In the previous article (the cryptocurrency bear market has already begun), I pointed out that the cryptocurrency market has entered a bear market, and now is the last opportunity to cash out.
Looking back at the recent Bitcoin trends, careful observation will reveal similarities with the peak in December 2021.
On December 4, 2021, Bitcoin experienced a flash crash with a single-day decline of 14%, followed by a period of sideways fluctuation, temporarily recovering previous losses, but ultimately falling below the $40,000 mark, initiating the bear market of 2022.
The current trend is also similar, on October 11, 2025, Bitcoin experienced a flash crash with a single-day decline of 6%, and altcoins showed a collapse trend.
Similarly, after the flash crash, it started to trade sideways, briefly recovering its losses, but ultimately turned downward, with the support level of $104,000 already on shaky ground.
Combining the above trends and the 4-year cycle theory, Bitcoin is very likely to fall below the $100,000 mark within 3 months, and then enter the bear market of 2026.
No macro events can change Bitcoin's 4-year cycle; now is the best choice to cash out and wait for the bear market.
Bitcoin price at the time of publication: $104,000
