Bitcoin has been 18% after the halving
Similar to where it was in 2013-2017 before the last rally.
2021 was the timing of the news of China banning cryptocurrencies and mining, which is why behavior changed.
Knowing that the news of China banning was repeated twice in 2017-2021, which led to a -50% drop in Bitcoin.
The situation is different now, control has become higher among Americans, whether because of funds or financial institutions and companies that own a larger number of Bitcoin, as well as Trump's presidency.

