BTC was still swinging within the range yesterday, no breakout. The box has been running for 9 days now, two days longer than the last consolidation, but the essence hasn’t changed — upper resistance hasn’t been digested, and lower support hasn’t broken. Volume has clearly shrunk, and the market is waiting for Wednesday's CPI to give direction.
Short-term logic is pretty simple:
CPI lower than expected → BTC spikes to previous highs
CPI flat or slightly high → keep grinding, might even test the bottom of the range again
My strategy remains unchanged: no betting on data. Position size kept under half, will add on confirmed breakouts, and won't cut if it retests without breaking. In this kind of market, the biggest fear isn't losing money, but getting stopped out repeatedly — the friction costs in low-volume chop hurt more than being wrong on direction.
If there’s no major action tonight, I'll drop another preview before tomorrow's CPI.