usjobsdata

The U.S. labor market posted a stronger-than-expected gain of 119,000 jobs in September, even as the unemployment rate unexpectedly climbed to 4.4%, according to long-delayed government data released Thursday.The report — originally scheduled for early October — was pushed back six weeks due to the federal government shutdown, leaving markets without timely labor figures throughout a volatile period.What to KnowThe U.S. added 119,000 jobs, beating economist expectations of 50,000.The unemployment rate rose to 4.4%, above the 4.3% forecast.The shutdown-delayed jobs report arrives as markets weigh fading Fed rate-cut odds.Bitcoin held modest gains around $91,900 following strong Nvidia earnings.Next up-to-date labor data will not be released until mid-December.Delayed Report Shows Labor Market Firmer Than ExpectedThe Bureau of Labor Statistics data showed nonfarm payrolls rising by 119,000 in September. Economists had projected 50,000, following a revised 4,000-job decline in August (originally reported as a 22,000 gain).However, the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.4%, suggesting a softening in labor-market conditions despite stronger hiring.The late release complicates the near-term economic outlook, as policymakers, analysts and traders lack fresh data heading into the Federal Reserve’s final 2025 meeting.Market Reaction: Bitcoin Holds Gains, Nasdaq Futures JumpBitcoin continued to hold its modest overnight lift, trading near $91,900 after Nvidia’s strong earnings and upbeat outlook calmed jittery markets late Wednesday.U.S. equity futures extended those gains:Nasdaq futures +1.9%S&P 500 and Dow futures higher10-year Treasury yield steady at 4.11%U.S. dollar index slightly strongerThe jobs report did not materially shift sentiment, as markets had already priced out a December rate cut.Fed Rate Cut Expectations Unlikely to ChangeTraders had largely eliminated the possibility of a December interest rate cut prior to the data release, citing:the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone in recent speechesuncertainty caused by missing labor-market dataconcerns about inflation persistenceThursday’s numbers — strong on payrolls but weaker on unemployment — are unlikely to alter those expectations.With no updated employment report arriving until mid-December, the Fed will go into its final 2025 meeting with only partial visibility into labor conditions.OutlookThe September report offers a backward-looking snapshot of a labor market that remains resilient but is showing signs of cooling at the margins. Markets now await the next batch of timely data, though it may arrive after key policy decisions are already made.For now:hiring is strongerunemployment is risingand the Fed’s December calculus remains unchangedCrypto and equities continue to take signals primarily from earnings strength, tech momentum and shifting rate expectations rather than delayed economic data.

🚀 POLKADOT (DOT) Weekly Analysis — Historic Support Hit! 🧨💫
A massive moment is unfolding on Polkadot’s (DOT) weekly chart, and the market is entering a critical phase. Here’s the full breakdown for traders and long-term investors:
1️⃣ Market Structure & Cycle Outlook
DOT has officially completed a full 5-year cycle reset.
Price has fallen back to $1.98, the exact level where the 2020 mega bull run began.
The major uptrend broke in early 2022 — and DOT has remained in bear structure ever since.
This puts the asset at Ground Zero, historically where big trend reversals begin.
2️⃣ Key Price Levels to Watch
🟢 $1.98 – $2.00 (The “Kiss of Life” Support)
This is DOT’s most important support zone.
This level launched the 2020 bull run.
Returning here suggests capitulation + seller exhaustion.
A strong bounce is technically very likely.
⚠️ BUT: Weekly closes below $1.98 could trigger deep downside price discovery
🔴 Major Resistance: $10.67 (Marked as $10)
This is the wall DOT must break to confirm a new bull trend.
Rejected in 2022, 2023, 2024 — each time with heavy selling pressure.
No strong bullish market structure until DOT reclaims $10 on the weekly chart.
⚠️ Intermediate Resistance Zones
Broken trendline now acting as hard diagonal resistance.
First upside targets in a reversal: $4.50 – $5.00 zone.
3️⃣ Technical Picture
Round Trip Completed: From $55 → back to $2 (full cycle).
Triple Rejection at $10 shows a massive supply block.
Market likely entering Accumulation Phase if $1.98 holds.
4️⃣ Investor Scenarios
⭐ Scenario A — Bottom Formation (Bullish Reversal Setup)
Thesis:
DOT is sitting on its strongest historical support. The current R/R is extremely attractive.
📌 Accumulation Zone:
➡️ $1.98 – $2.10
📌 Stop-Loss:
➡️ Below $1.80
📌 Targets:
First target: $4 – $5
Major target: $10+ retest
Long-term potential if market flips bullish: $50 (Old ATH)
🚀 Conclusion:
DOT is at a historic “decision point.”
Either a major reversal begins here — or the market enters new downside territory.
All eyes on $1.98.
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