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#日本央行加息 落地概率极高，此前依托低价日元涌入比特币的资金将逐步撤离，加密货币短期抛压加剧，风险凸显。当前经济危机苗头已现，操作需以稳健避险为核心，果断远离科技及AI板块，优先持有现金、短期国债，同时布局日用品与快消股——这类标的兼具强刚需属性，日常消费不可或缺，且多被外资深度布局，具备穿越周期的韧性，货币宽松期可通过提价增厚收益，收紧期能稳价保现金流，抗风险能力拉满。
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难得的大毛，可惜没分
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#Alpha 空投 昨天大毛飞了，希望12月份后面半个月来点百U的大毛吧，预计今天一个突袭空投，12月13日空空如也！
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币安任务
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美联储降息25基点：鸽中带鹰，市场喜忧参半 一、美联储如期降息25基点，但12月点阵图显示2026年仅预期降息1次，远低于市场期待，19名委员中7人反对本次降息，特朗普吐槽“降太少”。 二、本月启动400亿美元短期美债购买扩表（非QE），定向缓解隔夜贷款市场压力，超预期放水带动美股、币圈短线反弹。 三、鲍威尔强调当前利率处于中性区间高位，政策无预设路径；同时特朗普家族支持矿企跻身BTC储备榜前22，CFTC明确比特币可作衍生品抵押品，机构暗地布局加密市场。 四、短期反弹能否持续存疑，需警惕利好出尽风险，市场博弈“鸽中带鹰”还是“明鹰实鸽”。 五、技术形态分析；二次冲高94500区间不破，回踩关注90500关口，中期趋势重点关注3日线MACD形成，确定形成才有突破95000契机，如果漏油那可能在探86500！
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