$BTC $ETH $ZEC
💣💣💣Crash alert!
76% chance of triggering a 14 trillion “bomb”
🔥🔥🔥🔥Have you bottomed out on BTC?
BTC has directly dropped below 86000, and many thought it was just a regular adjustment? Don't be naive! I'm getting chills watching the data——the market bets on the Japanese central bank's interest rate hike probability soaring to 76% in December, and even surging to 90% in January. This is no small matter; it’s the fuse to ignite a global 14 trillion yen carry trade! For decades, zero-cost yen has been borrowed, flooding into the U.S. stock and crypto markets. Once interest rates rise, massive funds will flow back instantly to close positions, and BTC will definitely be the first to suffer. Look at the devastation: BTC has plummeted over 20% this month, ETFs have crazily flowed out $3.5 billion, and $400 million in long positions evaporated overnight; the market is as fragile as paper!
What’s even scarier is that the Federal Reserve is still silent! Powell is avoiding discussing policies in his speech tonight; the silence often indicates the calm before the storm. If Japan tightens and the U.S. doesn’t ease, BTC will face a “double whammy.” Don’t forget, BNB has also dropped to heartbreaking levels; the new officials are in place, but the retail investors are almost gone. On-chain projects have fallen below their bottom prices, and even the vulgar penguins have become “fallen penguins”! But the most anxious aren’t the retail investors; it’s the exchanges——rescue actions may already be in the works.
Where is the turning point? Wall Street “oracle” Tom Lee has already taken action! He is shouting that the “super cycle” of Ethereum is coming, with a long-term target of $8000-$12000. His institution has hoarded over 3.72 million ETH with real money. This gamble coincides perfectly with Ethereum’s Fusaka upgrade on December 3rd, and this upgrade promises to be significant: The PeerDAS technology allows nodes to randomly sample data to ensure safety, essentially turning on the throughput faucet, targeting 100,000 transactions per second! Even more secretive is EIP-7951, which allows Ethereum to natively support mobile security chip signatures. In the future, transactions can be signed using fingerprints or facial recognition, drastically lowering the threshold.
The market is in a fierce showdown: on one side, the October liquidation and macro headwinds cause volatility, with Ethereum once dropping 7.6% in a single day; on the other side, funds are quietly bottoming out——in the third quarter, Ethereum ETF inflows for the first time surpassed Bitcoin ETFs! Short-term sentiment and long-term capital are in intense struggle, and historical experience shows that BTC has reached new highs three months after the impact of Japan's interest rate hikes. Keep a close eye on the December meetings of the Japanese and American central banks.
So, will you choose to panic and cut losses, or calmly position yourself?
