Clicking opens a message from fan Xiao Yang, the screen is almost overflowing with exclamation marks: “Brother! My coin dropped 35%, it must be a wash sale, right? I just transferred all my year-end bonus in to average down!” I rubbed my red eyes and opened the K-line, my heart instantly chilled. This is not a wash sale! This is the main force smashing the goods clean, and conveniently putting Xiao Yang into a “customized” deep set meal!
Just like a certain eco-coin that was hot recently (not naming names to avoid being accused of bearishness), it soared from 2.2U to 5.1U, about to break a new high but suddenly pulled back. The community comment section was filled with cries of “Bottom fish! This wave must rebound”, with some brothers' efforts to average down more frantic than grabbing concert tickets, buying more as it falls, as if it were not a digital asset, but free milk tea discount coupons. And the result? The coin price smashed directly from 5U to 1.7U, without a decent rebound, and the brothers who got stuck complained in the group: “Now cutting losses feels like losing half a year's rent, but not cutting, watching the K-line makes my heart ache.”
In fact, the traces of the main force unloading have already been clearly written in the K-line, just afraid you'll look blindly with 'bottom-fishing filters'. When the coin was hovering around 5U, the trading volume directly tripled, but the coin price was stuck at 5U and couldn't go up — this is called 'volume stagnation', which means the main force is secretly dumping goods, more people are buying but more people are selling, and all the sellers are big orders. Then came a cliff-like crash, dropping from 5U to 3U without any buffer; is this a wash? This is the main force's 'clearance sale', eager for you to take over. After the crash, they even pretended to pull it back a bit, making it look like it was about to rebound, but the volume shrank to the size of a needle tip — it's like a shopkeeper saying 'last item half price', and when you buy it, you find out it's defective; you've been fooled!
So what does a real wash look like? Let me be honest with you: a wash is 'low volume when falling, high volume when rising', and the key support levels are like they are welded in place. For example, the previous lows and important moving averages, the main force simply won't break them. The storage coin I was watching last year was exactly like this; the volume shrank by half when it fell, and it didn't budge at the critical level, then suddenly the volume surged and it shot up — this is the main force washing out floating chips, scaring away the indecisive retail investors while secretly accumulating.
I also fell into this big pit early on, worse than Xiao Yang. At that time, a certain coin fell by 25%, and I slapped my thigh saying, 'Isn't this a wash?' I directly threw in all my half-year earnings and even foolishly leveraged (now I want to slap myself when I think back). As a result, the next day it opened lower and directly crashed to half the cost price; on the day I lost all my savings overnight, I stared at the K-line as it changed from green to purple and then to black, feeling like a fool being played in circles by the main force. Later, I realized that what I thought was bottom-fishing was actually the 'grave' that the main force dug for me.
Later, I summarized three iron rules, remember them so you don't waste money: First, watch the volume! A wash is 'low volume when falling, high volume when rising', and unloading is 'high volume when falling, low volume during rebounds' — in a wash, the main force hasn't run away; they only use transaction volume to pull it up during a rise; in unloading, the main force sells like crazy, and the volume must be large when it falls. Second, watch the key levels! No matter how intense the wash is, it won't break the support levels; if the previous lows are broken, don't fantasize about it being a wash; that's the main force running away. Third, don't believe in 'bottom-fishing opportunities'! The more the community shouts to bottom-fish, the more careful you need to be; the main force loves to use your 'picking up bargains' psychology to dump goods.
Those who blindly rush in without understanding the K-line language can only pay tuition repeatedly. I've fallen into enough pits, and now I hold the 'lamp' to discern market trends. If you want to avoid being harvested and stand on the right side, following me is definitely the right choice. Next time, I'll post the 'wash vs unloading' comparison chart I drew, teaching you to identify the real from the fake at a glance, and I will analyze the market trends in real-time in the group. Don't wait until you're stuck before looking for me; follow me, and let's step less into pits and earn real profits together!
#加密市场反弹 $ETH
