frs
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💵 #BTCUSDT
After yesterday's movement amid the Fed, the market looks like it could use a bounce from current levels.
In an alternative scenario, they might break through the lower level, collect stop losses, and from there show a reversal upwards.
In short: locally, the long picture still looks neat and workable.
$BTC #btc #frs #frs
After yesterday's movement amid the Fed, the market looks like it could use a bounce from current levels.
In an alternative scenario, they might break through the lower level, collect stop losses, and from there show a reversal upwards.
In short: locally, the long picture still looks neat and workable.
$BTC #btc #frs #frs
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The Fed launches a new liquidity management regime: is this a return to QE
The Federal Reserve has announced a decision that fundamentally changes the liquidity dynamics in financial markets. Formally, the regulator avoids the terminology 'QE', but the mechanics of the adopted steps are very reminiscent of the early stages of quantitative easing programs.
1. Rate cut and halt of QT
1. Rate cut and halt of QT
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Federal Reserve Supporting Letter: Launch of QE and New Trajectory of the Macroeconomic Cycle
The Federal Reserve has published a supporting document that effectively records the transition to a new stage of monetary policy. The central signal was the launch of the quantitative easing program, which significantly alters the balance of power in financial markets.
1. Launch of QE and its impact on liquidity
1. Launch of QE and its impact on liquidity
Какие мысли по сегодняшнему заседанию #фрс ?
Лично я склоняюсь к варианту роста, уж больно сильно долго падаем
#фрс #frs #JeromePowell
Лично я склоняюсь к варианту роста, уж больно сильно долго падаем
#фрс #frs #JeromePowell
Уверенный рост
29%
Уверенное падение
25%
Сначала памп потом летим вниз
25%
Сначала дамп потом летим вверх
21%
24 votes • Voting closed
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The market is showing growth: what lies behind the sudden 'greening'
The cryptocurrency market has entered a phase of increased volatility against the backdrop of a sharp improvement in the news context. At the same time, the number of simplified interpretations of events is rising, provoking excessive optimism among traders. Below are the key factors shaping the current dynamics.
1. Aggressively positive expectations regarding monetary policy
1. Aggressively positive expectations regarding monetary policy
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The most important economic events of the week (December 8–15, 2025)
Tuesday, December 9
18:00 – JOLTS: Number of job openings in the US labor market (for September)
Forecast: 7.200 million
Previous value: 7.227 million
Wednesday, December 10
18:30 – Crude oil inventories in the US (EIA)
Forecast: +0.574 million barrels
22:00 – Economic forecasts FOMC
22:00 – Statement of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
22:00 – Decision of the Federal Reserve System on the interest rate
Forecast: 3.75 %
Previous value: 4.00 %
22:30 – Press conference of the Fed Chair
Thursday, December 11
16:30 – Initial claims for unemployment benefits in the US
Forecast: 221 thousand
Previous value: 191 thousand
This week will be extremely important due to the FOMC meeting and the likely rate cut of 25 basis points.
#FRS #economy
Tuesday, December 9
18:00 – JOLTS: Number of job openings in the US labor market (for September)
Forecast: 7.200 million
Previous value: 7.227 million
Wednesday, December 10
18:30 – Crude oil inventories in the US (EIA)
Forecast: +0.574 million barrels
22:00 – Economic forecasts FOMC
22:00 – Statement of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)
22:00 – Decision of the Federal Reserve System on the interest rate
Forecast: 3.75 %
Previous value: 4.00 %
22:30 – Press conference of the Fed Chair
Thursday, December 11
16:30 – Initial claims for unemployment benefits in the US
Forecast: 221 thousand
Previous value: 191 thousand
This week will be extremely important due to the FOMC meeting and the likely rate cut of 25 basis points.
#FRS #economy
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📉 89% probability of a Fed rate cut in December!🔥
🔥 The market expects the Fed's decision to cut rates by 25 basis points in December 2025. The chances of such a cut have reached 89%, according to FedWatch, Polymarket, and Kalshi. 🏦
💬 Major market players confirm: the probability of this decision is increasing week by week, and traders are already betting on a loosening of monetary policy.
