$BTC$ETH
Zero Point Analysis
Trading is a mathematical problem, focusing on cost performance;
Some people continuously question my bearish stance at this stage; I understand, after all, Trump is in office, and the future of the crypto market is all bright and promising. However, please note that I never said the bull market is over; I still have a positive outlook for next year! I even insist on my view: the future BTC will no longer be entangled in bulls and bears, but will follow a sustainable development path!
If we go long at 105 and short at 108000! The cost performance of this mathematical problem should be calculable for everyone; let’s wait three days to see how the cost performance turns out?
Currently, there are no specific positive factors, and the structure hasn’t shown a significant increase; yesterday's pump can only be described as positive news, at least Ethereum's trend has shown us how to proceed and will continue to do so. Last night, I emphasized the importance of the 110,000 high point, and without directly breaking through the Gann box and stabilizing at 110,000, entering the next box carries a greater risk for going long!
Currently, the 108 position is quite good, and in the next large range, another round of consolidation will still wash here, while the lower level still hovers around 90,000. You say it has dropped too much, but I still can’t see it; as long as we can make a profit of more than 10,000 in the middle, that's already enough. Having new highs and new lows is not a bad thing; it increases the parameters for psychological forecasting! Above 100,000, we need to add some chips to attract some firepower; at least currently, the bullish sentiment is not very strong! If it crashes, maximizing profits is very difficult, while shorts can easily take over!
In the evening live stream, I mentioned that we first look at 106 for a rebound, and just as expected, the rebound did happen at this position. Can it go up again? If it goes up, I can only see 108! In a downturn, I can see 90,000. Therefore, for me, the cost performance of a temporary short position is relatively favorable, small losses with big gains!
Today, let's talk about Ethereum, reaching the expected rebound of 3500 that I have been mentioning, which I talked about since January 10. After completing the second large decline, there will still be a third, and we need a W bottom below. The idea of jumping back to the analysis chart from January 11 is still valid; it just skipped directly past 3030 without rebounding, and the steep drop to 2900 came a bit early. However, such spikes are still quite common with Ethereum. This chart illustrates my trading logic for it; I will not increase my spot position unless it falls below 3000, and tonight I also mentioned that if it really drops below 2700, I will open a coin-based leverage position!