Today there was big news: a large whale investor urgently replenished 1.5 million USDC to save the situation after ZEC's price fell below 370 USD, with unrealized losses already exceeding 4.28 million, and total losses reaching 6.6 million USD. What does this indicate? The market pressure is immense, and large funds are struggling. So what should we small retail investors do? Don't panic, I'll break it down for you layer by layer!
News: Whale replenishment ≠ bottoming out, but rather a dangerous signal
The whale's replenishment looks like it's stabilizing the market, but it actually reveals a key piece of information: its position is already extremely dangerous and could be liquidated at any time. This indicates that the current price of ZEC is still artificially high, and there is significant selling pressure in the market. Large investors can't hold on, and small retail investors should definitely avoid rushing in to 'catch the bottom'; the real bottom often appears only after these large players have completely cleared out.
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Technical aspect: key levels have been broken, where is the next support?
ZEC is currently priced around $364, with key resistance at 548.84 and support at 422.78 already broken. From the chart, although the MACD shows a golden cross emerging, it is still below the zero axis, indicating a weak rebound; both RSI and MFI are in the oversold zone, suggesting that the downward trend hasn't fully released.
Maple Leaf's forecast: this wave is likely to probe downwards further, with the next important support around $330. Only if it drops to that point could it attract enough buying orders to create real rebound momentum.
Personal opinion: the opportunity lies when it hits the right level, don't be fooled by a 'false rebound'.
Many people get excited at the sight of a rebound, but Maple Leaf believes that ZEC is currently just a 'dead cat bounce' — rebounds without accompanying volume are just tricks. The real opportunity will wait until the price hits around $330, showing a volume spike and stop-loss signal to be considered safe.
Remember: the market will only reverse when it reaches a point that most people cannot bear. It's not desperate yet, don't rush!
How should one position their holdings? Welcome to join Feng Ge's 'Hao Village'. Feng Ge will help you arrange your positions and plan for flipping based on your situation!
What should retail investors do?
Don't blindly catch the bottom, especially don't chase high rebounds;
Keep an eye on around $330. If volume stabilizes, you can gradually position yourself;
Control your positions, never go all in at once; leaving enough bullets will allow you to seize real opportunities.
Market trends are born in despair, but despair hasn't truly arrived yet. ZEC's storm, analyst Feng has gone crazy will continue to monitor the market. Once a turning point signal appears, I will remind you in the village at the first moment. If you want to keep pace and avoid pitfalls to seize opportunities, welcome to follow Feng Ge. In the village, I will help you formulate a stable plan for large and small positions based on your holdings! #zec #加密市场回调