🔸 Meeting date: December 9–10, 2025
🔸 Market forecasts are in favor of positive changes for high-risk assets: crypto, stocks, tokens.
💬 But let's recall the past rate cut; the market priced it in ahead of time, so I believe we are now seeing a mirror situation.🤷♂️
#FRS #usa #CryptoNews #news $SOL $ZEC $AAVE
🔥 The market expects the Fed's decision to cut rates by 25 basis points in December 2025. The chances of such a cut have reached 89%, according to FedWatch, Polymarket, and Kalshi. 🏦
💬 Major market players confirm: the probability of this decision is increasing week by week, and traders are already betting on a loosening of monetary policy.
🔸 Meeting date: December 9–10, 2025
🔸 Market forecasts are in favor of positive changes for high-risk assets: crypto, stocks, tokens.
💬 But let's recall the past rate cut; the market priced it in ahead of time, so I believe we are now seeing a mirror situation.🤷♂️
#FRS #usa #CryptoNews #news $SOL $ZEC $AAVE
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The announcement of the new Fed chairman could happen as soon as this week
Tensions are rising in the U.S. over President Donald Trump's decision regarding the candidate for the head of the Federal Reserve. Sources, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, report that Trump has already made his choice, and an official announcement may come before Christmas.
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🚨 Preparation for possible market changes
Today at 15:30, the publication of data regarding the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the USA is expected. Forecasts indicate a possible increase to 2.8%.
If the actual figure turns out to be lower, it may signal a decrease in the Fed's rate and stimulate market growth. In case of a higher figure, the market may face a pause and potential decline.
#frs
Today at 15:30, the publication of data regarding the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the USA is expected. Forecasts indicate a possible increase to 2.8%.
If the actual figure turns out to be lower, it may signal a decrease in the Fed's rate and stimulate market growth. In case of a higher figure, the market may face a pause and potential decline.
#frs
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Important economic events this week, March 3–8:
Monday, March 3, 2025
17:45 – Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for the manufacturing sector (February)
Forecast: 51.6
Previous: 51.2
18:00 – Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) from ISM for the manufacturing sector (February)
Forecast: 50.8
Previous: 50.9
Wednesday, March 5, 2025
16:15 – Change in Nonfarm Payrolls from ADP (February)
Previous: 183K
17:45 – Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for the services sector (February)
Forecast: 49.7
Previous: 52.9
18:00 – Non-manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for the U.S. from ISM (February)
Forecast: 53.0
Previous: 52.8
18:30 – Crude Oil Inventories
Previous: -2.332M
Thursday, March 6, 2025
16:30 – Initial Jobless Claims
Previous: 242K
Friday, March 7, 2025
16:30 – Average Hourly Earnings (m/m) (February)
Forecast: 0.3%
Previous: 0.5%
16:30 – Change in Nonfarm Payrolls (February)
Forecast: 133K
Previous: 143K
16:30 – Unemployment Rate (February)
Forecast: 4.0%
Previous: 4.0%
19:00 – FOMC Monetary Policy Report
20:30 – Speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell
#frs #data #economy
Monday, March 3, 2025
17:45 – Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for the manufacturing sector (February)
Forecast: 51.6
Previous: 51.2
18:00 – Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) from ISM for the manufacturing sector (February)
Forecast: 50.8
Previous: 50.9
Wednesday, March 5, 2025
16:15 – Change in Nonfarm Payrolls from ADP (February)
Previous: 183K
17:45 – Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for the services sector (February)
Forecast: 49.7
Previous: 52.9
18:00 – Non-manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for the U.S. from ISM (February)
Forecast: 53.0
Previous: 52.8
18:30 – Crude Oil Inventories
Previous: -2.332M
Thursday, March 6, 2025
