XRP is back on the market's radar. After bouncing off $2.80, Ripple's token faces a decisive moment: will it consolidate its recovery towards the $3.00 zone or lose strength heading towards lower supports?

Key Support and Resistance

Critical support: $2.80–$2.8120. Staying above this range is essential for the bulls to maintain control.

Immediate resistance: $2.88. A solid close above opens the door to the $2.9160 level (Fib 61.8% of the swing $3.04–$2.70).

Psychological target: $3.00. A breakout above this level would validate the return of bullish momentum.

📊 Technically, the MACD shows weakness and the RSI is below 50, reflecting indecision.

Short-Term Scenarios

1. Bullish Scenario (Recovery):

Holding $2.81 and breaking $2.88 → possible rally towards $2.96 and then $3.05.

Breaking above $3.05 would validate a new bullish leg towards $3.40.

2. Bearish Scenario (Collapse):

Falling below $2.80 → immediate pressure to $2.74 and $2.70.

A break below $2.70 would open the risk of a greater technical correction.

Fundamental Factors

Active whales: over 340M XRP accumulated, showing confidence in the medium term.

Cautious institutions: recent sales of $1.9B reflect a divided market.

Regulation at play: the SEC postponed decisions on XRP ETFs until October 2025; historically, these delays generate temporary bearish pressure.

Conclusion

XRP is in a decisive zone: $2.80 will be the level that marks the immediate fate. Breaking above $2.88 could unleash a bullish rally towards $3.00, while losing critical support opens the path to a deeper correction.

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