đš US Shutdown Looms: Crypto Crash & Rebound Ahead? đš
Crypto fam, with a US gov shutdown odds at 82% on Polymarket, BTC âs dipping to $108,620 on Binance, ETH at $3,815, and $140B wiped out, itâs chaos time. Letâs unpack the shutdownâs impact on crypto, Trumpâs role, and why this could be a BUY THE DIP moment. #crypto #BTC #ShutdownPossible
1/ Shutdown Odds: 70%+ by Oct 1 đ
Congress faces a Sept 30 deadline. No budget deal? Non-essential services stopâparks shut, 800K fed workers furloughed. 2018-19âs 35-day shutdown cost $11B. 2025âs worse: Trumpâs tariffs spike inflation, $37T debt, and deportations squeeze labor. Markets bet 76-82% odds.
2/ Trump Driving It? Big Time đ€
Trumpâs pushing hard: canceled Dem meetings, called their demands âunrealistic.â OMBâs memo orders MASS DEMISSIONS (not just furloughs) for programs like Medicaid, aligning with Muskâs DOGE cuts. Dems block âcleanâ funding to save Obamacare for 20M. Polarization fuels the fire.
3/ Cryptoâs Hit: 3-5% Dips đ
Expect panic: BTC to $93-95K, ETH < $3,200, SOL / XRP down 5-7%. $1.65B liquidations already hit. Why?
- SEC/CFTC freeze: ETF approvals, stablecoin rules stalled.
- No econ data (jobs/CPI delayed) = Fed pauses rate cuts, USD strengthens, risk assets tank.
- Memes ( DOGE / SHIB ) drop 3%+. Fear & Greed at 33.
4/ Rebound Potential: Donât Sell! đ
2018-19: BTC fell 20%, then rallied 300%. 2013: +80% as fiat hedge. ETFs ($57B YTD) cushion blows. Short shutdown (<10 days) = âUptoberâ rally, BTC to $105K. Long-term: BTC shines vs fiat.
5/ Play Smart đĄ
- Buy dips: SOL / XRP rebound fast.
- Hedge: Gold/stablecoins.
- Watch Congress Sept 29 for CR deal.
Shutdownâs noise in a bull run. Your moveâbuy fear or wait? đ


