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Why Bitcoin Is Underperforming Equities Despite Bullish Catalysts Gains in AI-fueled stocks and heavy crypto leverage have widened the gap between $BTC and equities. $BTC has dropped more than 20% over the past month, while altcoins have plunged even further, signaling a shift into a crypto bear market. U.S. equities are holding up thanks to investor enthusiasm around artificial intelligence. Leverage-driven liquidations and a lack of blockchain-AI convergence have weakened sentiment, and long-term investors took the opportunity above $100,000 to lock in profits. Technically, we’ve entered a bear market,” Fritz said in an interview with CoinDesk. Bitcoin has fallen more than 30% from its highs, breaching the 50-week moving average — a level that historically signals broader shifts in market momentum. $BTC has fallen 22% over the past month, a sharp drop compared to traditional markets. Over the same period, the S&P 500 has slipped just 2.5%, while the Nasdaq — an index that bitcoin has historically moved in step with — is down 4%.
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#REMINDER 🇺🇸 US PPI and Core PPI will be released today at 8:30am et. PPI expectations: 2.7% Core PPI expectations: 2.7% This is the first PPI print since 10th September.
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On Monday, a block trader placed a sizable bet on bitcoin's $BTC $86,819.60 ongoing price rebound extending into year-end, anticipating a renewed move above $100,000 mark but stopping short of fresh record highs. Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency by market value, has rebounded to around $88,000 from last week’s lows near $80,000. While the bounce is characterized by renewed expectations of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in December, the spot ETFs are yet to see renewed institutional buying. On Monday, the 11 spot-listed ETFs registered a net outflow of $151 million, according to data source SoSoValue. Yet a trader opened a huge "call condor" option strategy on Monday, worth 20K BTC in notional ($1.76 billion), betting on a continued rally to levels above $100,000 by the year-end.
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The $1.7B Bitcoin Bet on Rally Above $100K, But Not Reaching New Record Highs The strategy bets on a measured rally into the year-end, rather than a record-breaking surge. ChatGPT Here’s a clean, polished news-style version based on your description: A major block trader has placed a sizable wager on $BTC climbing above $100,000 by the end of the year, deploying a sophisticated options strategy to express the view. Despite the eye-catching strike level, the structure of the trade suggests the investor is positioning for a moderate, orderly rise in $BTC rather than an explosive rally to new all-time highs. The combination of options purchased and sold indicates the trader is targeting a controlled upside move, capturing gains if Bitcoin grinds higher while limiting exposure should the rally fall short of extreme levels. Market participants say such strategies have become increasingly common as institutional traders look to express directional views while managing volatility and premium costs.
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Bitcoin Longs on Bitfinex Jump 40% in Three Months as Traders Double Down on Dip Rising margin bitcoin longs show confidence despite #BTC ongoing correction. Margin longs on Bitfinex are up 42% in three months while BTC is down 26%, indicating persistent accumulation despite significant market weakness. The position has reached the 70,000 BTC level three times since 2024 and each previous occurrence aligned with a major market bottom,adding weight to this latest build up$BTC $86,993.04 They has logged six down weeks out of the past seven, falling roughly 35% from $126,500 in October to around $81,000 before slightly recovering to above $85,000. Throughout this correction, traders on Bitfinex continued to accumulate, lifting the amount of bitcoin bought with borrowed funds to 70,714 BTC. This is up from 50,000 BTC at the start of AuAccording to TradingView data, margin longs have climbed 42% over the past three months while bitcoin has fallen 26%, highlighting continued confidence even as bitcoin is on track for its weakest monthly performance since June 2022. This marks the third time since September 2024 that the Bitfinex whale has expanded their margin long position to around 70,000 BTC Bitfinex Margin Longs Hit 70,000 BTC for the Third Time —A Signal of Another Market Bottom? Bitcoin has had a brutal seven weeks, logging six down weeks out of the last seven and dropping roughly 35% from its $126,500 October high to around $81,000 before recovering slightly above $85,000. But despite the selloff, one group has been quietly — and aggressively — accumulating: Bitfinex margin longs. 42% over the past three months, rising from ~50,000 BTC in early August to 70,714 today. This build-up has been happening even as $BTC fell 26% over the same period, signaling persistent confidence amid the market weakness. August 2024 (Yen carry trade unwind): BTC dipped toward $49,000 → then rallied to $100,000 after Trump’s November election win. April 2025 (Tariff tantrum): $BTC dropped near $76,000 → then surged to ~$120,000 in June as the whale.
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