✅ Regulatory dynamics

The EU plans to expand ESMA's powers.

The European Commission has proposed granting ESMA direct regulatory authority over crypto service providers and trading venues, resulting in a more centralized management structure, similar to the US SEC model.

Latest statements from the SEC Chairman.

The SEC Chairman stated that the future financial system will operate based on Bitcoin and crypto assets, viewing them as the underlying infrastructure of future finance.

✅ Institutional trends

Japan promotes Bitcoin tax reform and supports ETFs.

Japan's political circles propose to reduce Bitcoin taxes and promote the compliance process for BTC ETFs.

France's Banque Populaire (2 million customers) has launched crypto trading services.

Large traditional banks directly provide BTC/crypto trading access to retail users.

Fidelity opens BTC purchases and withdrawals to 50 million users

Further reinforces Bitcoin's penetration as a mainstream asset.

Franklin Templeton's XRP ETF holdings increased

First week holdings reached 63 million XRP, with a market value of approximately 127.8 million USD.

NVIDIA CEO says Bitcoin can enhance energy efficiency

Emphasizes that BTC helps convert excess energy into a storable 'currency form'.

Coinbase CEO: Cryptocurrency can supervise bad governments

Emphasizes the transparency and decentralization of BTC.

✅ On-chain dynamics

BTC SOPR ratio dropped to a two-year low

SOPR ratio dropped to 1.35, long-term holders' selling pressure significantly reduced, often seen at the end of phase selling pressure historically.

Pump.fun has repurchased approximately 200 million USD of PUMP tokens

Circulation decreased by 13.35%.

Jupiter Lend treasury controversy

The community questions the cross-risk of treasury assets, as re-staking leads to insufficient independence; Kamino has banned related migration tools.

✅ Large capital flow

500 million USDT flowed out from Binance to an unknown wallet

Large-scale USDT migration appears on-chain.

7 million TRX (approximately 2.03 million USD) transferred to Binance

May be liquidity adjustment behavior by institutions or large holders.

SOL ETF net inflow this week is 19.2 million USD

Has become a funding focus this week.

✅ Market structure

BTC briefly fell below 89,000 USD

Market short-term volatility intensified.

Bitcoin mining companies Q2 cost levels announced

Average cash cost: ≈ 74,600 USD

Comprehensive cost: ≈ 137,800 USD

Indicates that the miner 'pressure zone' is roughly around here.

ETH is close to the key support level of 3035.

3030–3041: Maximum trading volume concentrated chip area

Momentum indicators (KDJ, RSI) favor a short-term rebound

Medium to long-term moving averages remain weak; a rebound needs to break 3056 to effectively open up space above.