I. Quick Insights from the Crypto Market
1. Altcoin Market
Daily chart of the total market cap of altcoins excluding the top 10 by market cap, showing a downtrend, with weak rebounds.
2. BTC.D Bitcoin's Market Cap Ratio
BTC.D Bitcoin's market cap accounts for 58.95%. The downtrend indicates BTC is weaker than mainstream altcoins.
3. Liquidation Heatmap
From the liquidation heatmap of the past week, long liquidity is concentrated at 83K, while short liquidity is concentrated at 94K.
4. Fear and Greed Index
Fear and Greed Index 12, Extreme Fear, yesterday was 10, refreshing the lowest value in years.
II. Quick Insights from Top Traders
1. Top trader Dove Eugene Ng Ah Sio
Beijing time November 22, 11:16 update:
“Reaching into the cookie jar too early resulted in being caught red-handed. The current market is truly at the highest difficulty level.
First lick the wounds and then continue to observe.
（The dove admits he jumped in too early and bought at halfway up, but he did not clearly say whether he would cut losses.)
2. Top trader Joshua
Beijing time November 24, 12:24 update:
“It has reached 88K.
Because it is a week of Thanksgiving holiday, the market is expected to be quiet and liquidity thin, so I will first take profits and observe, while focusing on research.
（Joshua accurately bottomed out last Friday, and the chart provided at that time was drawn to 88K; today he successfully exited at the high point.)
3. Trader RunnerXBT
Beijing time November 24, 17:35 update:
“Good morning everyone, I hope you all had a wonderful green weekend.
I have some bad news, unfortunate news.
The habitual offender has just returned to the order book, frantically selling BTC as if there is no tomorrow.
May God bless us all this week. Love you all.
“Americans leaving over the weekend → market rises
CME opening (Americans returning) → the market starts selling off again.
（RunnerXBT believes that currently mainly Americans are selling off.)
4. Top trader DonAlt
Beijing time November 24, 3:46 update:
DonAlt's genius season has arrived:
（DonAlt believes that the resistance for BTC's recent rebound is at 90-91K.)
Three, quick views on paid signal bloggers
1. Vivian
Beijing time November 24, 7:32 update:
$BTC has held the weekly support as expected. We have 30 minutes until the weekly close. Closing above 85.7k for the week would be positive for the recent structure.
Since we have opened some swing long positions, Zone A is where we average our positions: 81–83.3k. Zone B is the exit point for all long positions (including spot). B may peak at 97k, but a 3T pullback is the signal for exiting long positions.
The decline from B to C is too large; even spot cannot be safely held.
So B is the next major spot and stock reduction point. If you don't mind the deep pullback from B to C, and want to hold on to D,
Remember: altcoins will be slaughtered at this stage because market sentiment is already very weak.
So, essentially, as long as the 100-week EMA and weekly support hold, this is the starting position for accumulation.
If BTC closes above 103k by the end of this month (next Sunday), this chart will be invalid. Although unlikely, that would be the only invalidation point.
If the total market cap closes above 3T, this chart will also be invalid. Otherwise, until we see 75–77k, shorting on rebounds remains the primary strategy. Focus on intraday/short-term trading until BTC drops to the 75–77k range.
Beijing time November 24, 18:36 update:
Good morning!
Let’s close shorts in Zone A instead of Zone B. We will not trade B. The window for B is only about 24–36 hours.
We will only re-enter long positions in Zone C when the first 4H structural reversal occurs after this decline.
Current short positions are still running. We will soon close shorts around Zone A (about 83,000).
Short-term price action under the same path:
Here will continue to oscillate until we have a 4H close below the red zone.
There is still an unfilled order block at 87.5–88k. I wouldn’t be surprised if it gets filled when the New York market opens.
86.6k is also a key area.
Current sentiment is bearish, just needs a wider stop loss. Since the high cycle is bullish, because the 100 EMA is holding.
So this trade is actually a counter-trend trade.
（Vivian believes that after the U.S. stock market opens tonight, BTC will rebound to around 88K but will decline again for a second bottom.)
2. Wave theory Liu Yudong
BTC November 24, 2025
The rebound predicted on the 21st has arrived.
Pay attention to 85449; if it breaks, then it cannot form an impulse wave, only a small level rebound. Only if it does not break 85449 and pushes past 89114 can the level of the rebound be expanded, meaning it will rise again after a pullback; currently, it cannot be optimistic.
But the decline starting at 126000 should end before January 4, 2026.
Mantou (ZEC) November 24, 2025
The possibility of the adjustment starting at 750 becoming a joint shape has increased.
If the joint shape's y-wave is not a triangle, it needs to break below w-wave bottom 424.
If the joint shape's y-wave is a triangle, it can contract horizontally without breaking below w-wave bottom 424.
For triangles, the pressure line is 659.1, support line is 524.
After the adjustment starting at 750 finds its end, the next wave of increase targets 1158.
This adjustment is expected to end before December 26.
（Liu Yudong believes that BTC is still in a small level rebound, and the large level correction will end before January 4. This parallels what Joshua said about liquidity returning in January. ZEC's adjustment will end before December 26.)
3. Arena team Titan
Beijing time November 24, 16:59 update:
BTC short and long trading plan:
Members, here is the updated BTC short trading plan:
Short entry:
I will start entering from the current price; you can also place orders in the range of 87,300 – 88,000 USD; this is a more precise entry area.
