📉 $BTC（2025-11-15 09:26）｜Bull and Bear Trend Index: 22 / 100（Strong Bear Control, Weak Downward）
BTC is currently quoted at about 95,118 USD. After a significant drop in the past 24 hours, it has entered a low-level weak rebound range, with prices fluctuating between 94,500 and 96,000 USD. The clear structure of falling volume and shrinking rebound volume shows that bears are still in complete control. If BTC loses 94,000 USD, it may quickly drop to 92,200～93,000 USD; if it breaks through 97,200 USD in the short term with increasing volume, it can confirm signs of stabilization.
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
🔹 Multi-Timeframe K-line Trend Judgment
15-Minute Chart: MA7 < MA25 < MA99 Bearish Arrangement; MACD Golden Cross but weak momentum, rebound height is limited; RSI ~49, still belongs to weak recovery.
1-Hour Chart: The bearish arrangement of moving averages continues, with MA25 and MA99 suppressing the rebound; MACD Death Cross after red bars exhausted, short-term has weak recovery; RSI ~38.9, momentum is weak.
4-Hour Chart: MA7 and MA25 continue to decline, prices are suppressed below MA25; MACD Death Cross expands; RSI ~30.6, at the edge of oversold but no obvious reversal.
Daily Chart: MA7 deeply presses MA25; MACD green bars continue to expand, downward momentum is strong; RSI ~31.4, in deep oversold area, a rebound may occur but the trend remains bearish.
Weekly Chart: MA7 is approaching MA25 downwards; MACD red bars sharply shrink, death cross is critical; RSI ~40.3, long-term trend weakens but has not collapsed.
📊 Technical Indicator Analysis
MACD: All timeframes (1H, 4H, Daily) maintain a clear death cross, green bars continue to expand; although there is a golden cross in the short term, the strength is very weak, making it difficult for the rebound to continue.
RSI: Multi-timeframes concentrated in the 30-49 range, daily enters deep oversold; short-term has rebound space, but mid-term still clearly bearish.
Moving Average System: MA7, MA25, MA99 complete bearish arrangement; MA99 (approximately 101,000～103,000 USD) has become a key resistance area.
Trading Volume: Significant increase during the downtrend, decrease during the rebound phase, clearly shows a bear-dominated pattern.
🌐 Macroeconomic News (Last 48 Hours・Extended Version)
1. U.S. PPI exceeds expectations
The Producer Price Index has rebounded, intensifying market concerns about inflation rebound, with the USD and U.S. Treasury yields strengthening simultaneously, putting pressure on BTC.
2. Fed officials again express hawkish stance
Two regional Fed presidents emphasized "not ruling out further tightening in the future," reinforcing market expectations for prolonged high interest rates, with risk assets facing continued pressure.
BTC is currently quoted at about 95,118 USD. After a significant drop in the past 24 hours, it has entered a low-level weak rebound range, with prices fluctuating between 94,500 and 96,000 USD. The clear structure of falling volume and shrinking rebound volume shows that bears are still in complete control. If BTC loses 94,000 USD, it may quickly drop to 92,200～93,000 USD; if it breaks through 97,200 USD in the short term with increasing volume, it can confirm signs of stabilization.
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
🔹 Multi-Timeframe K-line Trend Judgment
15-Minute Chart: MA7 < MA25 < MA99 Bearish Arrangement; MACD Golden Cross but weak momentum, rebound height is limited; RSI ~49, still belongs to weak recovery.
1-Hour Chart: The bearish arrangement of moving averages continues, with MA25 and MA99 suppressing the rebound; MACD Death Cross after red bars exhausted, short-term has weak recovery; RSI ~38.9, momentum is weak.
4-Hour Chart: MA7 and MA25 continue to decline, prices are suppressed below MA25; MACD Death Cross expands; RSI ~30.6, at the edge of oversold but no obvious reversal.
Daily Chart: MA7 deeply presses MA25; MACD green bars continue to expand, downward momentum is strong; RSI ~31.4, in deep oversold area, a rebound may occur but the trend remains bearish.
Weekly Chart: MA7 is approaching MA25 downwards; MACD red bars sharply shrink, death cross is critical; RSI ~40.3, long-term trend weakens but has not collapsed.
📊 Technical Indicator Analysis
MACD: All timeframes (1H, 4H, Daily) maintain a clear death cross, green bars continue to expand; although there is a golden cross in the short term, the strength is very weak, making it difficult for the rebound to continue.
RSI: Multi-timeframes concentrated in the 30-49 range, daily enters deep oversold; short-term has rebound space, but mid-term still clearly bearish.
Moving Average System: MA7, MA25, MA99 complete bearish arrangement; MA99 (approximately 101,000～103,000 USD) has become a key resistance area.
Trading Volume: Significant increase during the downtrend, decrease during the rebound phase, clearly shows a bear-dominated pattern.
🌐 Macroeconomic News (Last 48 Hours・Extended Version)
1. U.S. PPI exceeds expectations
The Producer Price Index has rebounded, intensifying market concerns about inflation rebound, with the USD and U.S. Treasury yields strengthening simultaneously, putting pressure on BTC.
2. Fed officials again express hawkish stance
Two regional Fed presidents emphasized "not ruling out further tightening in the future," reinforcing market expectations for prolonged high interest rates, with risk assets facing continued pressure.
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BTC
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