ONE OF THE MOST IMPORTANT EVENTS OF THE YEAR FOR FINANCIAL MARKETS IS APPROACHING

The interest rate decision on 10/12 does not come alone: it is loaded with previous data and signals that could reconfigure the course of #Bitcoin and #cryptocurrencies

WHAT SHOULD WE LOOK AT BEFORE THE FED'S DECISION?

WHAT SHOULD WE PAY ATTENTION TO DURING THE DECISION?

Today, the data on new jobs outside the agricultural sector showed a weak labor market. As a result, $BTC rose and surpassed $93,000

▫️This increase is due to the rising probability of monetary easing by the FED (the chances of a rate cut rose to 88.8%).

December 5

▫️The PCE inflation will be published... It could have a GREATER impact on Bitcoin.

▫️If it decreases, the FED will have more room to project cuts in 2026.

▫️Financial markets expect it to remain at 0.2%; if so or lower, it would be positive for risk assets.

AND WHAT CAN HAPPEN ON 10/12 WITH THE FED?

🔸On that day, before the interest rate decision, the CPI will be released.

🔸Expectations are still unknown, but it is KEY that it comes in lower than expected, for the FED to project several cuts.

🔸For now, financial markets only expect the cut in December, the next one not until April and then the last one in July.

🔸It would be POSITIVE for the FED to project a greater number of cuts.

🔸But since key data (employment report and GDP) have been suspended, the FED could appear conservative and project fewer cuts.

🔸This could generate negative volatility in the short term.

🔸If Powell mentions the possibility of resuming QE (asset purchases to provide liquidity), the market will likely react positively.

🔸This entire combo of data will impact DIRECTLY or INDIRECTLY on the liquidity of the system...

🔸The whole world will be paying attention...