Bitcoin recently dropped below $105K and at one point hit around $101K, reflecting increased risk-off sentiment. Pintu
According to some technical commentators, there’s a tug-of-war around the $110K level: being above could invite upside momentum, but a drop below could put pressure on support. Reddit
On-chain, exchange outflows and institutional accumulation remain themes, albeit with short-term liquidations. Coin Edition +1
Macro & Institutional Drivers
The U.S. Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone is shaking markets. Some investors are increasingly skeptical about upcoming rate cuts, which hurts risk assets like bitcoin. Investors +1
However, major institutions like JPMorgan believe that after the recent deleveraging, bitcoin is relatively “cheaper” versus traditional safe-havens such as gold — suggesting more upside potential from here. MarketWatch
On the adoption front, inflows to spot Bitcoin ETFs are still being watched closely, and growing ETF demand could fuel a rebound. AInvest +1
Seasonality & Historical Patterns
Historically, November has been very bullish for Bitcoin: while the average November return is ~42%, the more typical (median) return is closer to ~9%, according to recent analysis. CoinDesk
Some analysts argue November 2025 could potentially see a breakout to $115K+, if seasonal strength aligns with renewed demand. Coin Edition
On a more aggressive bullish path, models like quantile regression suggest a possible cycle top near $275K by November 2025 — though that’s very speculative. Cointelegraph
Risks to Watch
Regulatory or geopolitical shocks remain wildcards.
High volatility continues to make short-term trading risky — swings could be sharp both ways.