16:30 – Initial Jobless Claims
Previous: 242K
Friday, March 7, 2025
16:30 – Average Hourly Earnings (m/m) (February)
Forecast: 0.3%
Previous: 0.5%
16:30 – Change in Nonfarm Payrolls (February)
Forecast: 133K
Previous: 143K
16:30 – Unemployment Rate (February)
Forecast: 4.0%
Previous: 4.0%
19:00 – FOMC Monetary Policy Report
20:30 – Speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell
#frs #data #economy
See original
Important economic events this week, April 21 - 25:
Wednesday, April 23, 2025
16:45
Manufacturing PMI (April)
Previous value: 50.2
16:45
Services PMI (April)
Previous value: 54.4
17:00
New home sales (March)
Forecast: 680K | Previous value: 676K
17:30
Crude oil inventories
Previous value: 0.515 million barrels
Thursday, April 24, 2025
15:30
Initial jobless claims
Previous value: 215K
17:00
Existing home sales (March)
Forecast: 4.14 million | Previous value: 4.26 million
#FRS #economy #data
Wednesday, April 23, 2025
16:45
Manufacturing PMI (April)
Previous value: 50.2
16:45
Services PMI (April)
Previous value: 54.4
17:00
New home sales (March)
Forecast: 680K | Previous value: 676K
17:30
Crude oil inventories
Previous value: 0.515 million barrels
Thursday, April 24, 2025
15:30
Initial jobless claims
Previous value: 215K
17:00
Existing home sales (March)
Forecast: 4.14 million | Previous value: 4.26 million
#FRS #economy #data
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Important Economic Events This Week (February 10-15, 2025)
Tuesday, February 11
6:00 PM – Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Remarks
Wednesday, February 12
4:30 PM – Core CPI (MoM) (January)
- Forecast: 0.3%
- Previous: 0.2%
4:30 PM – CPI (MoM) (January)
- Forecast: 0.3%
- Previous: 0.4%
4:30 PM – CPI (YoY) (January)
- Previous: 2.9%
6:00 PM – Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Remarks
6:30 PM – Crude Oil Inventories
- Previous: 8.664 million
Thursday, 13 February
16:30 – Initial Jobless Claims
- Previous: 219K
16:30 – Producer Price Index (MoM) (January)
- Previous: 0.2%
Friday, February 14
16:30 – Core Retail Sales (MoM) (January)
- Previous: 0.4%
16:30 – Retail Sales Volume (MoM) (January)
- Previous: 0.4%
#frs #data #economy
Tuesday, February 11
6:00 PM – Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Remarks
Wednesday, February 12
4:30 PM – Core CPI (MoM) (January)
- Forecast: 0.3%
- Previous: 0.2%
4:30 PM – CPI (MoM) (January)
- Forecast: 0.3%
- Previous: 0.4%
4:30 PM – CPI (YoY) (January)
- Previous: 2.9%
6:00 PM – Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Remarks
6:30 PM – Crude Oil Inventories
- Previous: 8.664 million
Thursday, 13 February
16:30 – Initial Jobless Claims
- Previous: 219K
16:30 – Producer Price Index (MoM) (January)
- Previous: 0.2%
Friday, February 14
16:30 – Core Retail Sales (MoM) (January)
- Previous: 0.4%
16:30 – Retail Sales Volume (MoM) (January)
- Previous: 0.4%
#frs #data #economy
See original
Local altseason?
Essentially, last week we saw what we wrote after the CPI data: we expect growth before the Fed meeting or, at least, over the weekend.
After a week of sideways movement, both the altcoins and the mid- and small-cap coins performed well: $ETH – up to $4700, SOL – up to $243, and the same PUMP shot up nearly 3x from the bottom, etc.
We know that many were waiting for similar levels to lock in profits, so congratulations: perhaps someone locked in part of their positions and took some stables for themselves.
We are smoothly approaching day X (Fed rate), we are already seeing a slight pullback in the market, and besides sell on news, many forget that September is the end of the financial year in the USA.
Therefore, the second half is that period when funds are "poured out": companies sell off and lock in profits for reporting. Most likely, they could also pull down crypto, so be prepared for such a scenario.
#FRS
Essentially, last week we saw what we wrote after the CPI data: we expect growth before the Fed meeting or, at least, over the weekend.
After a week of sideways movement, both the altcoins and the mid- and small-cap coins performed well: $ETH – up to $4700, SOL – up to $243, and the same PUMP shot up nearly 3x from the bottom, etc.
