting investment advice
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12.12 XAG Intraday

Market bets on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December continue to heat up, the US dollar index weakens in the short term, and precious metals priced in dollars collectively gain support from the pricing end;

On the other hand, global manufacturing PMI forward-looking data releases warming signals, industrial demand expectations for silver increase, coupled with safe-haven buying returning due to geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East, a dual logic boosts silver's short-term bullish momentum.

Currently, XAG is in an upward trend structure (prices oscillate higher along the rising trend line, with consistently rising lows and constantly refreshing highs), as it can take advantage of the upward trend to buy on pullbacks.

Entry point at 62.4 is because it belongs to the key support zone of the rising trend line, and it is also the upper edge of the oscillation platform after the previous breakout. After the price pulls back to this range, it is likely to trigger a rebound, making it a reasonable critical point for the first bullish layout in the "upward trend."

The replenishment position can be set at 61.6, which corresponds to the upper edge of the previous rally's consolidation platform and is also a typical support level for "pullback confirmation" in the upward trend; if the price briefly dips to this level, it is considered a "deep pullback replenishment opportunity in the upward trend," allowing for an increase in bullish positions below the support level.

The defensive point can be set at 60.8, which is the lower critical point of the rising trend line. If the price effectively breaks below this level, it indicates that the "oscillating upward trend" has been disrupted.

Target 64-65

(Entry at 62.4, replenish at 61.6, replenish at 60.8, target 64-65)

Personal opinion, does not constitute investment advice
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12.11 XAU Evening (Follow-up)

Youan reminded in the evening that XAU should be bought on dips, and it was clearly stated where to buy, with the trend being 4205-4244.
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12.11 UKOIL (Follow-up)
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​ YouAn provided a bullish outlook this morning, which has been fulfilled by the price movement.

62.5-61.67
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Yesterday, the public strategy 4190 began to lay out long positions, perfectly hitting the target of 4245! With only 2 lots bought (with a few hundred in margin) on a golden 53 points, one can achieve a profit of 10,000 dollars! #比特币VS代币化黄金 #现货黄金 #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH $SOL

12.10 XAG Evening

XAG continues to show a strong rhythm during the day: not only has there been no pullback or weakness, but it has also broken through the upper edge of the previous consolidation platform, with prices reaching a maximum of 61.590, presenting an overall strong structure of "breakout - pullback consolidation".

From the hourly indicators, the current Bollinger Bands are in a "narrowing mouth" state - the lower and middle bands are diverging upwards, while the upper band has slightly turned down. This corresponds to the "consolidation after breakout":

The upward diverging lower band + middle band forms a short-term strong support range;

The turning of the upper band indicates that the "momentum for a direct surge has temporarily converged," and the market will primarily advance with "pullback support before attacking again," rather than an unordered surge.

Therefore, evening operations can continue the idea of entering long positions after the day's pullback.

The entry point can be seen at the key pullback level after the breakout - 60.0. This level also resonates with the "hourly Bollinger Bands middle band" and the upper edge of the rising trend line, combining the dual safety logic of "indicator support + trend structure support";

The additional position is at 59.5: corresponding to the upper edge of the hourly consolidation range, and also a dynamic support area of the Bollinger Bands lower band, belonging to a "deep pullback point in a strong trend," where a pullback to this level is a safe entry point for adding positions;

The stop-loss level is at 59.0: this is the lower edge of the consolidation range over the last three trading days, and also the core support level of the rising trend line in the chart - if effectively broken, the hourly upward structure will be damaged, increasing the risk of a trend reversal;

(Enter at 60, add at 59.5, stop at 59.0, target 62-63)

Personal opinion, does not constitute investment advice

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12.10 Zhao Jinyan: XAUUSD European Market Analysis

📌 Gold's fluctuations remain directional｜Pullbacks are still opportunities to enter

The market's repeated movements are not to torment people but to help you filter positions; stabilize the rhythm, and opportunities will naturally come.

Currently, gold is still operating within a high-level fluctuating structure leaning towards bullishness. After rising to 4259, it fell back but quickly gained support around 4170 and rebounded, indicating strong buying interest below, making it difficult for bears to apply continuous downward pressure. The current price is consolidating around 4195, which is a normal correction after the rise, and not a trend reversal. As long as key support is not lost, the bulls still hold the initiative.

Structurally, the price is in a range: the upper level 4220–4250 serves as phase resistance, while the lower level 4180–4170 acts as short-term core support. The short cycle has shown multiple retests without breaking, demonstrating a typical strong fluctuation rhythm of 'slow declines, quick recoveries'. In terms of news, the expectation of interest rate cuts remains, dollar upward momentum is limited, and combined with central bank gold purchases and geopolitical uncertainties, this forms a mid-term support for gold prices, limiting downward space.

4195–4190 can continue to move north, initially looking at 4205–4215,
if it stabilizes with volume, look for 4220–4230.

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12.10 XAG Intraday

The global demand for silver in the photovoltaic industry has surged by 40% year-on-year, with London spot silver delivery stocks falling below 4000 tons, creating a tight market situation and a continued escalation of short squeeze trading sentiment; at the same time, there are currently no negative events disturbing the flow of funds, and the precious metals sector is receiving incremental capital support.

