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Кирилл Гайтан l Трейдинг

@Kriptos84BTC On the market since 2017. Trader, investor - crypto, stocks, futures
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16.03.26 Will Bitcoin break 73 this time? #BTC $BTC
16.03.26
Will Bitcoin break 73 this time? #BTC $BTC
L2 network based on Ethereum that has collapsed by 97% from its ATH. 💡 The altcoin market, with rare exceptions, has only lost over the last 2 years, and this L2 network has also lost a significant part of its popularity, hype, and price accordingly. However, its usage continues, as the advantages of L2 networks remain strong, including cheap transactions and other benefits. It scores 8.5/10 on my checklist. 📊 A key factor for the growth of altcoins is the exit of Bitcoin and Ethereum from medium-term sideways movements. Technically, the tool is currently trading in a range with a width of 15%; a breakout upwards has the potential to return to the average value - zone 0.3. An alternative scenario of a breakout downwards from the sideways movement could lead the price to zone 0.7. I am talking about the Optimism project, and my last purchase was in the range of 0.64; since then, the price has collapsed by 80%, and the current purchase averages the loss and brings the overall position to a negative result of -24%. 🖋 I remind you that I allocate $10 daily for investing in cryptocurrency and make a purchase once a week. #DCA $OP
L2 network based on Ethereum that has collapsed by 97% from its ATH.

💡 The altcoin market, with rare exceptions, has only lost over the last 2 years, and this L2 network has also lost a significant part of its popularity, hype, and price accordingly.

However, its usage continues, as the advantages of L2 networks remain strong, including cheap transactions and other benefits. It scores 8.5/10 on my checklist.

📊 A key factor for the growth of altcoins is the exit of Bitcoin and Ethereum from medium-term sideways movements.

Technically, the tool is currently trading in a range with a width of 15%; a breakout upwards has the potential to return to the average value - zone 0.3. An alternative scenario of a breakout downwards from the sideways movement could lead the price to zone 0.7.

I am talking about the Optimism project, and my last purchase was in the range of 0.64; since then, the price has collapsed by 80%, and the current purchase averages the loss and brings the overall position to a negative result of -24%.

🖋 I remind you that I allocate $10 daily for investing in cryptocurrency and make a purchase once a week. #DCA $OP
🪙Bitcoin - priority to buy while above 71600. The price is at the upper boundary of the sideways range, where there is strong selling pressure, also above the 20 and 50 MA, OI is increasing, CVD is mixed. As long as the price is above the zone 71600 from where the last buyer impulse started and where volume entered, the continuation of growth is more likely. An alternative scenario is a breakout below 71600, which may bring the price to 70500 and 69100. #BTC $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
🪙Bitcoin - priority to buy while above 71600.

The price is at the upper boundary of the sideways range, where there is strong selling pressure, also above the 20 and 50 MA, OI is increasing, CVD is mixed.
As long as the price is above the zone 71600 from where the last buyer impulse started and where volume entered, the continuation of growth is more likely.

An alternative scenario is a breakout below 71600, which may bring the price to 70500 and 69100. #BTC $BTC
Bitcoin - continuation of growth as 69k acts as support. The price is moving in a local upward movement and is being pushed toward the upper boundary of the range. The price is above its 20 and 50 MA. MACD is positive and CVD is on the buyers' side. The main buying pressure started at 69K, which is the reversal point. An alternative scenario - breaking 69K will send the price to levels 68 and 67K. #BTC $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Bitcoin - continuation of growth as 69k acts as support.
The price is moving in a local upward movement and is being pushed toward the upper boundary of the range.
The price is above its 20 and 50 MA. MACD is positive and CVD is on the buyers' side.
The main buying pressure started at 69K, which is the reversal point.
An alternative scenario - breaking 69K will send the price to levels 68 and 67K. #BTC $BTC
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Bearish
🪙Bitcoin - likely decline to supports 68.7-67.9K. The price absorbed yesterday's pressure from buyers who could not develop success and push the price above 70K. The zone of 70500 currently acts as resistance and a turning point; while the price is below, a decline is likely. Moreover, the price is below the 20 MA and is currently testing the 50 MA, and the MACD also looks bearish. An alternative scenario is a breakout upwards of 70.5, which could send the price to 72K. #BTC $BTC
🪙Bitcoin - likely decline to supports 68.7-67.9K.

