📈 Gold Edges Higher Ahead of Key U.S. Inflation Data

Gold prices ticked up on Friday, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and firm expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next week.

At 08:15 ET (13:15 GMT):

Spot Gold: $4,226.84/oz (+0.4%)

U.S. Gold Futures (Feb): $4,257.80/oz (+0.4%)

🔶 Fed Cut Bets Lift Bullion

The U.S. Dollar Index hovered near a five-week low, with markets pricing in an 88% chance of a 25 bps rate cut at the Fed’s December 9–10 meeting. A softer dollar makes gold more affordable for global buyers, boosting demand.

Signs of cooling in the U.S. labor market also strengthened rate-cut expectations — ADP data showed a 32,000 decline in private-sector jobs, the biggest drop in 2.5 years.

🔍 Focus Turns to PCE Inflation

Investors now await the release of the PCE price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. A softer reading could reinforce expectations of further easing in 2025.

Also due today:

U.S. Personal Income

Personal Spending

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (with updates on 1-yr & 5-yr inflation expectations)

These data releases are expected to guide the Fed’s policy outlook and may drive gold’s next move.

🔧 Copper Surges to Record High

Industrial metals mostly advanced, benefiting from the weaker dollar.

Silver Futures: +1.7% → $58.46/oz

Platinum Futures: –0.7% → $1,658.55/oz

Meanwhile, Copper hit fresh records:

LME Copper: +1.6% → $11,718.93/ton (new all-time high)

U.S. Copper Futures: +1.3% → $5.4407/lb

The rally comes amid shrinking LME warehouse inventories, falling steadily since July, and strong U.S. demand amid concerns of 2026 tariffs on non-ferrous metal imports. Supply tightness continues to fuel price momentum.

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