$ETH Don't just focus on interest rate cuts! Will the Fed open a "new faucet" this week?
Brothers, this week the Federal Reserve meeting, the market has already determined that there will be an interest rate cut. But the real "big bomb" may be hidden behind - will the Fed announce the restart of bond purchases, directly "injecting liquidity" into the market?
Reports say that some large institutions predict that the Fed may start purchasing hundreds of billions of dollars in short-term government bonds every month starting next year. This is much more powerful than just lowering interest rates, equivalent to opening the "floodgates" of funding. For the crypto market, which is extremely sensitive to liquidity, this is potential super fuel.
But the key lies in the "details": how much to buy, when to start buying, these are uncertain. The market has already risen a lot, trading on these optimistic expectations in advance.
A few reminders for retail investors:
Don't chase high after "the obvious": the interest rate cut is already obvious, the price may have partially reflected that. If there are no more "dovish" liquidity details after the decision, be careful of a short-term pullback as "good news is fully priced in".
Pay close attention to the "balance sheet" statements: any wording regarding "reserves", "bond purchases", and "balance sheet" in the meeting statement and Powell's speech is worth listening to more than the interest rate cut itself.
Maintain flexible positions: before such an event that may determine the medium-term liquidity environment, keeping some cash or stablecoins allows you to be more relaxed during volatility, whether dealing with risks or capturing opportunities.
In short, don’t just focus on the "interest rate cut" this week. The real bonus question is whether and how the Fed will open the "new faucet".
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