1. Whale manipulation is a reality
• Yes, big players (“whales”) have the resources to:
• Trigger artificial crashes or consolidations.
• Create an illusion of lack of interest (for example, through low trading volume or decreasing interest in Earn).
• Then — massively buy tokens from weak hands.
• And further — create a “rocket” (pump) when news, social media, and FOMO act as a triggering mechanism.
2. Most predictions in cryptocurrency are template-based
• Predictions from bots or exchanges:
• Often based on statistics, not live demand;
• Ignore on-chain data, wallet activity, accumulation, token movement;
• Do not consider the human factor (emotions, news, panic, hype).
Most predictions do not anticipate a “rocket”, even when it is already forming.
3. When whales start accumulating — predictions should not be trusted
• If we see large purchases, withdrawals from exchanges, an increasing number of holders — this is a signal to act, not to wait for confirmation from “analytics”.
• The price usually moves after the whales have already done everything — then the “predictions” start to look truthful in hindsight.
Conclusion:
• Predictions are the background.
• Real signals are on-chain data, accumulation, whale behavior.
• One should not trade solely based on predictions — it is necessary to read the market, not believe in it.
