Most perceive the strategy as an attempt to predict the future. In reality, it is just a set of rules that must be followed. Breaking your own rules is a direct path to nowhere.

The most difficult part of our business is not the analysis, but the ability to adhere to agreements with oneself. Most often, traders try to 'stretch the situation to the chart' under the influence of desires, instead of acting according to the actual state of the market.

The market has three states: growth, decline, and range (flat). Our actions should mirror these states:

1. Trend strategy (Growth / Decline)

This is moving along with the market.

  • When the price confidently rises — we buy.

  • When it falls — we sell.
    This is the use of crowd energy to achieve your goal.

2. Counter-trend strategy (Range / Reversal)

Here we act from the opposite:

  • We sell when the price rises to resistance levels.

  • We buy when it falls to support levels.
    This is working in channels or relying on trend exhaustion.

3. Arbitrage

The goal is to absorb the price difference (spread) between different platforms or instruments (spot/derivative). This is pure mathematical exploitation of system inefficiencies.

This classification of strategies will help us better understand the market, according to its movement. Using different indicators, signals for entry, money management - this stylizes your strategy.

The wisdom of 'Beidwind'

In sailing, Beidwind is the movement of a vessel towards its goal by tacking against the wind. This is the best metaphor for a true pro.

This is the opportunity to pursue your financial goal regardless of the market wind direction. If the wind is against us — we don't give up, we change tactics, we tack, but we don't change course.

The main trap: Changing strategy at the wrong time is like leaving the house after forgetting to go to the bathroom and deciding to do it in the middle of the road.

You should know the 'seasonality' of your strategy. Knowing that winter is coming — that's knowledge. Wearing a fur coat only when it's needed, and not in the middle of summer — that's professionalism. If you lost in an unfavorable market, and when your time came — you changed strategy out of fear, you lost twice.

Sometimes the best strategy is simply to wait. Don't try to trade every candle. It's easier to wait for your situation than to try to conquer the storm on tattered sails.

We will analyze these approaches so that you learn to feel the market, rather than 'drawing' it in your imagination.

Bon voyage, mes chers amis!
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