Dogecoin (DOGE) 24-hour to one-week price trend simple analysis

Current price and recent performance

As of September 16, 2025, the DOGE price is approximately $0.265-$0.269 USD, with significant fluctuations within 24 hours, having previously risen by 3.68% before pulling back by 3.41%, overall slightly rising by 0.5%-1%. In the past 7 days, it has surged significantly by 17%-40%, rebounding from a low of $0.22, with a market capitalization of approximately $40B-$40.6B and a 24-hour trading volume of $5.6B-$5.75B. DOGE has broken through a symmetrical triangle that has formed over several months, signaling a bull market.

Technical Analysis

Short-term indicators: The daily chart shows an ABC correction structure, stabilizing above Fib support at $0.225-$0.24. MA is neutral, with a potential death cross but the Kumo cloud is green and bullish; RSI/MACD are not detailed, but overall are neutral to bullish. Key resistance is at $0.30-$0.31, with support at $0.246-$0.25. If it breaks above $0.246, it could test $0.263-$0.30.

24-hour trend: It may consolidate or slightly rise by 1%-5%, focusing on the $0.25 support. If the trading volume maintains above $5B, it could rise to $0.27-$0.28; risk: if it falls below $0.246, it may drop to $0.24.

One-week trend: bullish bias, target $0.30-$0.45 (+13%-70%), or even $0.50-$0.60. The Adam & Eve pattern suggests an explosion, with a breakout of the upper parallel channel possibly reaching $0.54. Analyst X predicts it could reach $0.2688 before September 21, but caution is advised for a pullback.

Fundamental Factors

Positive drivers: Open interest exceeds $2B-$6B, whale accumulation (such as 8 million DOGE long positions), potential DOGE ETF launching this week (DOJE futures product), promoting mainstream adoption. The community is optimistic, with accumulation at high points low, and selling pressure weakening.

Risks: Macro “sell the news” effect after the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts; if BTC pulls back, DOGE may also drop to $0.22. If the death cross is confirmed, it may face short-term pressure at $0.30.

Overall Outlook

Within 24 hours: stable or slightly upward, focusing on $0.25 support. Within one week: bullish probability 70%, rising to $0.30-$0.45, driven by ETF + technicals, but watch for a pullback to $0.24 (30% probability). Long-term target for 2025 is $0.64-$1.40, but short-term volatility is high, suggesting monitoring of trading volume & BTC. DYOR, not investment advice.

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