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#日本央行加息 落地概率极高,此前依托低价日元涌入比特币的资金将逐步撤离,加密货币短期抛压加剧,风险凸显。当前经济危机苗头已现,操作需以稳健避险为核心,果断远离科技及AI板块,优先持有现金、短期国债,同时布局日用品与快消股——这类标的兼具强刚需属性,日常消费不可或缺,且多被外资深度布局,具备穿越周期的韧性,货币宽松期可通过提价增厚收益,收紧期能稳价保现金流,抗风险能力拉满。
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难得的大毛,可惜没分
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#Alpha 空投 昨天大毛飞了,希望12月份后面半个月来点百U的大毛吧,预计今天一个突袭空投,12月13日空空如也!
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币安任务
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美联储降息25基点:鸽中带鹰,市场喜忧参半 一、美联储如期降息25基点,但12月点阵图显示2026年仅预期降息1次,远低于市场期待,19名委员中7人反对本次降息,特朗普吐槽“降太少”。 二、本月启动400亿美元短期美债购买扩表(非QE),定向缓解隔夜贷款市场压力,超预期放水带动美股、币圈短线反弹。 三、鲍威尔强调当前利率处于中性区间高位,政策无预设路径;同时特朗普家族支持矿企跻身BTC储备榜前22,CFTC明确比特币可作衍生品抵押品,机构暗地布局加密市场。 四、短期反弹能否持续存疑,需警惕利好出尽风险,市场博弈“鸽中带鹰”还是“明鹰实鸽”。 五、技术形态分析;二次冲高94500区间不破,回踩关注90500关口,中期趋势重点关注3日线MACD形成,确定形成才有突破95000契机,如果漏油那可能在探86500!
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