#币安合约实盘

After a few years of contracts, I have some insights that I would like to share and discuss with everyone. Perhaps my experience isn't the best, but I hope everyone can provide guidance and thank you once again.

Main Strategy:

Multi-timeframe analysis: I never look at just one timeframe. I usually start with the weekly chart to determine the long-term trend, then look for the main direction on the daily chart, and finally find specific entry points on the 4-hour or 1-hour chart.

· Trend following combined with mean reversion:

· In a trending market: Use moving averages (like EMA20/50), trendlines, and high/low structure to determine direction, go with the trend, and enter during pullbacks.

· In a range-bound market: Use Bollinger Bands, RSI, and other indicators to buy at support levels and sell at resistance levels, performing range trading.

· Price action and key levels: This is the core of my decision-making. I pay close attention to support and resistance levels, as well as classic candlestick patterns that appear near these levels, such as Pin Bar, Engulfing Patterns, and Inside Bars. These signals provide insights into market conditions or trend analysis. My personal analysis of the market's future outlook is that, from a macro perspective: The current cryptocurrency market is highly correlated with U.S. stocks (especially tech stocks) and global liquidity (U.S. dollar interest rate policy). Whether the Federal Reserve's rate hike cycle has ended and when it will start cutting rates are key factors affecting the overall risk appetite of the market.

· Bitcoin itself:

· Halving narrative: Next year will bring clues about market sentiment and potential reversals/extensions.