#美联储降息预期升温 Will the Federal Reserve lower interest rates on September 18? According to the analysis of the hexagram, the likelihood is relatively low.

Hexagram basis:

1. This hexagram is "Heaven and Earth Disjointed"; Qian represents heaven as policy, and Kun represents earth as the economy. The disconnection between heaven and earth symbolizes a disconnect between policy and the current economic situation, making it difficult for the interest rate cut decision to be smoothly implemented.

2. The dynamic line of the official ghost (Wu Fire) transforms into the parents (Wei Earth), indicating that although the Federal Reserve has the intention to act, the transformation of earth dissipates energy, and its action capability is insufficient, possibly constrained by economic data.

3. The wife and wealth (Mao Wood) is broken (You Month conflicts), representing a weak economic fundamental support, making it difficult to promote interest rate cuts.

4. The changing hexagram "Wind and Earth Observing" is a wandering soul hexagram, indicating a wait-and-see attitude, suggesting that the Federal Reserve is more likely to remain cautious and not take action for now.

5. The brother's (Shen Metal) empty after filling (the 18th is a Jia Shen day), may trigger external pressures (such as market fluctuations or data interference), further hindering interest rate cuts.

Conclusion: The probability of an interest rate cut is low, and if it ultimately occurs, the extent may also be small. The hexagram suggests paying attention to subsequent economic data and the policy window after October.