The market is in panic; both believers and non-believers feel that the bull market in the B circle has ended, and it has completely turned into a bear market.
Those who wanted to enter when Bitcoin was retracing at 126,000, entered at 110,000 and 100,000, but now they are afraid and are thinking it might drop to 80,000, 70,000, or 60,000.
This is human nature; after experiencing a significant rise, you will rush in as soon as there is a slight pullback.
When you experience continuous declines and prices keep breaking previous lows, and you bought at high positions, you will start to feel anxious, thinking that there is no bottom and it will keep falling, always falling. So when the subsequent market rises, you think it is just a rebound because you are still living in the previous world.
Determining the end of a bull market is not based on it breaking 100,000 or 90,000; there is no law stating this.
Judging bull and bear markets based on price breaks is fundamentally the wrong method.
Some say the four-year cycle has ended: at the end of 2017, the end of 2021, and the end of 2025.
I can only say that if the peak time were really this fixed, even a fool could make profits, and the main players would be begging on the street.
So, do you think a fool can make profits?
Bull and bear markets have cyclical rules; this is the way of heaven, and it is bound to cycle.
However, the rules of bull and bear markets are not so simple to analyze; perhaps the timing was coincidental in the last two rounds, but that does not mean this round will also be coincidental.
Because 'things do not happen three times,' the last two rounds serve as a reference for you now, but once retail investors have a reference, the third time will not work.
Let me share a myth from the main players' perspective: perhaps when the last bull market peaked, the main players had already calculated how to make retail investors believe a bear market was coming by the end of 2025, leading them into traps.
As retail investors, if we want to achieve long-term stable profits and survive, we must go with the trend, not seek swords by carving boats.
How to go with the trend? That is to analyze the bottom of the bear market, identify when the main players start to enter, and then follow by buying.
By determining the peak of a bull market, analyzing that the main players have started selling, and then following by selling.
Everyone is saying the bear market has arrived, but can you really analyze that the main players have already sold off? Can you truly identify the signs of their selling?
I believe many people are passing messages to each other, listening to who says the time cycle has arrived, who says this round is very similar to the peak in 2021, who says ETFs are flowing out, and who says this bull market is different from the past.
Then watching the market fall further reinforces these rumors, so you have no method to analyze or judge for yourself; you are merely frightened by the market trends and rumors and believe in panic.
If you have taken in my bull market perspective, at this moment, if you do not cut losses and do not use leverage, even if your B is not doing well, you will at least not suffer significant losses and can recover in the next market.
Finally, I wish everyone good luck.