The price absorbed yesterday's pressure from buyers who could not develop success and push the price above 70K. The zone of 70500 currently acts as resistance and a turning point; while the price is below, a decline is likely.
Moreover, the price is below the 20 MA and is currently testing the 50 MA, and the MACD also looks bearish.

An alternative scenario is a breakout upwards of 70.5, which could send the price to 72K. #BTC $BTC
🎯 Futures Scanner AI — Your AI co-pilot for Binance Spot Problem: 90% of traders lose money on impulsive decisions. There is no time to analyze 63 pairs, track OI and volumes 24/7. Solution: An AI assistant that thinks for you and explains why. What it does for the trader: 🧠 AI Market Narrative - understandable context instead of dry numbers, what the volume, deltas, and open interest really mean. 📚 Crypto Educator — explains the pattern after each signal. 🛡️ Smart Risk Management — calculates position size based on your balance: "With 1000 USDT, risk $30 on this trade" (takes into account the volatility of meme coins vs BTC) ⚠️ Contrarian View — warns of risks: "Weak volume, possible trap" 📊 Post-Trade Learning — if the trade is losing, AI analyzes what went wrong and what to learn 🤖 Auto-Pilot — connects Binance API, the bot finds signals and trades by itself. Technical part: • OpenClaw Multi-LLM (Groq/Moonshot/Open router) • OI-Aware scoring of 14 parameters • Unified Dashboard — everything in one window Continuing to improve, #AIBinance #BinanceOpenClaw
🎯 Futures Scanner AI — Your AI co-pilot for Binance Spot

Problem: 90% of traders lose money on impulsive decisions. There is no time to analyze 63 pairs, track OI and volumes 24/7.
Solution: An AI assistant that thinks for you and explains why.
What it does for the trader:
🧠 AI Market Narrative - understandable context instead of dry numbers, what the volume, deltas, and open interest really mean.
📚 Crypto Educator — explains the pattern after each signal.

🛡️ Smart Risk Management — calculates position size based on your balance: "With 1000 USDT, risk $30 on this trade" (takes into account the volatility of meme coins vs BTC)
⚠️ Contrarian View — warns of risks: "Weak volume, possible trap"

📊 Post-Trade Learning — if the trade is losing, AI analyzes what went wrong and what to learn

🤖 Auto-Pilot — connects Binance API, the bot finds signals and trades by itself.

Technical part:
• OpenClaw Multi-LLM (Groq/Moonshot/Open router)
• OI-Aware scoring of 14 parameters
• Unified Dashboard — everything in one window

Continuing to improve,
#AIBinance #BinanceOpenClaw
Bitcoin - continuation of growth to 73K. The price is trading above the support level of 69K and remains above it, the chances of continuing the bullish trend remain. The price is above its 20 and 50 MA. Alternative scenario - loss of support at 69K may lead the price to the next volume zones of 68.2 and 67.1K. #BTC $BTC
Bitcoin - continuation of growth to 73K.

The price is trading above the support level of 69K and remains above it, the chances of continuing the bullish trend remain. The price is above its 20 and 50 MA.

Alternative scenario - loss of support at 69K may lead the price to the next volume zones of 68.2 and 67.1K.

#BTC $BTC
🪙Bitcoin - continuation of growth with a target of 73K, as long as the price stays above the level of 69 thousand. The price has formed a control zone for buyers around 69,000 and as long as the price remains above the level of 69,100, further growth is likely; the price is also above its 20 and 50 MA. An alternative scenario is that a break below the level of 69,100 will lead the price to the zone of 68,000 and 67,000. #BTC $BTC
🪙Bitcoin - continuation of growth with a target of 73K, as long as the price stays above the level of 69 thousand.

The price has formed a control zone for buyers around 69,000 and as long as the price remains above the level of 69,100, further growth is likely; the price is also above its 20 and 50 MA.

An alternative scenario is that a break below the level of 69,100 will lead the price to the zone of 68,000 and 67,000.

