Many people always want to buy at the lowest point.
Today BTC is at 100,000, thinking 90,000 is a good buy;
when it drops to 90,000, they think 80,000 is more appropriate;
when it reaches 80,000, they are waiting for 70,000;
resulting in BTC rising back to 100,000, only to regret not acting at 80,000.
I used to be like this, but later understood a principle: you can never buy at the lowest point, but you can ensure you are on the bus.
I am not sure if BTC can return to 65,000 USD.
If it does, I will buy in.
If not, I have already started accumulating around 100,000.
Waiting alone will never get you to the real bottom;
only by continually making tentative purchases can you accumulate enough positions in the bottom area.
I don't have the ability to precisely catch the bottom, but I can set target ranges and then keep buying.
I don’t guess directions, don’t gamble on news, just execute the plan.
This way, when the next round of BTC rises starts, I don’t need to ask, "Can I still get on the bus now"—
because I have already been on it.
Currently, 100,000 USD is already a strong short-term bottom.
I don’t expect to buy at the lowest, but I definitely won’t miss this round.
About "100,000 is a strong short-term bottom"
From on-chain data, this judgment is supported:
On-chain holdings around 100,000 are extremely high
（Glassnode: over 650,000 BTC bought and held in this range）
Net outflow from exchanges for 12 consecutive weeks, indicating chips are consolidating
MVRV Z-Score returning to -0.8**, entering a "consolidation repair zone", significantly reducing the probability of a major drop.
So, 100,000 is not an absolute bottom
but has become a high probability "effective bottom"
