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Wall Street’s Fear Index Is Lying About BTC The implied volatility spread between $BTC and the VIX—Wall Street’s primary fear index—is currently ripping apart. This isn't just a statistical anomaly; it signals a fundamental decoupling of risk perception. Traditionally, high VIX implied generalized market panic, but $BTC is now exhibiting independent volatility expansion, suggesting that institutional capital is treating crypto risk entirely separate from equity risk. This divergence is the sweet spot for sophisticated traders. When the volatility profiles separate this sharply, it often precedes unique pair trading opportunities—long volatile crypto assets against short stable traditional hedges. This shift demands a nuanced strategy, moving beyond simple correlation plays. The market is screaming that crypto is now its own asset class, not just a high-beta proxy for the S&P 500. Secondary volatility plays like $PIEVERSE often amplify these macro shifts. This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly. #BTC #Volatility #Macro #Trading #VIX 🧐 {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(PIEVERSEUSDT)
Wall Street’s Fear Index Is Lying About BTC

The implied volatility spread between $BTC and the VIX—Wall Street’s primary fear index—is currently ripping apart. This isn't just a statistical anomaly; it signals a fundamental decoupling of risk perception.

Traditionally, high VIX implied generalized market panic, but $BTC is now exhibiting independent volatility expansion, suggesting that institutional capital is treating crypto risk entirely separate from equity risk. This divergence is the sweet spot for sophisticated traders. When the volatility profiles separate this sharply, it often precedes unique pair trading opportunities—long volatile crypto assets against short stable traditional hedges. This shift demands a nuanced strategy, moving beyond simple correlation plays. The market is screaming that crypto is now its own asset class, not just a high-beta proxy for the S&P 500. Secondary volatility plays like $PIEVERSE often amplify these macro shifts.

This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
#BTC #Volatility #Macro #Trading #VIX
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Review, how to miss a small wave's bottom-fishing. First phase 84000 to 86000 #VIX about 20 below. Asian time decline. The rebound is relatively weak. Yen risk has not disappeared, and there is a time difference before and after the US-Japan interest rate meeting. The US stock market opening has basically digested the yen risk, but ultimately did not surpass the previous day's price. (Main hesitation factors) The bottom-fishing portion does not hope to hold overnight, violating trading rules. The short-term rebound ratio is less than the assumed decline ratio, considering the profit and loss ratio. Second phase three replenishment opportunities Small-level moving average triangle support. Trump's appointment expresses expectations, the clearest emotional factor. #btc After stabilizing, the target library performance excellent supplementary position opportunities. #ęŠ„åŗ•ęœ€ä½³ę—¶ęœŗ #比特币 #å±±åÆØåøęŠ„åŗ•ęœŗä¼š
Review, how to miss a small wave's bottom-fishing.
First phase 84000 to 86000
#VIX about 20 below.
Asian time decline.
The rebound is relatively weak.
Yen risk has not disappeared, and there is a time difference before and after the US-Japan interest rate meeting.
The US stock market opening has basically digested the yen risk, but ultimately did not surpass the previous day's price. (Main hesitation factors)
The bottom-fishing portion does not hope to hold overnight, violating trading rules.
The short-term rebound ratio is less than the assumed decline ratio, considering the profit and loss ratio.

Second phase three replenishment opportunities
Small-level moving average triangle support.
Trump's appointment expresses expectations, the clearest emotional factor.
#btc After stabilizing, the target library performance excellent supplementary position opportunities.

#ęŠ„åŗ•ęœ€ä½³ę—¶ęœŗ #比特币 #å±±åÆØåøęŠ„åŗ•ęœŗä¼š
Howie1024
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Bearish
Spamming all day #CarryTrade The results of the US stock market are not moving at all, really disappointing 🤣
Crypto scared itself into dehydration.
I held a gun all day, and in the end, just wiped it and put it in the case.
I wanted to participate in a small wave, but didn't see the rabbit 🐰.
The data disclosure afterwards seems to make it hard to catch the rabbit 🐰.
I'll wait and see tomorrow.
The $109,800 Line That Will Decide the Next Crypto Crash We are stable at $90,000, but this defense is built on quicksand. $BTC faces a structural nightmare of stacked supply that must be cleared for any sustainable recovery. The immediate threat sits between $93,000 and $96,000. But the true structural resistance, where large holders are stacked to offload, spans $103,000 to $108,000. Clearing that enormous zone is mandatory, yet insufficient. The ultimate hurdle is the Short Term Holder Cost Basis at $109,800. Historically, trading below this level ensures continuous sell pressure from short-term investors. Until $BTC closes definitively above this line, any rally is simply an opportunity for smart money to exit. Simultaneously, macro volatility is spiking. Elevated VIX levels warn that a sharp correction in traditional markets, particularly the $SPX, could trigger a cascade effect. If that happens, the critical Realized Market Value support at $82,000 will be tested, risking a full market drawdown. Structural defense is the only play right now. This is not financial advice. Positions carry risk. #Bitcoin #Macro #Resistance #VIX #Crypto 🧐 {future}(BTCUSDT) {alpha}(10xe0f63a424a4439cbe457d80e4f4b51ad25b2c56c)
The $109,800 Line That Will Decide the Next Crypto Crash

