The interest rate cut window only has 2 days left! 85% probability of a 25 basis point cut, should you enter the cryptocurrency market for 'expectation speculation' now?

There are only 2 days left until the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision at 3 AM on December 11. According to the interest rate observer data, the current market bets on a probability of '3.50-3.75% (25 basis point cut)' have soared to 85.2%, which is almost certain; while the probability of a 50 basis point cut is only 14.8%—but if the latter happens, risk assets are likely to 'take off' directly.

For the cryptocurrency market, 'interest rate cut expectation speculation' has never waited until the decision is made:

• Historically, in the 1-2 days before the Federal Reserve releases a signal of easing, BTC and ETH often react in advance, taking advantage of 'increased expectations' to create a wave market;

• If this 25 basis point cut happens (high probability), the market may continue to rise sharply like a 'boot dropping'; if the cut exceeds expectations by 50 basis points, the risk appetite in the cryptocurrency market will be fully ignited, and mainstream coins may see daily increases of 5% or more.

The current pace is very clear: no need to wait for the decision day, you can start positioning in mainstream coin longs now based on 'interest rate cut expectations'—after all, with 85% certainty in the market, entering early allows you to bite into the fattest piece.

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