$RDNT 🚨 The rate is starting to overheat: -1.2%, let's analyze below:
* Deterministic Direction: Wait and See + Confidence (Medium) *
* Core Reasons:
The funding rate remains negative at -1.2%, indicating a short advantage, but in the last 2 hours, the total amount of long and short liquidations is close (long liquidations about 3M USDT vs short liquidations 2.1M), with no significant cleansing direction, 24H liquidations are balanced (short 50% share), lacking extreme panic signals.📉
The persistence of liquidations is weak, in the last 4 hours, only part of the 15m cycle was dominated by short liquidations, not reaching the threshold of 10, the total amount of long liquidations did not exceed 3 times that of shorts, and overall cleansing strength is insufficient to confirm a trend reversal.🚫
Relative strength is moderate, BTC 24H volatility is 3.23%<4%, RDNT 1H increase of 2.4% only slightly outperforms BTC by 0.3% about 2.1% (<10% threshold), 4H data is limited but 24H +23.3% is strong, not yet fully meeting the breakout conditions.📊
The authenticity of spot trading volume is positive, 24H volume reached 61.9 million far exceeding normal levels, the 1H upward segment's volume is active (estimated >2 times the average volume), showing strong support, but lacking precise 1H historical comparison, unable to confirm the shrinking volume characteristics.🔄
The sentiment is neutral to slightly bullish, the recent 1H X high-reputation posts <10 (invalid threshold), zero extreme “moon/100x” calls, bullish sentiment accounts for about 60% with no overheating penalties, TG searches show no significant distribution, overall calm with no bubble in sight.😐 *
* Contract Operation Advice: Wait and See. Monitoring Points: Break 0.0135 for re-analysis (if 4H confirms a breakout above the previous high + 1H volume > 3 times the average volume, switch to long); or drop below 0.0110 + long liquidations exceeding 3 times shorts, switch to short. Maintain position at 0%, avoid fluctuations before funding rate settlement.🚫
(The image is the 15m liquidation chart)
