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JoJoJoleene
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Bullish
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In 2015, Bitcoin was only $150
In ten years, it increased by 250 times, time proves everything 🚀
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JoJoJoleene
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three days left 消息面已经影响不大了,下周会有大动作吗?
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今天一起看下最新的FOMC dot plot数据吧: 1. 2025年利率预测中位数 ≈ 3.5–3.75% • 2025 年大部分黑点集中在 3.5%–4.25% 区间,但中位数蓝点(图中均为蓝色圆点)落在 约 3.5–3.75%。 → 说明:美联储预计 2025 年继续降息接近中性利率。 2. 2026–2027 年预期进一步下降 • 2026 的黑点重心下移到 2.75–3.75%,中位数≈3.0–3.25% • 2027 的重心又比 2026 低,部分预测甚至到 2.5%–2.75% → 说明:美联储预期未来通胀回落、经济放缓,从而逐步下调利率。 3. 长期利率(Longer Run)预期 ≈ 2.75–3.0% • 最右边一列显示长期中位数落在 约 2.75%-3.0% → 结论:美联储认为未来最终利率水平会稳定在3%附近(中性利率预期未变)。 4. 市场隐含利率(红点)低于官员预测 • 图中的红点代表市场根据 Fed Funds futures计算的市场预期利率 • 红点普遍比黑点中位数更低 → 说明:市场比美联储更鸽(预计降息幅度更大更快)
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降息25个基点的概率已达到了88.8%~#降息预测
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there is no white horse coming to save you and dont beg those who dont give a shit about u, just hang in there. 推荐关注Charles Hoskinson 握好现货,再来一碗酸酸辣辣心灵鸡汤 I still have faith in the decentralization, what about u?#去中心化
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今年真的是修仙的一年🙋♀️
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