#BTC $BTC
Bitcoin - a probable rebound to 69K. As long as the price of 66100 acts as support, a continuation of the rebound to 69000 is likely. The price has consolidated above 20MA and is currently testing 50 MA, which is at the level of 68100. An alternative scenario - a breakout below the zone of 66100 could lead the price to the zone of 64000. #BTC $BTC
Bitcoin - a probable rebound to 69K.

As long as the price of 66100 acts as support, a continuation of the rebound to 69000 is likely.

The price has consolidated above 20MA and is currently testing 50 MA, which is at the level of 68100.
An alternative scenario - a breakout below the zone of 66100 could lead the price to the zone of 64000. #BTC $BTC
🪙 Bitcoin - probability of a rebound. As long as the price trades above 69300, a rebound to the zone of 73000 is likely. The price may possibly go even lower and test the zone from where the volume was injected. Support is also provided by the 50 MA which is in this zone. An alternative scenario is a breakdown of the level 69300, which could send the quote to 67700 and 66500. #BTC $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
🪙 Bitcoin - probability of a rebound.
As long as the price trades above 69300, a rebound to the zone of 73000 is likely.
The price may possibly go even lower and test the zone from where the volume was injected. Support is also provided by the 50 MA which is in this zone.
An alternative scenario is a breakdown of the level 69300, which could send the quote to 67700 and 66500. #BTC $BTC
🪙As long as the zone 71 400 remains as support, there is likely to be a continuation of movement towards the zones 74 and 75K. The price is above its 20 and 50 MA. An alternative scenario is that if the zone 71 400 is broken, the price may reach 70 and 69 K. #BTC $BTC Drop a 👍 if you need an update on Ethereum. {future}(BTCUSDT)
🪙As long as the zone 71 400 remains as support, there is likely to be a continuation of movement towards the zones 74 and 75K. The price is above its 20 and 50 MA.
An alternative scenario is that if the zone 71 400 is broken, the price may reach 70 and 69 K. #BTC $BTC
Drop a 👍 if you need an update on Ethereum.
📊 Seasonality in March Bitcoin Average historical return: +0.40% Growth was observed in 50.0% of cases Decline was observed in 50.0% of cases Ethereum Average historical return: +22.70% Growth was observed in 73.0% of cases Decline was observed in 27.0% of cases Data is based on historical statistics. The last year's seasonality simply does not work, the main reason is that the market moves based on news backgrounds and statements from Trump. But under current conditions, a price recovery is possible and will happen. What do you think? #Seasonality
📊 Seasonality in March
Bitcoin
Average historical return: +0.40%
Growth was observed in 50.0% of cases
Decline was observed in 50.0% of cases

Ethereum
Average historical return: +22.70%
Growth was observed in 73.0% of cases
Decline was observed in 27.0% of cases
Data is based on historical statistics.

The last year's seasonality simply does not work, the main reason is that the market moves based on news backgrounds and statements from Trump. But under current conditions, a price recovery is possible and will happen. What do you think? #Seasonality
DCA Portfolio: What’s Next? The total drawdown of the portfolio, measured from its October high, stands at 40%. 💡 I didn’t make any additional purchases last month. Now, I’m buying all at once, covering the past eight weeks. Here’s the breakdown: Bitcoin – 40%, serving as the market benchmark. Ethereum – 40%, the core network for DeFi and DApps. Solana – 20%, offering scalability and lightning-fast transaction speeds. Litecoin – 20%, providing solid technical fundamentals. Bitcoin is currently hovering near the $72K resistance level; if it breaks through, we could see significant upside potential. But should the price revert to a sideways range, there’ll be an opportunity to buy even cheaper. 📊 Meanwhile, institutional demand is picking up again, which could have a positive impact on prices—and help the portfolio recover fairly quickly. That’s why it’s critically important that the core of the portfolio consists of strong, resilient assets. 🖋 Just a reminder: I allocate $10 per day to crypto investments and make purchases once a week. #DCA $SOL $BTC $ETH
DCA Portfolio: What’s Next?
The total drawdown of the portfolio, measured from its October high, stands at 40%.
💡 I didn’t make any additional purchases last month. Now, I’m buying all at once, covering the past eight weeks.
Here’s the breakdown:
Bitcoin – 40%, serving as the market benchmark.
Ethereum – 40%, the core network for DeFi and DApps.
Solana – 20%, offering scalability and lightning-fast transaction speeds.
Litecoin – 20%, providing solid technical fundamentals.