We are stable at $90,000, but this defense is built on quicksand. $BTC faces a structural nightmare of stacked supply that must be cleared for any sustainable recovery.

The immediate threat sits between $93,000 and $96,000. But the true structural resistance, where large holders are stacked to offload, spans $103,000 to $108,000. Clearing that enormous zone is mandatory, yet insufficient.

The ultimate hurdle is the Short Term Holder Cost Basis at $109,800. Historically, trading below this level ensures continuous sell pressure from short-term investors. Until $BTC closes definitively above this line, any rally is simply an opportunity for smart money to exit.

Simultaneously, macro volatility is spiking. Elevated VIX levels warn that a sharp correction in traditional markets, particularly the $SPX, could trigger a cascade effect. If that happens, the critical Realized Market Value support at $82,000 will be tested, risking a full market drawdown. Structural defense is the only play right now.

This is not financial advice. Positions carry risk.
#Bitcoin #Macro #Resistance #VIX #Crypto
🧐
āš ļø REMINDER: U.S. stock markets are CLOSED this Thursday for Thanksgiving 🦃 $SPY $QQQ $VIX šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡ø #StockMarket #Thanksgiving #SPY #QQQ #VIX
āš ļø REMINDER:

U.S. stock markets are CLOSED this Thursday for Thanksgiving 🦃

$SPY $QQQ $VIX šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡ø

#StockMarket #Thanksgiving #SPY #QQQ #VIX
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The bull will not start before #btc 40k arrives. Good luck to everyone. Check out the #vix index from time to time.
The bull will not start before #btc 40k arrives. Good luck to everyone. Check out the #vix index from time to time.
#MarketTurbulence ā€œ#MARKETTURBULENCE: Volatility Returns, Will Your Portfolio Hold Up? šŸŒŠšŸ“‰ The 2025 market roller coaster is back in action! The VIX ā€˜fear gauge’ recently jumped 21% in just days, from ~17.4 to over 21, signaling rising nerves among investors. Even though the VIX now sits near 14.8, any uptick means serious attention ahead. This surge reflects broader instability: Goldman Sachs warns of a 10% chance of a correction in the next 3 months, and 20% within a year, citing a softening job market and inflation fears. Global growth is slowing to just 3% in 2025, ramping up recession concerns across asset classes. Why It Matters Now: Spikes in volatility rarely signal calm—they’re often a prelude to sharper moves. Diversifying with bonds, dividend stocks, or global equities may offer stability. Time in the market still often beats attempting to time the market. The VIX is a signal—not the whole story. Are you riding this wave or waiting on the sidelines? šŸ”„ = Riding the volatility šŸ›”ļø = Playing defense ā³ = Waiting for calm before jumping in #MarketTurbulence #VolatilityWarning #VIX #Diversify
#MarketTurbulence

ā€œ#MARKETTURBULENCE: Volatility Returns, Will Your Portfolio Hold Up? šŸŒŠšŸ“‰

The 2025 market roller coaster is back in action! The VIX ā€˜fear gauge’ recently jumped 21% in just days, from ~17.4 to over 21, signaling rising nerves among investors. Even though the VIX now sits near 14.8, any uptick means serious attention ahead.

This surge reflects broader instability:

Goldman Sachs warns of a 10% chance of a correction in the next 3 months, and 20% within a year, citing a softening job market and inflation fears.

Global growth is slowing to just 3% in 2025, ramping up recession concerns across asset classes.

Why It Matters Now:

Spikes in volatility rarely signal calm—they’re often a prelude to sharper moves.

Diversifying with bonds, dividend stocks, or global equities may offer stability.

Time in the market still often beats attempting to time the market. The VIX is a signal—not the whole story.

