【Tonight's data is about to be released, and the probability of a rate cut has reached 94%! Where are the opportunities in the crypto market?】
Tonight at 20:30, U.S. employment data will be released on a large scale, with the market focusing on whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates. In particular, initial jobless claims directly reflect the state of the labor market and are a key indicator for the market's judgment of economic health.
📊 Important data tonight:
1️⃣ November Challenger job cuts
2️⃣ Initial jobless claims for the week of November 29 (expected 220,000)
3️⃣ November global supply chain pressure index
4️⃣ September factory orders month-on-month
The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points in December, a forecast that has been accepted by most investors. A rate cut could drive funds into risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Therefore, even if tonight's employment data shows some fluctuations, it is unlikely to change the overall expectation of a rate cut.
📉 Risk points:
If the data deviates significantly, such as if initial jobless claims are much higher than expected, this could raise concerns about an economic recession, which would affect market sentiment, especially in the cryptocurrency market. If data such as the global supply chain pressure index and factory orders show weakness, market confidence may be impacted.
🔑 Conclusion:
Tonight's employment data may increase market volatility, but the expectation of a rate cut remains a positive factor for the crypto market. If the data is better than expected, it could further boost the crypto market; if the data is worse than expected, the risk of volatility increases, and investors need to manage risk effectively.
🚀 If you want to follow Si Si to seize this market opportunity, don't miss the signal to enter the next round of market surge! Follow me, and let's lay out the strategy together!
