Here is the structured analysis of the data:
📊 Market Summary XNY/USDT
· Last price: 0.006239 USDT (+32.94% in 24h)
· Mark price: 0.006231 USDT
· Maximum in 24h: 0.021000 USDT
· Minimum in 24h: 0.004401 USDT
· Volume 24h (XNY): 127.53B
· Volume 24h (USDT): 868.05M
Observation:
There is high volatility, with an increase of ~33% in 24h, but the daily maximum is much higher than the current price (0.021 vs 0.0062), indicating a strong correction or a temporary peak.
📈 Technical Indicators (From the first file)
· EMA(7): 0.006453
· EMA(25): 0.006634
· EMA(99): 0.005581
· EMA(1): 0.006239
The current price is below the EMAs 7 and 25, which could indicate short-term bearish pressure, although still above the longer-term EMA(99).
· Stochastic (K/D/J):
K: 14.95, D: 21.74, J: 1.37
Low values (<20) suggest oversold in the short term
📅 Temporary Performance
· Today: +15.10%
· 7 days: +61.17%
· 30 days: +37.15%
· 90 days: -16.30%
Conclusion: Strong weekly rally, but still at a loss over 90 days.
📉 Order Book Analysis
· Current price (Perp.): 0.006231 USDT (+32.77%)
· Bid/Ask split: 44.41% buyers vs 55.59% sellers in the visible book.
Highlighted order book:
· Greater concentration of demand (Bid): At 0.006222 (2,709.36M XNY) → strong support.
· Greater concentration of supply (Ask): At 0.006250 (3,082.53M XNY) → strong resistance.
The book shows more volume in sales than in purchases at nearby levels, which can press the price down if there are no aggressive buyers.
✅ General Conclusion
1. High volatility: 33% increase in 24h, but with highs very distant from the current price.
2. Oversold in the short term: According to stochastic, possible technical rebound.
3. Order book with nearby resistance: Level 0.006250 is key to continue the rise.
4. High volume: 127.53B XNY traded, apparent good liquidity.
5. Temporal context: Strong weekly rally, but still at a loss over 3 months.
🧠 Possible scenarios
· If it exceeds 0.006250: It could look for 0.0063–0.0065.
· If it drops below 0.006222 (strong support): It could fall towards 0.0055–0.0050.
· Condition: High risk due to volatility and possible manipulation in the book.
Yes, there are signals suggesting possible manipulation in the order book shown in the second file. Here is the detailed analysis:
🚩 Signs of manipulation in the order book
1. Large isolated buy order at 0.006222
· Volume: 2,709.36M XNY (≈ 16.9M USDT)
· It is a massive buy wall compared to adjacent levels (139M, 773M, etc.).
· Possible intention: To hold the price or create the illusion of strong support to attract buyers.
2. Asymmetrical and clustered distribution
· On the ask side (sell), volumes are more distributed, peaking at 0.006250 (3,082.53M XNY).
· On the bid side (buy), there is a huge peak at 0.006222 and then another at 0.006218 (2,871.40M), but the rest is much lower.
· This suggests artificial accumulation of large orders at specific levels to influence market perception.
3. Significant imbalance between nearby bid/ask
· Total visible Bid (first 10 rows): ≈ 11,100M XNY
· Total visible Ask (first 10 rows): ≈ 13,500M XNY
· There is more selling pressure at nearby levels, but with a very prominent buy wall that could be cancelable (spoofing).
4. Possible spoofing (fake orders)
· It is common for large traders to place large orders and then cancel them before they execute.
· The wall at 0.006222 could be a ghost order to prevent the price from falling, with no real intention to buy.
📉 Possible manipulation targets
1. Avoid sharp drops after a 33% rise in 24h.
2. Build confidence in retail buyers to enter the market.
3. Prepare a large sale at higher levels (like 0.006250) where there is strong resistance.
🔍 How to confirm manipulation (with additional data needed)
· Check if those large orders persist or are frequently canceled.
· Analyze the trading history (not shown) to see if there are large sales just after hitting the buy wall.
· View the depth chart in real time to see order movements.
✅ Conclusion
The book shows typical patterns of possible manipulation, especially with:
· An anomalous buy wall at 0.006222.
· Intentional asymmetry between bid/ask.
· Context of high volatility and volume, ideal for this type of tactics.
⚠️ Recommendation: Trade cautiously, use stops, and do not blindly trust visible support/resistance levels in the book.