Are you riding this wave or waiting on the sidelines?
šŸ”„ = Riding the volatility
šŸ›”ļø = Playing defense
ā³ = Waiting for calm before jumping in

#MarketTurbulence #VolatilityWarning #VIX #Diversify
#VIX The S&P 500 VIX volatility index is at its lowest levels.Ā  Historically, when the VIX is below 20, and now at 15, it is a starting point for sharp movements in the market. Stock market volatility = crypto market volatility.Ā  Markets grow slowly but fall quickly.Ā  I'm not expecting any apocalypse, but a normal correction will be enough to reboot before the fall cycle.Ā  Earlier, I showed crypto market statistics for August, historically the weakest month of the year. Let's see how it goes this time.
#VIX
The S&P 500 VIX volatility index is at its lowest levels.Ā 
Historically, when the VIX is below 20, and now at 15, it is a starting point for sharp movements in the market.
Stock market volatility = crypto market volatility.Ā 
Markets grow slowly but fall quickly.Ā 
I'm not expecting any apocalypse, but a normal correction will be enough to reboot before the fall cycle.Ā 
Earlier, I showed crypto market statistics for August, historically the weakest month of the year. Let's see how it goes this time.
Volatility Has All But Vanished Heading into Powell’s Jackson Hole address, volatility across global markets has dropped to multi-year lows. This suggests traders are confident about a dovish outcome. But when markets get too comfortable, surprises hurt the most. If Powell hints at ā€œhigher for longerā€ rates, even with a small cut, complacent markets could react sharply. The Fed Chair is known for trying to calm markets, but he also dislikes being cornered by investor assumptions. If Powell feels expectations are too dovish, he may intentionally push back. That could mean a return of volatility to stocks, bonds, and even crypto, which has been tracking macro sentiment closely. #PowellWatch #VIX #JacksonHole
Volatility Has All But Vanished

Heading into Powell’s Jackson Hole address, volatility across global markets has dropped to multi-year lows. This suggests traders are confident about a dovish outcome. But when markets get too comfortable, surprises hurt the most. If Powell hints at ā€œhigher for longerā€ rates, even with a small cut, complacent markets could react sharply.

The Fed Chair is known for trying to calm markets, but he also dislikes being cornered by investor assumptions. If Powell feels expectations are too dovish, he may intentionally push back. That could mean a return of volatility to stocks, bonds, and even crypto, which has been tracking macro sentiment closely.

#PowellWatch #VIX #JacksonHole
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How much has the drop so far?! The drop in the VIX is clear in the image: It dropped by 6.51 points, or -13.86%. This is a very large drop for an index that measures "fear" in the markets! Fear Collapse! The VIX Index fell by more than 13% in a single day! Are the markets starting to regain confidence? Or is this the calm before the storm? Watch the movements—sometimes the calm is more dangerous than the noise! #VIX #SP500 #Volatility #WallStreet
How much has the drop so far?!

The drop in the VIX is clear in the image:

It dropped by 6.51 points, or -13.86%.

This is a very large drop for an index that measures "fear" in the markets!

Fear Collapse!
The VIX Index fell by more than 13% in a single day!
Are the markets starting to regain confidence? Or is this the calm before the storm?
Watch the movements—sometimes the calm is more dangerous than the noise!
#VIX #SP500 #Volatility #WallStreet
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The VIX Volatility Index, also known as the "Volatility Index", is considered an important tool in the world of investment and finance as it provides insight into the expectations and future volatility in the stock market. Simply put, If the VIX Index is high: it means that investors expect significant changes in stock prices soon, whether up or down, indicating concern or uncertainty in the market. šŸ˜ŸšŸ“‰ If the VIX Index is low: this means that investors expect relative stability in the market, with slight changes in stock prices, indicating confidence and calm in the market. šŸ˜ŒšŸ“ˆ How is VIX calculated? VIX is calculated based on the current prices of options contracts linked to the S&P 500 index, and options contracts are financial instruments that allow investors to bet on the direction of the market (whether up or down) over a specified period. When there is high demand for these contracts, especially those that protect against significant declines, the VIX Index rises. šŸ“ŠšŸ¤” Its importance: * Measuring the overall market sentiment: it gives #VIX a picture of the level of concern or confidence in the market. šŸ˜Ÿā†”ļøšŸ˜Œ * A tool for hedging: some investors use the VIX as a means to hedge against unexpected volatility. šŸ›”ļø * Used as an indicator to measure "fear" in the market. 😨 How can investors benefit from VIX? * Predicting market movements * Developing hedging strategies * Guiding investment decisions
The VIX Volatility Index, also known as the "Volatility Index", is considered an important tool in the world of investment and finance as it provides insight into the expectations and future volatility in the stock market.

