Strong liquidity warning ⚠️
The interest rate hike in Japan this month (expected 0.50% → 0.75% on December 18-19) is the biggest threat to Bitcoin since the collapse in August 2024.
Why?
Because the "Yen Carry Trade" was the hidden pump for crypto liquidity throughout 2024-2025.
Japan was lending in yen at zero interest → money was converted to BTC and altcoins.
Now:
- The yen is strengthening rapidly (reached 144 today)
- The cost of borrowing in yen has increased by 300%
- Speculators are starting to "unwind" and sell Bitcoin to cover their positions
History repeats itself:
August 2024 → Only a 15 basis point hike → BTC -18% in two days and a billion dollars liquidated
December 2025 → Expected 25 basis point hike + stronger yen than that time
Forecasts
- 90-92K is a strong support zone but it could break
- 84-86K is the first liquidation target
- Any break of 84K opens the door to 78-80K quickly
- Those with high leverage → reduce immediately
- Those who want to buy → wait for the liquidation then enter
- Gold and USDT are your friends during this period
The market is not dead… but liquidity will temporarily shrink.
Be ready, don't be a victim of the upcoming Yen Carry Trade unwind
