Bitcoin (#BTC ) is not only the first cryptocurrency — it is a “digital gold,” a digital asset built on a transparent, decentralized, and immutable foundation. Currently, many macro and market signals are creating favorable conditions for a structural recovery, rather than just a short-term one.
Here are 4 specific factors, with clear data and logic, driving a positive outlook for $BTC in December:
1. The monetary policy of #Fed is shifting to a strongly 'dovish' stance:
- The probability of a rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has increased to 88–92% ahead of the meeting on 10/12.
- The end of quantitative tightening policy and the increase in global liquidity (M2 reached 22.3 trillion USD) is helping risk assets like BTC attract new capital.
→ This is not a single expectation — but a broad consensus among institutions like Coinbase Institutional and independent analysts.
2. The holding behavior of long-term investors is stabilizing:
- The amount #BTC sold each day by the 'long-term holders' group has decreased sharply: from 2,350 BTC/day to ~1,000 BTC/day.
- This indicates that selling pressure is being restrained, while reflecting the confidence being strengthened at the current price (~89,600 USD).
3. The market infrastructure is becoming increasingly mature:
- The development of Bitcoin funds #ETF in the U.S., acceptance from large institutions (such as Vanguard), and improvements in custody infrastructure are increasing liquidity and reliability.
4. The technical model shows a solid accumulation zone:
- The 4-hour chart shows BTC trading in a narrow range of 89,200–89,800 USD, with a gradually shrinking volatility range — characteristic of the *consolidation* phase before a breakout.
- Many technical analysts (like HornHairs, il Capo Of Crypto) set short-term targets at 96,000–105,000 USD, depending on the reaction after the Fed's decision.
In summary: December is not only the time of the 'holiday season' — but also a time of convergence between macroeconomics, market behavior, and technicals, creating a solid foundation for $BTC recovery.
The information above is for reference only and is not investment advice.