Simply put,
If the VIX Index is high: it means that investors expect significant changes in stock prices soon, whether up or down, indicating concern or uncertainty in the market. šŸ˜ŸšŸ“‰

If the VIX Index is low: this means that investors expect relative stability in the market, with slight changes in stock prices, indicating confidence and calm in the market. šŸ˜ŒšŸ“ˆ
How is VIX calculated?
VIX is calculated based on the current prices of options contracts linked to the S&P 500 index, and options contracts are financial instruments that allow investors to bet on the direction of the market (whether up or down) over a specified period.

When there is high demand for these contracts, especially those that protect against significant declines, the VIX Index rises. šŸ“ŠšŸ¤”
Its importance:
* Measuring the overall market sentiment: it gives #VIX a picture of the level of concern or confidence in the market. šŸ˜Ÿā†”ļøšŸ˜Œ
* A tool for hedging: some investors use the VIX as a means to hedge against unexpected volatility. šŸ›”ļø
* Used as an indicator to measure "fear" in the market. 😨
How can investors benefit from VIX?
* Predicting market movements
* Developing hedging strategies
* Guiding investment decisions
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Daily summary, let's talk about the market, the market can be seen at #BTC . It can be clearly stated: 1 Short term, the imitation has no chance. 2 Short term, $BTC has profit realization pressure, observe the pressure level distribution, observe the contract distribution. 3 Long term, #VIX is historically rare at low levels, looking at more than 8 weeks has a very high win rate. 4 Long term, the liquidity cycle, #Aİ the narrative remains unchanged. Basically clear: December interest rate cut certainty. To be observed: Tomorrow the US stock market opens.
Daily summary, let's talk about the market, the market can be seen at #BTC .
It can be clearly stated:
1 Short term, the imitation has no chance.
2 Short term, $BTC has profit realization pressure, observe the pressure level distribution, observe the contract distribution.
3 Long term, #VIX is historically rare at low levels, looking at more than 8 weeks has a very high win rate.
4 Long term, the liquidity cycle, #Aİ the narrative remains unchanged.

Basically clear:
December interest rate cut certainty.

To be observed:
Tomorrow the US stock market opens.
#VIX daily RSI has reached the overbought zone. Also, VIX pumped above 22 on Friday, which has often acted as a strong resistance. It's highly likely that VIX has topped out, and we could see some bidding next week.
#VIX daily RSI has reached the overbought zone.

Also, VIX pumped above 22 on Friday, which has often acted as a strong resistance.

It's highly likely that VIX has topped out, and we could see some bidding next week.
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$BTC The analyst expects that the decline in the VIX index could push the price of Bitcoin to $135,000 Futures contracts for the VIX index (VIX) dropped by about 3% today; the pace of declines slowed from yesterday's session, which exceeded 3% for the futures of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices, with the US500 and US100 indices rising between 0.8% and 1% before the US market opens. After today's US trading session, Tesla will announce its earnings, and Alphabet (GOOGL.US) will also release its results on Thursday. This is likely to keep volatility in the tech sector - and thus in the S&P 500 index - elevated for a while. Verizon's earnings report today caused the company's stock to drop by about 5%, but shares of GE Aerospace and Lockheed Martin are rising between 1% and 2% following their reports. Alongside Tesla's earnings, Alphabet's results on Thursday will attract special attention, as they will shed light on the real situation and outlook for the tech sector. This is likely to lead to increased volatility in the stocks of major tech companies, especially those related to cloud computing (Amazon and Microsoft) and the advertising sector (Meta Platforms). The decline in the volatility index (VIX) accelerated after the index approached the "fear" threshold at around 30. #VIX #BTC
$BTC
The analyst expects that the decline in the VIX index could push the price of Bitcoin to $135,000

Futures contracts for the VIX index (VIX) dropped by about 3% today; the pace of declines slowed from yesterday's session, which exceeded 3% for the futures of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices, with the US500 and US100 indices rising between 0.8% and 1% before the US market opens.

