The Ukrainian army can hold out for at most 9 more months!

On December 8, the Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian army, Zaluzhnyi, assured Zelensky that without American assistance, the Ukrainian army could still last for 9 months, but the prerequisite is to ensure strengthened conscription mobilization.

Zaluzhnyi then stated: “The Ukrainian army will unleash its assault potential and defend every residential point at all costs.”

Previously, Western military experts have repeatedly stated that the current mobilization work of the Ukrainian army is very difficult, and many fronts have seen the emergence of “female soldier units,” which serve both logistical support roles and at times take on assault roles. This is a very clear signal: Ukraine is facing a severe shortage of manpower.

Another reason for the decreasing number of Ukrainian soldiers is that the proportion of deserters is gradually increasing. Not only are soldiers fleeing, but even officers are escaping, many during reserve training, and currently, there is no better solution within the Ukrainian army for this issue.

These 9 months are just Zaluzhnyi’s theoretical estimation. In fact, Russian military experts have conducted several simulations. Without the support of American equipment, the defensive capability of the Ukrainian army is nearly zero. Without America’s air defense systems, Russian missiles can land extensively on Ukrainian positions, and Russian aircraft can freely enter Ukrainian territory to conduct bombings, leaving the Ukrainian army with no room for counterattack. Therefore, Zaluzhnyi's estimation seems more like “bluster.”