We know that many were waiting for similar levels to lock in profits, so congratulations: perhaps someone locked in part of their positions and took some stables for themselves.
We are smoothly approaching day X (Fed rate), we are already seeing a slight pullback in the market, and besides sell on news, many forget that September is the end of the financial year in the USA.
Therefore, the second half is that period when funds are "poured out": companies sell off and lock in profits for reporting. Most likely, they could also pull down crypto, so be prepared for such a scenario.
#FRS
$BTC $ETH $SOL
The reason for the current correction is the speech of the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Alberto Musalem. He said it may be time to slow the pace of interest rate cuts amid higher inflation and easing concerns about the labor market.
Be careful and follow your RM!!!
#BTC #ETH #SOL #FRS
The reason for the current correction is the speech of the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, Alberto Musalem. He said it may be time to slow the pace of interest rate cuts amid higher inflation and easing concerns about the labor market.
Be careful and follow your RM!!!
#BTC #ETH #SOL #FRS
See original
Important economic events this week, July 8 - 12:
Tuesday, July 9, 2024
18:00
The speech of the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Mr. Powell
Wednesday, July 10, 2024
17:00
The speech of the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Mr. Powell
5:30 p.m
Crude oil reserves
Previous value: -12.157 million
Thursday, July 11, 2024
15:30
Basic consumer price index (m/m) (June)
Forecast: 0.2% Previous Value: 0.2%
15:30
Consumer price index (y/y) (June)
Previous value: 3.3%
15:30
Consumer price index (m/m) (June)
Forecast: 0.1% Previous value: 0.0%
15:30
The number of initial applications for unemployment benefits
Previous value: 238 thousand
Friday, July 12, 2024
15:30
Producer Price Index (PPI) (m/m) (June)
Forecast: 0.1% Previous value: -0.2%
#data #frs #economy
Tuesday, July 9, 2024
18:00
The speech of the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Mr. Powell
Wednesday, July 10, 2024
17:00
The speech of the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Mr. Powell
5:30 p.m
Crude oil reserves
Previous value: -12.157 million
Thursday, July 11, 2024
15:30
Basic consumer price index (m/m) (June)
Forecast: 0.2% Previous Value: 0.2%
15:30
Consumer price index (y/y) (June)
Previous value: 3.3%
15:30
Consumer price index (m/m) (June)
Forecast: 0.1% Previous value: 0.0%
15:30
The number of initial applications for unemployment benefits
Previous value: 238 thousand
Friday, July 12, 2024
15:30
Producer Price Index (PPI) (m/m) (June)
Forecast: 0.1% Previous value: -0.2%
#data #frs #economy
See original
Important economic events this week, September 23 - 27:
Monday, September 23, 2024
16:45
Index of business activity in the manufacturing sector (PMI) (September)
Forecast: 48.5 Previous value: 47.9
16:45
Business activity index (PMI) in the services sector (September)
Forecast: 55.2 Previous value: 55.7
Tuesday, September 24, 2024
17:00
CB consumer confidence index (September)
Forecast: 102.9 Previous Value: 103.3
Wednesday, September 25, 2024
17:00
New home sales (August)
Forecast: 700 thousand. Previous value: 739 thousand.
5:30 p.m
Crude oil reserves
Previous value: -1.630 million
Thursday, September 26, 2024
15:30
GDP (q/q) (2 q.)
Forecast: 3.0% Previous value: 1.4%
15:30
The number of initial applications for unemployment benefits
Previous value: 219 thousand
16:20
The speech of the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Mr. Powell
Friday, September 27, 2024
15:30
Basic price index of personal consumption expenditures (m/m) (August)
Default: 0.2%
15:30
Basic price index of personal consumption expenditures (y/y) (August)
Previous value: 2.6%
#data #frs #economy
Monday, September 23, 2024
16:45
Index of business activity in the manufacturing sector (PMI) (September)
Forecast: 48.5 Previous value: 47.9
16:45
Business activity index (PMI) in the services sector (September)
Forecast: 55.2 Previous value: 55.7
Tuesday, September 24, 2024
17:00
CB consumer confidence index (September)
Forecast: 102.9 Previous Value: 103.3
Wednesday, September 25, 2024
17:00
New home sales (August)
Forecast: 700 thousand. Previous value: 739 thousand.