One can wait for a pullback to 60.0 to enter the market, as this is a key psychological level for the previous bullish breakout, representing a "resistance-turned-support zone" after the breakout; if the intraday point pulls back to this level, it serves as a confirmation opportunity under the "oscillating upward structure" and is also stuck at the support balance point of the bull-bear battle, making the entry relatively certain.

If the point further pulls back to 59.5, this also belongs to a "healthy pullback within the ascending structure," allowing for the option to add positions here, which can lower the overall holding cost.

The defense can be placed at the lower support of the ascending trend structure at 59.5; if the point effectively breaks below this position, it means that the current "oscillating upward" technical framework is broken, and the bullish logic will fail; setting the defense point here can clarify the stop-loss boundary and avoid the risk of being passively trapped after a trend reversal.

The target can be set at 62-63, which is the measurement range of the ascending wave segment, and aligns with the current bullish inertia space under the short squeeze sentiment; after reaching this range, profits can be locked in batches based on actual conditions.

(Enter at 60, add at 59.5, defend at 59.0, target 62-63)

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📌 Gold remains stable at high levels｜The real opportunity lies in the pullback

The market provides profits, which are never achieved overnight; those who understand how to wait for a pullback can go further and hold more steadily.

From the current trend, gold continues to operate within a high-level consolidation structure. After the previous price surged to 4264, a pullback occurred, but it received effective support at 4163 and did not break down, indicating that the buying strength below remains solid. Subsequently, the price fluctuated around the 4210–4220 range repeatedly, which indicates that the bulls are digesting the floating profits at high levels, rather than signaling a trend reversal.

From a technical structure perspective, the hourly level maintains a range-bound operation, with the upper range of 4222–4260 acting as a phase resistance zone, and the lower range of 4180–4165 serving as the current bullish defense zone. As long as this support area holds, the overall rhythm still leans towards a renewed upward movement after the pullback. The current position is not suitable for chasing the rise but is more appropriate for waiting for price retracements to provide opportunities.

From a news perspective, the market's expectations for subsequent Fed interest rate cuts remain stable, the dollar lacks sustained strengthening momentum, and simultaneously, the geopolitical situation and central bank gold purchases provide mid-term support for gold, limiting the downside potential of gold prices.

Operational thoughts: 4205-4210, focus on 4220 for rebounds,
If a breakout occurs with volume and remains stable, pay attention to 4230–4245 above. (The strategy is time-sensitive, ensure proper protection at 8, for reference only)

Overall, the gold trend remains unchanged; the fluctuations are merely a process. Patience in waiting for a pullback layout is still the optimal solution at present.
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Summary of September 12:

Today's gold trading was mainly focused on making profits. The market confirmed its direction through repeated pullbacks, and patience is more important than judgment. Those who can stay in the game are not necessarily the ones who predict the market most accurately, but those who respect the structure and follow the trend even amidst volatility. #加密市场反弹 #现货黄金 #现货跟单 $BTC $ETH $SOL

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Today’s Summary

The unsuccessful basket can simply be summed up with the phrase "lost."

On the other hand, the successful basket is more complex, encompassing "direction," "entry timing," "patience," and "exit timing."

A basket can be simple or complex; it depends on how you do it.
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Why doesn't our country loosen restrictions on cryptocurrency? This is the truth.

Many people have a question in their minds: seeing cryptocurrency being hotly traded overseas, why does our country insist on restrictions? In fact, this is not about 'rejecting innovation', but rather a genuine protection of people's livelihoods and financial security.

First, let's clarify a misconception: the world is not 'rushing to support' cryptocurrency. While Western countries seem to loosen restrictions, they are actually bound by layers of regulatory shackles — trading platforms require licenses, large transfers must be traced, and retail investors face thresholds; more countries classify it as a high-risk asset or outright ban on-site trading, with only a handful of countries truly allowing it to run free.

Our country chooses to impose restrictions, primarily to mitigate three major risk points. First, cryptocurrency lacks a tangible value anchor, its price relies entirely on capital speculation, with fluctuations akin to a roller coaster. Ordinary people following the trend can easily become 'chives' being harvested, with cases of overnight liquidation being commonplace. Second, its anonymity and decentralized attributes have created a 'grey channel' for money laundering and cross-border illegal capital flows, making regulation extremely difficult and easily fostering financial crime. Third, cryptocurrency trading is detached from the sovereign currency system. If it develops chaotically, it could undermine the status of fiat currency and disrupt financial stability.

