We are 26 months past the 2024 halving. Look at where we were 26 months after the 2020 halving — deep in the bear market, Extreme Fear readings, everyone declaring crypto dead.
History does not repeat, but the post-halving clock has been remarkably consistent:
📌 Halving → 12-18 months: price discovery and ATH runs
📌 Month 18-24: distribution, drawdowns, narrative collapse
📌 Month 24-30: max fear, capitulation, the "this time it really is over" phase
📌 Month 30-36: the part most retail investors miss because they already left
$BTC at $60K feels painful. But the cycle clock says we are not at the end — we are at the exact phase where the real accumulation happens before most people realize it.
$ETH below $1,800 while Pectra is live and Wall Street is filing tokenized fund products. $BNB burning supply every quarter through the noise.
The Fear & Greed Index being at Extreme Fear right now is not a warning to exit. Historically, it has been the closest thing to a loading screen for the next leg.
Cycles punish impatience in both directions.
#BTC #CryptoMarket #PostHalving #Bitcoin #Altcoins