5:30 p.m
Crude oil reserves
Previous value: -1.630 million
Thursday, September 26, 2024
15:30
GDP (q/q) (2 q.)
Forecast: 3.0% Previous value: 1.4%
15:30
The number of initial applications for unemployment benefits
Previous value: 219 thousand
16:20
The speech of the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Mr. Powell
Friday, September 27, 2024
15:30
Basic price index of personal consumption expenditures (m/m) (August)
Default: 0.2%
15:30
Basic price index of personal consumption expenditures (y/y) (August)
Previous value: 2.6%
#data #frs #economy
See original
Key points from Jerome Powell's speech before the US Senate Banking Committee:
Powell said he doesn't expect an interest rate hike anytime soon, but declined to specify the exact timing of a possible cut. "I'm not going to give any signals about the timing of future actions."
The chairman of the Fed stressed the importance of a cautious approach to avoid risks to the economy associated with premature or delayed actions. He noted that all decisions will be made gradually, based on current data, with the possibility of a rate reduction in September.
The latest inflation data suggest gradual progress, and positive results could bolster confidence that inflation will return to the 2% target. Powell also noted that unexpected weakness in the labor market could be a reason to lower rates.
Despite some slowing of the economy and cooling of the labor market, the unemployment rate remains low by historical standards. Powell emphasized that the US economy remains one of the strongest in the world.
Markets reacted mutedly as Powell avoided giving clear signals about the Fed's short-term policy.
#frs #data #economy
Powell said he doesn't expect an interest rate hike anytime soon, but declined to specify the exact timing of a possible cut. "I'm not going to give any signals about the timing of future actions."
The chairman of the Fed stressed the importance of a cautious approach to avoid risks to the economy associated with premature or delayed actions. He noted that all decisions will be made gradually, based on current data, with the possibility of a rate reduction in September.
The latest inflation data suggest gradual progress, and positive results could bolster confidence that inflation will return to the 2% target. Powell also noted that unexpected weakness in the labor market could be a reason to lower rates.
Despite some slowing of the economy and cooling of the labor market, the unemployment rate remains low by historical standards. Powell emphasized that the US economy remains one of the strongest in the world.
Markets reacted mutedly as Powell avoided giving clear signals about the Fed's short-term policy.
#frs #data #economy
See original
Important economic events this week, November 4-8:
Tuesday, November 5, 2024
- 13:00
Presidential elections
- 17:45
Business Activity Index (PMI) in the services sector (October)
Forecast: 55.3
Previous: 55.3
- 18:00
ISM US Non-Manufacturing PMI (October)
Forecast: 53.3
Previous: 54.9
Wednesday, November 6, 2024
- 18:30
Crude oil reserves
Previous: -0.515 million barrels
Thursday, November 7, 2024
- 4:30 p.m
The number of initial applications for unemployment benefits
Previous: 216 thousand
- 21:00
Fed interest rate decision
Forecast: 4.75%
Previous: 5.00%
- 22:00
FOMC statement
- 10:30 p.m
FOMC press conference
#frs #economy #data
Tuesday, November 5, 2024
- 13:00
Presidential elections
- 17:45
Business Activity Index (PMI) in the services sector (October)
Forecast: 55.3
Previous: 55.3
- 18:00
ISM US Non-Manufacturing PMI (October)
Forecast: 53.3
Previous: 54.9
Wednesday, November 6, 2024
- 18:30
Crude oil reserves
Previous: -0.515 million barrels
Thursday, November 7, 2024
- 4:30 p.m
The number of initial applications for unemployment benefits
Previous: 216 thousand
- 21:00
Fed interest rate decision
Forecast: 4.75%
Previous: 5.00%
- 22:00
FOMC statement
- 10:30 p.m
FOMC press conference
#frs #economy #data
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