In contrast, traditional assets like gold have been visible and tangible hard currencies for thousands of years, with stable returns and controllable risks. There's no need to stay up late watching the market or fear liquidation; it is truly a suitable investment choice for ordinary people. The country's restrictions on cryptocurrency are not about preventing everyone from making money, but about not letting everyone gamble their fortunes on the edge of a knife. #现货黄金 #比特币

European盘大黄解析｜回撤试探，低多仍是主思路

大黄目前仍在窄区震荡。盘面来看，回落过程中并未出现连续放量下跌，更多是高位获利盘释放，结构上依旧处在多头回调节奏中。

从技术面看，4170–4165 属于短线重要支撑区域，与前期震荡中枢重合，只要该区域不被有效跌破，行情仍有再次向上的条件；上方 4200–4215 依旧是欧洲盘反弹的第一道压力，若重新站稳，价格有望再次测试 4235–4250 区域。

结合消息面来看，市场对美联储年内降息预期维持高位，美元走势偏弱，同时全球央行购金与地缘局势的不确定性，对黄金形成中期支撑。欧洲盘整体缺乏新的强利空驱动，更倾向于技术性整理而非深跌。

回踩 4180–4185 可轻仓尝试哆，
反弹目标先看 4200–4215，
若放量突破，可继续上看 4230–4235。
（策略具有时效性，带好保护8，仅供参考）#比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #现货黄金 $BTC $ETH $SOL

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📌 Today's Key Financial Schedule Overview｜Don't Miss Key Points!

On Tuesday (12.09), multiple major financial data and events will come, and the market volatility window is fully opened👇

🔹 11:30
🇦🇺 Reserve Bank of Australia announces interest rate decision
→ The direction of interest rates may affect the Australian dollar and commodity prices

🔹 12:30
🇦🇺 RBA Governor Lowe holds a monetary policy press conference
→ Pay attention to wording details to assess future policy direction

🔹 15:00
🇩🇪 Germany's October seasonally adjusted trade balance
→ An important reference for the economic situation in Europe

🔹 19:00
🇺🇸 US November NFIB Small Business Confidence Index
→ Reflects the business sentiment of small and medium-sized enterprises, guiding economic expectations

🔹 23:00
🇺🇸 US October JOLTs job openings
→ A key indicator of labor market heat, may affect US Treasury bonds and the dollar

🌙 Key points to watch for the next day:
⏰ 01:00 EIA Monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook Report
⏰ 02:00 US 10-Year Treasury Auction (Winning Yield & Bid-to-Cover Ratio)
⏰ 05:30 API Weekly Crude Oil Inventory

📈 Summary in one sentence:
👉 Interest Rates + Employment + Energy all converge
👉 For traders, don't sleep too early tonight #比特币VS代币化黄金 #现货黄金 $BTC $ETH #XAUUSD

In this market situation——#XAUUSD
👉 Holding is more important than making random moves
👉 As long as the lower bound of the range is not broken, let the market give you time
​Dodan continues to hold, continuing to see 4210, and buying on the dips. $BTC $ETH $SOL #比特币VS代币化黄金 #现货黄金创历史新高 #现货黄金

📌 Gold's consolidation does not change its bullish nature｜Retracement is just an opportunity to position

The market has never feared slowness, it fears your impatience. Real opportunities are often hidden in retracement and patience.

From the current gold trend, the overall structure still maintains a bullish consolidation rhythm. The previous price started a strong rise from the 4040 line, reaching a high of 4264, and then did not show a trend decline, but entered a high-level consolidation phase. Currently, the price oscillates around 4190, resembling a digestion and correction after the rise rather than a signal to turn bearish.

From the market structure, each decline shows clear support, and the lows have not been effectively broken, indicating that bullish funds have not exited. This current trend is essentially exchanging time for space, laying the groundwork for subsequent directional trends. As long as key support is not lost, the overall idea remains bullish.

In terms of operation, it still emphasizes an old saying: do not chase highs, wait for retracement.
Gold's retracement to 4185–4180, look for a rebound to 4210 first; if it breaks above and stabilizes, the upper space is expected to further open up, looking towards 4245–4260. (The strategy is time-sensitive, protection zone 8, for reference only)

Overall, gold is still in a strong bullish market consolidation, and a pullback is not scary; what is scary is chasing in emotional turbulence. Patience to wait for the right position and follow the trend is the most prudent rhythm at present. #比特币VS代币化黄金 #现货黄金 $BNB $SOL $BTC #现货以太坊ETF获美SEC批准

Hello everyone, I am Zhao Zhao.
The market opens on Monday, and the new trading day begins. The overall outlook for XAUUSD remains unchanged, still favoring a retracement.

From the news perspective, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December has risen to 87.2%, and interest rate expectations continue to decline, effectively lowering the cost of holding gold while weakening the strength of the dollar; coupled with global central banks continuously increasing gold holdings and a rebound in gold ETF positions, there is a clear bottom-supporting effect from the funding side. At the same time, geopolitical risks such as the Red Sea shipping crisis are repeatedly fermenting, increasing risk-averse sentiment, which provides medium to long-term support for gold prices.

On the technical side, gold has stabilized at the key level of 4200, the short-cycle MACD golden cross continues, and the bullish structure remains intact. The current retracement is more of a normal correction in a strong trend rather than a reversal into a decline.

In operation, continue to mainly go long in the direction of the trend, near 4180 for a northern move, with the first target at 4220. If it breaks above and stabilizes, further look towards 4250. (Note: Strategies are time-sensitive and for reference only, please ensure proper protection)
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