However, adding positions in batches (DCA) is always the best strategy.
Tight stop loss: 89,100 USD
Market Structure:
If BTC experiences a strong rejection at the upper trend line, the price will likely form a new lower low (LL), and may even drop below the 80,000 USD area.
Long plan:
In the range of 75,000 – 72,000 USD, I will be ready to go long, as this is a strong demand zone.
Please maintain discipline, do good risk management, focus on precision rather than emotion — do not chase up, only buy on dips.
（Titan shorted BTC at 87K and plans to go long below 75K.)
4. WWG team Impluse
Beijing time November 24, 20:10 update:
BTC
I think we may first slightly drop to the 84k–85k range to fill the CME gap, and then conduct a bearish retest in the 92k area.
Besides this, I will be very cautious with positions.
If the price is accepted below 84k, we may likely continue to short, heading towards a continued decline to 75k.
（Impluse believes that after BTC retraces to 84K, it will rebound to 92K; if it does not rebound, it will directly drop to 75K.)
5. WWG team Eliz
Beijing time November 24, 18:33 update:
Good morning, everyone
You all know what to do today: today is Monday, so focus on the Monday range.
Last Friday's level performed well, but now the price needs to consolidate to determine the true direction.
The Monday range is the price range formed during Monday morning: today there is no need to speculate, first observe how the price reacts in this range, and then act accordingly.
The red box (around 84200) is now key.
As for the TMF low, the box on H4 cannot be broken. That is the area supporting the entire rebound structure; as long as the price stays above it, the structure remains valid.
（Eliz believes that as long as BTC does not drop below 84K, it can maintain an upward structure.)
6. Commander
Beijing time November 23, 21:43 update:
Place shorts in the upper channel range of 88000-89000.
（The Commander also believes 88K can be shorted.)
7. Elite Options Pro (U.S. stocks)
Beijing time November 24, 21:51 update:
Good morning, everyone!
Futures opened high this morning.
SPX: observe whether it can close above 6640, and push above 6700+ before the end of this week, forming a higher low above 6600 would be best.
QQQ: Pre-market up 5.4%, expected to test 600 this week, best to hold above 589.
META: Pre-market up over 6%, back above 600.
CRWD: testing 500 today
AAPL: break through 274 to test 277
NVDA: performs better above 184, waiting for confirmation
HOOD: can start forming a bottom above 100
AMZN: up 3, TSLA: up 7, observe whether it can return to 400
PLTR: can start building a bottom above 147
MSFT: not yet started
MSTR, COIN: open slightly higher with BTC/ETH, but need to observe whether BTC can break through 88k tomorrow, whether ETH can stabilize above 2880, and maintain the gap
GS: if the market strengthens this week, may push to 800
SPX assessment
• Bullish above 6640 (buy call options)
• 6600–6640 oscillation zone (cautious)
• Bearish below 6600 (buy put options)
Observe whether the market can hold the gap today.
SPX: as long as it holds above 6600 bullish, breaking 6640 can test 6700
QQQ: bearish below 589, bullish above 600, expected to test 624 again
TSLA 410C: best above 400
QQQ November 26 600C: can operate above 597
SPX currently about 2.2 times fair value, not as high as last Friday.
（Elite is an excellent U.S. stock signal blogger.)
8. Abao on Wall Street (U.S. stocks)
Beijing time November 24, 11:27 update:
Abao saw through the river of time last Monday and judged the closing point for Friday. I saw many people buying Nvidia calls online crying, complaining about losses and market manipulation. They do not know that the real reason Nvidia has been suppressed below 180 is themselves, having bought massive amounts of Nvidia calls. In the invisible hand of the market, there is a will, in line with market makers’ principles of killing options, making these people suffer the consequences. The way of heaven is to provide for the insufficient while taking from the excessive. The path is simple, without desires, there is strength, and without action, there is nothing one cannot achieve. Looking at U.S. stock bloggers, Abao should be the best. Looking at global retail investors, fund managers, and investors, Abao is also one of the most powerful people in the world. The guiding price for meta in the market is 837.
（Abao believes options are an important factor affecting stock prices; he successfully predicted Nvidia's decline last Monday, so he boasted a bit.)
Four, Summary
As you can see, most bloggers believe that $BTC resistance is at 88-89K, and further up is 93-94K, support is at 83-84K. Currently, the rebound in BTC is not very optimistic; the very patient big players are waiting for a drop below 75K to buy the dip.
Today, Liu Yudong proposed that the decline starting from 126K will end before January 4, which aligns with Joshua's view; Joshua analyzes that liquidity will truly return in early January from a macro liquidity perspective, while Liu Yudong arrives at this conclusion from the perspective of wave theory.
Today we are adjusting the article structure again, increasing content from paid signal bloggers, while also adding content from U.S. stock bloggers, because the performance of cryptocurrencies today is really poor, and there won't be much change in the next month. We spent a lot of money in the market buying memberships from many paid bloggers and evaluating them, selecting reliable content to join our aggregation platform. With the help of stock tokenization, many cryptocurrency exchanges can now trade U.S. stocks directly, even leveraging contracts, so U.S. stocks will be a key focus for us in the future.
Feedback and suggestions are also welcome.
Statement:
The above information is for reference only, not trading advice; the cryptocurrency market is high-risk, participation requires caution.
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