A "precise prediction" event occurred in the cryptocurrency market: mysterious accounts laid out in advance for Trump's tariff policy, wildly collecting 160 million dollars.
Recently, the cryptocurrency market staged a shocking scene: on the eve of the announcement of Trump's tariff policy, several mysterious on-chain accounts accurately bet on short positions, ultimately reaping a huge profit of up to 160 million dollars, drawing widespread attention for their operation timing and alignment with market reactions.
Among them, the operations of address "0xb317" are particularly eye-catching— not only synchronously increasing short positions but also coordinating BTC deposit actions, making the entire operation smooth and rhythmically precise. Even more astonishing is address "0xc2A", which completed 7 operations in just 14 days, all profitable, flexibly switching between long and short directions with substantial gains, showcasing a "precise timing" in predicting market trends.
What market logic lies behind the phenomenon?
The operations of these top players reveal the core operating rules of the cryptocurrency market, which can be summarized into two key points:
1. Major news is the "catalyst" for market fluctuations: significant policy-related information can often trigger rapid market movements, while top traders are adept at capturing the potential impacts of such information in advance to complete their layouts.
2. Trend judgment and execution capability are the core of profitability: success does not rely on "predictive powers" but on a clear understanding of trends and decisive execution. Taking "0xc2A" as an example, it firmly shorted in a downtrend and timely switched to long when the market rebounded, not getting entangled in the correctness of direction, but closely following market rhythm to adjust strategies, demonstrating strong flexibility.
How should ordinary investors respond?
In the face of such "precise operations", blindly following the trend is inadvisable; grasping the underlying logic is key and can be approached from three aspects:
Learn thinking rather than copying operations: the core advantage of big players lies in formulating strategies in advance and waiting for news to ferment. Retail investors should cultivate information sensitivity, focusing on policy trends, core industry events, and opinion leader movements, establishing their own information filtering and judgment system rather than directly copying others' trades.
Focus on mainstream currencies and allocate funds reasonably: observations reveal that accounts like "0xe2eA" often concentrate operations on a single cryptocurrency. Given the limited resources of retail investors, prioritizing mainstream cryptocurrencies for layout can reduce volatility risk and also make it easier to track market logic. At the same time, avoid full-position betting and control risks through position diversification.
Strictly adhere to risk control with "survival" as the premise: regardless of the market situation, it is essential to set clear profit-taking and stop-loss lines—neither getting embroiled in greed nor holding onto losing positions. Even the aforementioned profitable accounts adopted a phased liquidation strategy, showing that "preserving capital" is the foundation for long-term market participation.
In-depth insights: there are no "gods" in the market, only practitioners of rules.
The cryptocurrency market has no real "prophets"; the success of these mysterious accounts is essentially a combination of information sensitivity, trend judgment, and execution capability. For ordinary investors, the core is not to chase so-called "big players' movements" but to understand the logic behind their operations: how to perceive market signals, how to formulate response strategies, and how to execute risk control rules.
To enhance market insight, one can leverage on-chain analysis tools to continuously track the movements of top accounts, inferring potential market logic through observing their position adjustments and coin selections. Only by transforming others' experiences into one's own capabilities can one steadily progress in the complex cryptocurrency market.$BTC