Bitcoin is currently hovering near the $72K resistance level; if it breaks through, we could see significant upside potential. But should the price revert to a sideways range, there’ll be an opportunity to buy even cheaper.

📊 Meanwhile, institutional demand is picking up again, which could have a positive impact on prices—and help the portfolio recover fairly quickly. That’s why it’s critically important that the core of the portfolio consists of strong, resilient assets.

🖋 Just a reminder: I allocate $10 per day to crypto investments and make purchases once a week. #DCA $SOL $BTC $ETH
📈 Bitcoin - Likely sideways movement in the range of 72-68.5K. The price has broken and consolidated above its 20 and 50 MA, which are at the levels of 68 and 67.5K. The price has approached a zone of significant supply in the range of 72-73K, which will be difficult for the price to pass through. Likely continuation and testing of volume levels and further consolidation in the range of 72K and 68.5K where the main volume was poured in. Breaking the support at 68.5 may lead to a drop to the zone of 66.6K. #BTC $BTC
📈 Bitcoin - Likely sideways movement in the range of 72-68.5K.

The price has broken and consolidated above its 20 and 50 MA, which are at the levels of 68 and 67.5K.

The price has approached a zone of significant supply in the range of 72-73K, which will be difficult for the price to pass through. Likely continuation and testing of volume levels and further consolidation in the range of 72K and 68.5K where the main volume was poured in.
Breaking the support at 68.5 may lead to a drop to the zone of 66.6K.
#BTC $BTC
The president's words about the U.S. having an endless supply of weapons to continue the war have raised concerns among investors that the conflict may drag on indefinitely, which in turn will inevitably lead to continued rising oil prices (which are already +40%), and this will prompt a rise in prices for everything, leading to inflation going up. Against this backdrop, the Federal Reserve will have grounds not to lower the interest rate. The reaction of investors is to withdraw money from risky assets such as stocks, indices, cryptocurrencies, and prefer assets with more predictable risk such as treasury bonds, which are considered risk-free (although this is not entirely true). Precious metals have also been affected, the dollar has strengthened significantly which puts pressure on the price of precious metals, the trading of which is done in pairs with the dollar, but when converted to other currencies, the price becomes less attractive now. Market swings will continue. In such conditions, short-term trading comes to the forefront. Bitcoin is trading neutrally today, the key zone for attention is 65K. #BTC $BTC
The president's words about the U.S. having an endless supply of weapons to continue the war have raised concerns among investors that the conflict may drag on indefinitely, which in turn will inevitably lead to continued rising oil prices (which are already +40%), and this will prompt a rise in prices for everything, leading to inflation going up. Against this backdrop, the Federal Reserve will have grounds not to lower the interest rate.

The reaction of investors is to withdraw money from risky assets such as stocks, indices, cryptocurrencies, and prefer assets with more predictable risk such as treasury bonds, which are considered risk-free (although this is not entirely true).

Precious metals have also been affected, the dollar has strengthened significantly which puts pressure on the price of precious metals, the trading of which is done in pairs with the dollar, but when converted to other currencies, the price becomes less attractive now.

Market swings will continue. In such conditions, short-term trading comes to the forefront.
Bitcoin is trading neutrally today, the key zone for attention is 65K. #BTC $BTC
The downward movement of Bitcoin may continue while it trades below resistance at 69500, target zone 65500. The price has broken its 20 MA, but is still above the 50 MA. An alternative scenario is a breakout at 69500 where the price may reach 71000$. #BTC $BTC
The downward movement of Bitcoin may continue while it trades below resistance at 69500, target zone 65500. The price has broken its 20 MA, but is still above the 50 MA.

An alternative scenario is a breakout at 69500 where the price may reach 71000$. #BTC $BTC
Кирилл Гайтан l Трейдинг
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As long as the price is above 65K, upward movement is more likely, with strong resistance in the 68200-68500 zone.

Volatility is compressed, which usually occurs before an impulse. 
Volumes remain low. It's important to see direction confirmation after the opening of the American session. #BTC $BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
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