After today's US trading session, Tesla will announce its earnings, and Alphabet (GOOGL.US) will also release its results on Thursday. This is likely to keep volatility in the tech sector - and thus in the S&P 500 index - elevated for a while. Verizon's earnings report today caused the company's stock to drop by about 5%, but shares of GE Aerospace and Lockheed Martin are rising between 1% and 2% following their reports.
Alongside Tesla's earnings, Alphabet's results on Thursday will attract special attention, as they will shed light on the real situation and outlook for the tech sector. This is likely to lead to increased volatility in the stocks of major tech companies, especially those related to cloud computing (Amazon and Microsoft) and the advertising sector (Meta Platforms). The decline in the volatility index (VIX) accelerated after the index approached the "fear" threshold at around 30.
#VIX #BTC
🚨 MARKET ALERT: VOLATILITY EXPLODES! 🚨 The CBOE Volatility Index ($VIX) just skyrocketed 30%, signaling a major surge in market uncertainty! Traders and investors are on edge—what’s driving this spike, and how should you prepare? šŸ”¹ Is this a sign of a market downturn? šŸ”¹ Flight to safety or a golden opportunity? šŸ”¹ Smart money moves in volatile times! Stay ahead of the game—drop your thoughts in the comments! šŸ“‰šŸ”„ #StockMarket #VIX #Investing #CircleIPO #TrumpTariffs $BTC $ETH $BNB
🚨 MARKET ALERT: VOLATILITY EXPLODES! 🚨

The CBOE Volatility Index ($VIX) just skyrocketed 30%, signaling a major surge in market uncertainty! Traders and investors are on edge—what’s driving this spike, and how should you prepare?

šŸ”¹ Is this a sign of a market downturn?
šŸ”¹ Flight to safety or a golden opportunity?
šŸ”¹ Smart money moves in volatile times!

Stay ahead of the game—drop your thoughts in the comments! šŸ“‰šŸ”„ #StockMarket #VIX #Investing #CircleIPO #TrumpTariffs $BTC $ETH $BNB
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According to the analysis of leading analysts The large increase in the spread between near-term VIX futures (January) and the third-month futures "March" typically occurs during periods of extreme anxiety and uncertainty in the market, where traders are pricing in a significant likelihood of increased volatility in the near future. However, after this increase, the spread between the contracts began to gradually decline to nearly equal levels, indicating that fears may have started to dissipate and that the market may have begun to stabilize. Based on the available data, this suggests that these periods often serve as a bottoming phase in the markets, where the market reaches its lowest levels and will begin to improve gradually. #VIX #FearIndex #MarketFear
According to the analysis of leading analysts

The large increase in the spread between near-term VIX futures (January) and the third-month futures "March" typically occurs during periods of extreme anxiety and uncertainty in the market, where traders are pricing in a significant likelihood of increased volatility in the near future.
However, after this increase, the spread between the contracts began to gradually decline to nearly equal levels, indicating that fears may have started to dissipate and that the market may have begun to stabilize.

Based on the available data, this suggests that these periods often serve as a bottoming phase in the markets, where the market reaches its lowest levels and will begin to improve gradually.

#VIX
#FearIndex
#MarketFear
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šŸ“Š Increase in Volatility #VIX As shown in the Volatility Index chart, the current drop is comparable to the three major previous drops: COVID in 2020 and the war in Gaza in the summer of 2024. A peak of this kind, as history demonstrates, is temporary and marks the end of the drop. It represents the moment of greatest human fear and the maximum points on the chart šŸ“‰. It is likely that we have already passed the peak of the drop or will do so in the next 1-3 weeks. #VIX #IndiceMiedoYAvaricia #TrendingTopic #StopLossStrategies #TradingSignals $USDC
šŸ“Š Increase in Volatility #VIX

As shown in the Volatility Index chart, the current drop is comparable to the three major previous drops: COVID in 2020 and the war in Gaza in the summer of 2024.

A peak of this kind, as history demonstrates, is temporary and marks the end of the drop. It represents the moment of greatest human fear and the maximum points on the chart šŸ“‰.

It is likely that we have already passed the peak of the drop or will do so in the next 1-3 weeks.

#VIX #IndiceMiedoYAvaricia #TrendingTopic #StopLossStrategies #TradingSignals $USDC
šŸ”„šŸšØšŸ‡ŗšŸ‡øThe #VIX just had its 289th surge of over 40% in 10 trading days since 1980. Every time that happened, the #SP500 went on to rally with an average positive return over the next 3, 6, and 9 months. Median 3-month gain? +5%. The stats still point to a surprisingly bullish Q4. šŸ“ˆ
šŸ”„šŸšØšŸ‡ŗšŸ‡øThe #VIX just had its 289th surge of over 40% in 10 trading days since 1980. Every time that happened, the #SP500 went on to rally with an average positive return over the next 3, 6, and 9 months. Median 3-month gain? +5%.
The stats still point to a surprisingly bullish Q4. šŸ“ˆ
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