$XRP

Spot XRP In-depth View | December 8, 2025 10:00 UTC

Key Points:

XRP shows signs of market recovery, driven by strong institutional capital inflow and ecological expansion, with a short-term bullish technical outlook. However, large-scale whale distribution, critical resistance levels, and extreme short positions in the derivatives market pose significant risks.

Key Developments:

1. Strong institutional capital inflow: XRP spot ETF saw inflows of $874 million to $1 billion within 13 days, becoming the second-fastest ETF to reach $800 million in inflows, indicating exceptionally strong institutional demand.

2. Continued ecological expansion: Ripple acquired payment infrastructure for $4 billion and expanded regulatory approvals in Singapore, with its stablecoin RLUSD reaching a market cap of $1.1 billion and initiating a new staking program.

3. Short-term technical strength: The price increased by about 3.45% over 24 hours, MACD shows a strong golden cross, and RSI indicates strong buying pressure, with the price testing the upper Bollinger Band.

Major Risks:

1. Large-scale whale distribution: Addresses holding 1 million to 10 million XRP sold over 390 million XRP (valued at approximately $783 million) in the past week, putting pressure on market sentiment and liquidity.

2. Technical resistance and overbought conditions: The price faces strong resistance and a downward trend line around $2.10. RSI(6) reached 77.76, indicating a severely overbought state, with high short-term correction risk.

3. Extreme bearishness in derivatives: In leveraged positions, short positions reached $15 million, while longs were only $600,000. This extreme imbalance could trigger a chain liquidation in case of severe price fluctuations.

Market Sentiment:

Community sentiment is significantly divided: some members are extremely optimistic, bullish to $5 or higher based on ETF inflows and ecological development; others caution against unrealistic targets and point out that short-term technicals have shown signs of fatigue.

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