艾普安

B mark T topic R party, I have feelings without mercy, pay attention to leave an id, the first 100 can share the profits of my empty order.
Hair pulling manual, Article 4, strong pulling turns to ashes,
The alpha airdrop gameplay has ended, 260 points, low guarantee accounts and accounts around 1000 dollars have all been eliminated, and today is the last BTR project. I really tell you that the alpha section should end, keep the funds to see other gameplay later, everyone.

$BTC $ETH
Evening market analysis:

Powell's attendance at the meeting tonight will lead to a relatively intense market fluctuation!

The following is the key points of Bao's speech, which I personally think is very powerful and basically grasps Bao's style. The other apps seem very rigid; especially the political influence and the independence of the Federal Reserve, which are not summarized by other tools~~~~

The intraday market fluctuations are not very large. BTC is still sideways, just following the 6-hour channel and compressing the 12-hour channel. From the 12-hour boll channel, there is a chance to pick up to around 99350. The 6-hour pressure has already appeared. The rest depends on how Bao plays; the current trend is still relatively volatile and has not changed! However, the energy for the northbound is limited for the time being. Let's take a look at the 99350 short position first, with a loss of 100 million! If you really want to go to 102700, continue to short one hand. This is my last short position in February! Let's go back to 95700 to stop profit

I stick to my point of view on eth. It is not cost-effective to short it at 27-28. Don't short it above 3000. It is not conducive to long-term development to short it here!

#ETH3200给粉丝发🍬

It's time for the ETH Show, right...

First aim for 3500... then aim for 3800...

Thank you for being there, we will continue to move forward in 2025.

$BTC
This indicator of mine is really accurate;
The probability of breaking the previous low on the daily line is 55.7%!
It broke today~~~~~

It stepped back to two key positions, 995 and 958!

$BTC$ETH
Zero Point Analysis
Trading is a mathematical problem, focusing on cost performance;
Some people continuously question my bearish stance at this stage; I understand, after all, Trump is in office, and the future of the crypto market is all bright and promising. However, please note that I never said the bull market is over; I still have a positive outlook for next year! I even insist on my view: the future BTC will no longer be entangled in bulls and bears, but will follow a sustainable development path!

If we go long at 105 and short at 108000! The cost performance of this mathematical problem should be calculable for everyone; let’s wait three days to see how the cost performance turns out?

Currently, there are no specific positive factors, and the structure hasn’t shown a significant increase; yesterday's pump can only be described as positive news, at least Ethereum's trend has shown us how to proceed and will continue to do so. Last night, I emphasized the importance of the 110,000 high point, and without directly breaking through the Gann box and stabilizing at 110,000, entering the next box carries a greater risk for going long!

Currently, the 108 position is quite good, and in the next large range, another round of consolidation will still wash here, while the lower level still hovers around 90,000. You say it has dropped too much, but I still can’t see it; as long as we can make a profit of more than 10,000 in the middle, that's already enough. Having new highs and new lows is not a bad thing; it increases the parameters for psychological forecasting! Above 100,000, we need to add some chips to attract some firepower; at least currently, the bullish sentiment is not very strong! If it crashes, maximizing profits is very difficult, while shorts can easily take over!

In the evening live stream, I mentioned that we first look at 106 for a rebound, and just as expected, the rebound did happen at this position. Can it go up again? If it goes up, I can only see 108! In a downturn, I can see 90,000. Therefore, for me, the cost performance of a temporary short position is relatively favorable, small losses with big gains!

Today, let's talk about Ethereum, reaching the expected rebound of 3500 that I have been mentioning, which I talked about since January 10. After completing the second large decline, there will still be a third, and we need a W bottom below. The idea of jumping back to the analysis chart from January 11 is still valid; it just skipped directly past 3030 without rebounding, and the steep drop to 2900 came a bit early. However, such spikes are still quite common with Ethereum. This chart illustrates my trading logic for it; I will not increase my spot position unless it falls below 3000, and tonight I also mentioned that if it really drops below 2700, I will open a coin-based leverage position!

