📊 Bitcoin Latest Analysis

Recent Price Action & Volatility

Bitcoin recently dropped below $105K and at one point hit around $101K, reflecting increased risk-off sentiment.

Pintu

According to some technical commentators, there’s a tug-of-war around the $110K level: being above could invite upside momentum, but a drop below could put pressure on support.

Reddit

On-chain, exchange outflows and institutional accumulation remain themes, albeit with short-term liquidations.

Coin Edition

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Macro & Institutional Drivers

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone is shaking markets. Some investors are increasingly skeptical about upcoming rate cuts, which hurts risk assets like bitcoin.

Investors

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However, major institutions like JPMorgan believe that after the recent deleveraging, bitcoin is relatively “cheaper” versus traditional safe-havens such as gold — suggesting more upside potential from here.

MarketWatch

On the adoption front, inflows to spot Bitcoin ETFs are still being watched closely, and growing ETF demand could fuel a rebound.

AInvest

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Seasonality & Historical Patterns

Historically, November has been very bullish for Bitcoin: while the average November return is ~42%, the more typical (median) return is closer to ~9%, according to recent analysis.

CoinDesk

Some analysts argue November 2025 could potentially see a breakout to $115K+, if seasonal strength aligns with renewed demand.

Coin Edition

On a more aggressive bullish path, models like quantile regression suggest a possible cycle top near $275K by November 2025 — though that’s very speculative.

Cointelegraph

Risks to Watch

Regulatory or geopolitical shocks remain wildcards.

High volatility continues to make short-term trading risky — swings could be sharp both ways.

Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks)

Base Case: Bitcoin consolidates between $100K–$115K, with a potential bounce if buyers step in around the lower boundary

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BTC
BTC
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