#比特币VS代币化黄金 #ETH走势分析
ETHUSDT 4h market trend analysis
Current price: 3133.35 USDT
24-hour change: -1.412%
Main support level: 3052.97 USDT
Main resistance level: 3227.43 USDT
Current trend: oscillating slightly bullish
Detailed explanation:
From a comprehensive analysis of technical indicators, the current market shows a state of tug-of-war between bulls and bears, but the overall structure leans towards an oscillating upward pattern. The moving average system shows that MA5 (3155.12) and MA10 (3157.19) are almost overlapping and are positioned above MA20 (3048.69), forming a short-term oscillation but a medium-term bullish arrangement. The price is currently running above MA20, indicating that the medium-term trend still maintains an upward direction.
The MACD indicator shows that DIF (59.53) is higher than DEA (53.39), with the histogram being a positive value of 6.14, indicating a golden cross state, although momentum has weakened. The BOLL indicator shows that the price is running above the middle band (3048.69), close to the upper band (3322.40), with a %B value of 0.66%, indicating that the price is in the upper-middle area of the Bollinger Bands, leaving room for further upward movement.
The RSI values across different periods are between 53-60, in a neutral to strong region, without signs of overbought or oversold conditions. In the KDJ indicator, the K value (55.53) and D value (68.21) form a death cross, and the J value (30.19) is low, indicating short-term adjustment pressure.
The funding rate of 0.003092% is at a normal level, with no extreme bullish or bearish sentiment. Volume analysis shows recent signs of increased trading volume, especially during the price rebound from the 2800 area to 3200, accompanied by significantly increased transaction volume, indicating capital involvement.
Capital flow data shows that the 4H contract has a net inflow of 127 million USD, with a 24H net inflow of 165 million USD, but spot funds continue to show a net outflow; this divergence indicates that the contract market sentiment is bullish, but the spot market faces profit-taking pressure. Short-term capital flow shows inflows at the 30m and 1H levels, supporting a short-term rebound.
Analysis results
Direction: cautiously bullish
Entry timing: it is recommended to build positions in batches in the support area of 3050-3080, or chase after breaking through 3180
Stop-loss setting: below 3020 (3% stop-loss margin)
Target price: first target 3227, second target 3320 (expected return rate 5-8%)
Note: This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice!