$BTC
Trading is a mathematical problem, focused on cost-effectiveness
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Trump is about to take office, ETF bought 700 million! Why short at this time?

The first point is: look at the chart; continuous rise; not even a decent one-hour pullback, just going up directly?

Although the drop in 89 made the vehicle lighter, after a quick jab, many people will still short at 99! Because according to the pattern in the chart below compared to the rise on the left, it indeed hasn't completed!

The second point is the issue of cost-effectiveness; the essence of trading is a mathematical problem, not a dialectical political issue; going long at 90, and shorting at 99 is clearly easier to calculate, who dares to hold a contract at 150,000? Based on having inventory in the spot market, continuing to hold full long positions? A single explosion can be devastating!

Tonight at 8 PM is crucial, and also the U.S. stock market opens at midnight, the position of 972-968 still needs to be touched, liquidate part of the short position when it retraces this range, even if it rises again, hitting stop-loss would still not be a loss!

Moreover, Japan was discussing whether to raise interest rates two days ago; the last time Japan raised rates was on August 5, this time it could be January 24. The only favorable factor at this moment is indeed Trump taking office on January 20, just four days away, two trading days! Maintain good position risk and don't let yourself fall into danger!

$BTC $ETH

Morning Update:
Good morning! Here comes Jiug歌!
3.45 billion liquidations in the last 24 hours! Currently, the market is targeting 🈳️ heads with a ruthless strategy. So, is it a real reversal or a false breakout?

Yesterday, a significant amount of Bitcoin was bought on the spot; Fidelity purchased over 400 million, presumably to create a hype for Trump's upcoming presidency.

Someone reminded me that last time when shorting, Trump’s victory led to a final drop in the game, and I was ruthlessly thrown off the train. This time, will history repeat itself with another final drop for Trump’s presidency?

I can’t say for sure. Based on the technical analysis of the recent trend, it seems the correction isn’t enough yet, and the ups and downs have moved in 4 waves. Currently, the 4th wave has reached 1008, just a step away from my stop loss.

My judgment remains unchanged: once the 4th wave is complete, we’ll head south!
I can only say that everyone should enter the market together and follow the rules. Don’t hold positions. The average price is 99,000, with a stop loss of 2,000. Each time we take profit, it exceeds 6,000, so the risk-reward ratio is fine.

In the meantime, I’ve nearly eaten through a range of 25,000 during the two back-and-forths. Honestly, it’s been tough, but in the end, there’s no such thing as an invincible general, right? True fans can understand, right?

Now, let’s talk about Ethereum. I’ve always emphasized that 32-33 is a low level, and there’s no point in shorting it. The risk-reward isn't there. I’ve been shouting to enter the spot market at 3200, and of course, we’re all patients of Ethereum during this bull market. Let’s hold on. Waiting to re-enter at 2950.

XRP reached 3 dollars smoothly, and I took profit on half of my spot position, then went short with a contract, but hit a stop loss at 3.1.

$BTC

CPI meets expectations, why is it rising?
Isn't it just the 4th transaction?
There are no expected benefits, right?

985 advanced position. 995 add position.
Control the position, don't exceed the limit, aim for this southern expedition's ten thousand dollars.
I set my stop loss at 101000.
This trade definitely has good cost-effectiveness.

After several days of thorough cleaning, the fees began to turn negative, and highly leveraged long positions were wiped out. The market has returned to a period of consolidation, which is the favorite time for contract players, especially for someone like me who enjoys swing trading. As long as one does not chase rising prices or sell at falling prices, it is still quite easy to accumulate some money for the New Year. Identifying the reasons for losses and strictly adhering to discipline to avoid making the same mistakes again is crucial. The entry point significantly determines the risk-reward ratio, and the correctness of the buying direction determines whether one can make a profit. If both of these conditions are met, making money is not too difficult. Making big money relies on luck, while making small money relies on learning technical analysis and enriching one’s understanding, combined with continuous practice. Additionally, one must restrain human greed, know what one wants, what one cannot have, and what one cannot afford. Keeping a clear mind, being rational, and respecting the market are essential.

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