币圈大太子
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Without 'faith', even holding long-term, the rise won't be yours! The prince explained it clearly today in three points!
1: Retail investors can hold for a long time, not because of faith, but because the rise isn't enough. What is the real pain point? Long-term sideways movement + slight downward trend + negative news + KOLs leading the narrative + starting to doubt life. When these four things overlap, retail investor sentiment will show a classic curve: the longer they hold, the more they dislike it, and the last little bit of decline just drives people away. This is why the wealth effect of altcoins that everyone criticizes is filled with resentment; it's not resentment, it's called love-hate. Volatility is vitality! It's also the biggest advantage in the crypto space.
Why do the main players like to wash the last batch before the final push? Because what do they fear the most? Retail investors fully following the trend. So before the main players enter, they must complete three things: 1. Wash out the early long-term retail investors (this group has the most stable chips and is the hardest to wash) 2. Clear all the long positions in contracts (if leverage isn't cleared, the market won't rise) 3. Suppress market sentiment to a position where 'no one dares to go all in'. When these three things are completed, the main upward wave will truly open. Is it coincidence? No, it's a process.
2: Why do retail investors who have held for a long time still sell before breaking the previous high on the daily chart? It's not that their confidence has strengthened after holding for a long time, but rather their expectations have been repeatedly hit, finally turning into 'I just want to break even'. When losing 20% turns to losing 3%, retail investors will think: 'Hey, I'm not losing anymore, I'll take it step by step.' And then they leave. The next day, a sudden bullish candlestick appears. This is dying just before dawn. Retail investors always sell before takeoff because 'emotional time' is much shorter than 'market time'.
Market rhythm: building positions, sideways movement, accumulating. Then sideways movement, shaking positions, main upward wave.
Retail investor rhythm: buying in, sideways doubt, then sideways frustration, then a slight drop causes fear, and then they run away to break even.
So after the market completes a cycle, retail investor sentiment has gone through three seasons. Which is faster? Retail investor sentiment. Which is slower? Main player rhythm. Retail investors can't wait for the main players, but main players can wait for retail investors.
Why does the prince never drop the ball? Because the prince focuses on 'behavioral logic', not 'short-term fluctuations'. The prince observes blockchain data, capital, ETFs, options, and main player position structures daily, focusing on: who is accumulating, who is supplying, who is being washed, who is leveraging, and who is emotional.
1: Retail investors can hold for a long time, not because of faith, but because the rise isn't enough. What is the real pain point? Long-term sideways movement + slight downward trend + negative news + KOLs leading the narrative + starting to doubt life. When these four things overlap, retail investor sentiment will show a classic curve: the longer they hold, the more they dislike it, and the last little bit of decline just drives people away. This is why the wealth effect of altcoins that everyone criticizes is filled with resentment; it's not resentment, it's called love-hate. Volatility is vitality! It's also the biggest advantage in the crypto space.
Why do the main players like to wash the last batch before the final push? Because what do they fear the most? Retail investors fully following the trend. So before the main players enter, they must complete three things: 1. Wash out the early long-term retail investors (this group has the most stable chips and is the hardest to wash) 2. Clear all the long positions in contracts (if leverage isn't cleared, the market won't rise) 3. Suppress market sentiment to a position where 'no one dares to go all in'. When these three things are completed, the main upward wave will truly open. Is it coincidence? No, it's a process.
2: Why do retail investors who have held for a long time still sell before breaking the previous high on the daily chart? It's not that their confidence has strengthened after holding for a long time, but rather their expectations have been repeatedly hit, finally turning into 'I just want to break even'. When losing 20% turns to losing 3%, retail investors will think: 'Hey, I'm not losing anymore, I'll take it step by step.' And then they leave. The next day, a sudden bullish candlestick appears. This is dying just before dawn. Retail investors always sell before takeoff because 'emotional time' is much shorter than 'market time'.
Market rhythm: building positions, sideways movement, accumulating. Then sideways movement, shaking positions, main upward wave.
Retail investor rhythm: buying in, sideways doubt, then sideways frustration, then a slight drop causes fear, and then they run away to break even.
So after the market completes a cycle, retail investor sentiment has gone through three seasons. Which is faster? Retail investor sentiment. Which is slower? Main player rhythm. Retail investors can't wait for the main players, but main players can wait for retail investors.
Why does the prince never drop the ball? Because the prince focuses on 'behavioral logic', not 'short-term fluctuations'. The prince observes blockchain data, capital, ETFs, options, and main player position structures daily, focusing on: who is accumulating, who is supplying, who is being washed, who is leveraging, and who is emotional.
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