#BTC #СреднесрочныйОбзор

We anticipated the local bounce. But what’s next? Is the correction over and are we flying to the moon? 🚀

Let’s break everything down:

📊 Technical picture On the D and W timeframes, the price is still technically in a downward trend. However, on the monthly, we tested the bullish area of interest (POI).

Scenario until the New Year: "Santa Rally" 🎅

We are expecting news on the key Fed rate (December 10). With high probability, we will see a rate cut, which will provide fuel for the market and a dose of dopamine.

👉 The white scenario looks more preferable right now. This could keep prices steady until the clock strikes midnight.

But if the rate is not cut, we will follow the yellow scenario and this entire bounce will turn into a dead cat bounce😱

⚠️ BUT: This is a trap (Bull Trap) Don’t be fooled by the green candles. The growth we will see is likely just a ramp-up before a serious plunge. The Fed rate cut is merely a temporary "anesthesia".

The fundamental reason for the future crash has already been set in motion, and it is not in the USA.

🇯🇵 Japanese wick for a global bomb While the crowd watches Powell, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may pull the trigger on December 19.