ETHUSDT 4h Market Trend Analysis

Current Price: 3067.79 USDT

24-Hour Change: +0.764%

Major Support Level: 2968.27 USDT (Bollinger Lower Band)

Major Resistance Level: 3168.41 USDT (Bollinger Upper Band)

Current Trend: Fluctuating Slightly Bullish

Detailed Explanation:

Technical Indicators Summary:

Moving Average System: Short-term moving average MA5(3060.94) and MA10(3049.88) form a golden cross and cross above MA20(3068.34), but the price remains below MA20, indicating a slightly bullish arrangement

MACD: DIF(1.50) is below DEA(4.14), the histogram is negative (-2.64), indicating weak short-term momentum but clear signs of convergence

BOLL: Price is running near the middle band (3068.34), %B value is 0.41%, located in the middle-lower part of the Bollinger Bands, with a bandwidth narrowing to 0.07% indicating a contraction in volatility

RSI: RSI14(49.05) is in the neutral range, with no obvious overbought or oversold signals

KDJ: K value(63.20) > D value(58.02), J value(73.56) shows a slight bullish trend in the short term but has not entered the overbought area

Capital Flow Analysis:

4-hour contract fund net outflow of 5.23 billion USD, but the 6-8 hour cycle shows a net inflow of 1.36 billion USD, indicating that short-term funds are returning. The spot market continues to see net outflows, but the outflow rate is slowing down, indicating that the contract market sentiment is recovering first.

Volume-Price Structure:

The latest K-line shows that the price rebounded strongly from the low point of 2903.75 to 3150 and then fell back, with trading volume significantly increasing (1.32 million hands), forming a reversal pattern with a long lower shadow. The key position of the 3000-3050 range has been tested multiple times and held, forming an important support area.

Analysis Result

Direction: Cautiously Bullish

Entry Timing: Near current price of 3067, light positions can be tried for long, or build positions in batches in the 3050-3070 range

Stop-Loss Setting: 2960 (3.5% stop-loss margin), based on the overlap of the Bollinger lower band and key support

Target Price: First target 3165 (R1 resistance), second target 3280 (R2 resistance), corresponding to 3-7% profit range

Risk Warning: If the 2960 support is broken, an immediate stop-loss is required, and attention should be paid to the breakthrough situation in the 3160-3180 range above. In the current fluctuating market, it is recommended to adopt a batch position building strategy, controlling positions at 5-10%.

Note: This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice! Trading in digital currencies carries a high risk, please make careful decisions. #比特币VS代币化黄金 #ETH走势分析